Feb 28.                    min.        max.    avg

Bitt 2NW valley    26.9       57.9    42.4

Garrett College     30.9       57.6    44.2

Can-Heights          39.1       52.0    45.5

CRN-Canaan         39.5       53.2     46.4

Cabin Mt              37.8        48.7     43.2

Cabin Mt north   38.5       50.7      44.6

Spruce Knob         34.9     45.9      40.4

Snowshoe/S.C        37.6     46.0      41.8

Can-Valley Floor

Cresaptown          31.8       67.8    49.8

Green Bank Obs  27.6       53.9    40.8

7Springs               40.2       60.4     50.3

More clouds than sun today, but a mix of both. Few sprinkles midday. Breezy.

Temps today at Bittinger 2nw Valley and Cabin Mt 4350, as well as national temp profile this afternoon

What do the models show for snow?Well as yesterdays runs trended towards signs of increased amounts, todays did the opposite. Right now, 3-6″ Wv mts, 2-5″ Garrett, Preston and north in Pa mts.  Here’s a quick rundown of the models.

(1)Super Swiss Hd, (2) 18z GFS, (3) 12z ECMWF, (4) 0Z NAM

They are all pretty well in the same ballpark, except the Swiss Hd and that model may be overkill on the mts.

Still,  will not at all be surprised to see amounts bump back up a little. This has some similarities to the April 2016 setup once the upper level low is in the coast. This isn’t trapped in though and will be able to skirt and be far enough east, we get shut off quicker from our upslope. Those options were heavy on the 12zecmwf yesterday. Again, as stressed yesterday. Models are still adjusting, getting a handle on all the pieces to the puzzle. Even if this changes some when it becomes a “nowcast” event, and in the end, models blew timing, track, deepening of the low, that too will not be surprising.

Winds still look to be on the extreme side.

30-50mph gust for most with 50-70mph across high exposed Wv mts above 3500′.. Saturated ground from all the recent rain, high winds, duration of the sustained wind with those gust may be enough to topple trees in spots and cause power outages. I’d be more prepared for this aspect currently than any other aspect with the event.

Pittsburgh NWS …given the current model output, this looks pretty good.

February 2018 temp and precip anomalies

February temps at Bittinger 2nw Valley2018-03-06-11-53-50

February temps across the Canaan area. Averaging slightly warmer than north central Garrett and points NE. That undercutting east flow occured quote often in the second half of the month as well as the valley affect influence

Data compiled and put together by Dave Lesher. 2018-03-06-12-03-19

Leave a comment