Jan 14 min. max. avg
Bitt 2NW valley -1.9 13.0 5.5
Garrett College 0.6 20.1 10.3
Can-Heights -3.9 14 5.0
CRN-Canaan -1.9 14.9 6.5
Cabin Mt -5.4 10.4 2.5
Cabin Mt north -4.4 16.3 5.9
Spruce Knob -5.6 17.1 5.7
Snowshoe/S.C -2.4 19.4 8.5
Can-Valley Floor -7.6 20.4 6.4
Cresaptown 9.7 29.1 19.4
Green Bank Obs 2.0 25.3 13.6
7Springs 5.7 16.6 11.2
The Glades -5.5
Clear skies, calm morning. Leading to lots of below 0 readings up high, and the valleys in the mts, and out of the mts as well. To note, a better snowpack west of the mts. . Only clouds to start was coming off the ski resorts, other than a few in the NW skies. Over night some fine crystallized snow fell. Party to mostly sunny skies through the day with some late day clouds.
Snowfall
Bittinger 2nw Valley .4″ overnight 50.8″ on the season
Canaan Heights .3″ overnight 59.3″ on the season.
Pic below, Bittinger 2nw Valley temps today
Pics below, by Mallory Richards at Gaudineer Knob
Pics below by Jeremy Cutlip, at Falls of Hills Creek and Highland Scenic Highway
Pics below by Vernon Patterson at Dolly Sods
Pics below by David Miller/Allegheny Photography. Check out his website and Facebook page (Allegheny Photography) Dolly Sods in the pics. Sunrise from Cabin Mt, and left fork of Red Creek in pics.
Pics Below by Rick Burgess at the Sinks and 2 from Spruce Knob
Pic below from A_Katharine on Instagram from Olson Tower on Backbone Mt in Tucker County
Pic Below by Michael James Baer at the Susquehanna River in Harrisburg
Mjo cycling through and headed towards the warm phases. 500mb looks on target with it with sharp trough heading towards the eastern Pacific and going into the west coast. SST setup doesn’t favor a trough sitting there, but the MJO looks like a bigtime driver currently. This would lead to a mild period with a poor storm track. Its not though etched in stone this period ahead day 7-15 , can’t produce snow. Climatology speaking its the coldest period of the year, and above average temps does not mean no snow. I would suspect though, we will have a few good rain systems in that period as phase 4 Mjo is wet and mild.
Current sst look and 7 day change.
The Eastern tropical Pacific in enso 1.2 is still the coldest, this accompanied by current east qbo and sst setup off east and west coast should thwart off straight warmth through the warm mjo phases. The big SE ridge will try to build and retrograde back but struggle to feedback with SE waters much cooler than last winter with cool anomlies in close and warmer off the coas. With nina east based, with a soi rise, west coast warmth, the Pna likely holds only slightly negative. Epo goes positive and that is a warm signal. Ao and Nao each going negative and typically a cold signal, but in the pattern look to only be minor players in the 7 to 15 day. Not total non factors.
Conclusion, milder than average, wetter than average. Unfavorable storm track. Enough factors that are favorable that timing could lead to a slightly suppressed storm, or with some blocking, a storm moving slow once to the coast and backside snows as the rain passes. No brutal cold looks likely in the period.
Further out. Watch stratospheric warming event, mjo going back to favorable phases. Sst anomalies look decent. Teleconnectins of -epo, + pna looks more favorable. Can we get some good blocking and favorable storm track. Remains to be seen.
Allegheny Mountains Weather 