June 30.                   min.        max.       avg

Bitt 2nw valley      51.6         83.0       67.3

Garrett College     55.8         87.8       71.8

Can-Heights          58.7         82.4       70.6

CRN-Canaan         54.0         81.9       68.4

Cabin Mt               61.5         79.9       70.7

Cabin Mt north   62.9          80.2       71.5

Spruce Knob       60.8          77.2       69.0

Snowshoe            61.9          79.0       70.4

Can-Valley Floor 48.0

Green Bank         57.6         90.0      73.8

7Springs              66.4          88.9      77.7

Clear start, valley fog. That burned off relatively quickly and it turned into a hot day. Few clouds built in areas during the afternoon

Temp profile this afternoon(reconfigured logger at 6:30pm thats been continous since August 28,2017 to begin a new period)

 

 

Satellite this afternoon

Flow

500mb flow and image showing the big heat ridge dominating the east.

 

 

JUNE SUMMARY

TEMP DATA

PRECIP DATA:

 

 

 

 

 

June 29.                    min.       max.     avg

Bitt 2nw valley      52.9        79.2      66.0

Garrett College     57.2         82.9     70.1

Can-Heights          55.4        79.4       67.4

CRN-Canaan         54.6        77.4      66.0

Cabin Mt               57.4        75.9      66.7

Cabin Mt north   59.0        75.5      67.2

Spruce Knob       55.0         72.0     63.5

Snowshoe            56.1         77.7     66.9

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank         56.7        91.0      73.8

7Springs              61.3        86.0       73.5

Clear, valley fog to start, subshine with a few pop up clouds during the afternoon and evening.

Temp profile this afternoon

Satellite this afternoon

Flow

500mb anomaly today

 

Resulting temp anomaly

With building heights, high pressure, it should still allow for nighttime lows to drop into the comfortable range in the valleys. Warmest nights typically come at the end of the warm spell.

6 year anniversary of the deracho event

https://www.weather.gov/rlx/SVR062912

June 28.                min.          max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley   58.3         72.1       65.2

Garrett College  63.1         74.4       68.8

Can-Heights        58.0        71.0       64.5

CRN-Canaan       56.8        70.6       63.7

Cabin Mt             58.3        69.8       64.1

Cabin Mt north 59.1        69.4       64.2

Spruce Knob     57.6         68.9       63.2

Snowshoe             57.7      68.2      62.8

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank         59.7        84.0      71.8

7Springs              64.0        74.3       69.2

Brief patches of blue at daybreak to light showers, drizzle on and off through early afternoon…then skies began to break

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar(I picked up .25 since 6pm last night) Some areas around Canaan Heights, Davis picked up over 2″ last night. Some areas in western Tucker in lowlands had flooding. Amounts in these areas are greater than depicted by the estimate in the photo.

 

 

 

Satellite this afternoon

Flow

500mb anomaly

Current SST and 7 day change

Upcoming Heat Wave

Earlier in the week, I posted a list of expected temps based off model data. That still looks to hold on par for Sat-Mon, those days being the hottest but holding up beyond that. Here is the list
Johnstown Pa 88-93
Somerset Pa 87-92
Mt. Davis Pa 81-86
Grantsville Md 87-92
Bittinger Md 82-87
Accident Md 88-93
Friendsville Md 89-94
Mchenry Md 85-90
Oakland Md 89-94
Morgantown Wv 93-98
Cumberland Md 97-102
Keyser Wv 95-100
Parsons 91-96
Davis 83-88
Canaan Heights 81-86
Canaan Valley 82-87
Cabin Mt 78-83
Dolly Sods 80-85
Harman 85-90
Seneca Rocks 91-96
Spruce Knob 76-81
Elkins 90-95
Green Bank 88-93
Snowshoe 76-81
Marlinton 88-93
Cranberry Glades 82-87

** Car thermometers, bank/store thermometers will likely read higher than reality during this period. Lots of heat, radation reflecting back off artificial surfaces, objects.

Some numbers off todays 12z Euro Sat-Mon for Snowshoe area, Canaan area, Deep Creek area. Keep in mind, highest locations will run touch under these numbers, lower, town areas will top there numbers.

 

 

Pics posted by Tucker County 911 on Facebook

June 27.                  min.         max.     avg

Bitt 2nw valley     56.3         71.6      63.9

Garrett College     60.2         74.3      67.2

Can-Heights         58.3          72.1      65.2

CRN-Canaan        58.6          71.5      65.1

Cabin Mt               56.5         68.7      62.6

Cabin Mt north     56.8.       71.0      63.9

Spruce Knob          55.4       68.7      62.0

Snowshoe              55.8       67.8      61.8

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank          61.7        77.9      69.8

7Springs               60.8        76.3      68.5

Cloudy, rain early. Steady for a period. More clouds than sun afternoon, but some sun appeared..more rain just before nightfall.

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar/estimated amounts. I picked up .4 at Bittinger 2nw Valley through 6pm with nearly all of that in the morning hours after dawn.

Satellite this afternoon

Flow

June 26.                 min.        max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley    48.2         67.1       57.6

Garrett College    56.3         69.0      62.7

Can-Heights         55.9         65.1      60.5

CRN-Canaan        55.7         64.1      59.9

Cabin Mt               54.3         61.3      57.8

Cabin Mt north   53.7         60.4      57.0

Spruce Knob       53.2         56.5       54.8

Snowshoe           54.9         58.6       56.8

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank      62.1         68.4        65.2

7Springs           55.5          73.0       64.2

More clouds than sun.

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Cape Bretton Highland Nova Scotia this morning

June 25.                     min.        max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley       50.9        72.4      61.6

Garrett College       58.7        74.1     66.4

Can-Heights           57.9        71.2      64.6

CRN-Canaan         56.6         69.5      63.1

Cabin Mt                55.4        69.3      62.4

Cabin Mt north     56.4       71.4     63.9

Spruce Knob         54.7        69.1      61.9

Snowshoe              54.3       68.0       61.1

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank          56.5       79.9       68.2

7Springs               60.1       73.3        66.7

Mix of clouds and sun. Rain remained in southern Wv, and parts of Va.

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar

Satellite this afternoon

Flow

 Looking Ahead at the incoming heat…

Friday through Monday, with Saturday through Monday being the most uncomfortable in terms of the combo of temps and dewpoints… max temp ranges look to max out in this range during that period
Johnstown Pa 88-93
Somerset Pa 87-92
Mt. Davis Pa 81-86
Grantsville Md 87-92
Bittinger Md 82-87
Accident Md 88-93
Friendsville Md 89-94
Mchenry Md 85-90
Oakland Md 89-94
Morgantown Wv 93-98
Cumberland Md 97-102
Keyser Wv 95-100
Parsons 91-96
Davis 83-88
Canaan Heights 81-86
Canaan Valley 82-87
Cabin Mt 78-83
Dolly Sods 80-85
Harman 85-90
Seneca Rocks 91-96
Spruce Knob 76-81
Elkins 90-95
Green Bank 88-93
Snowshoe 76-81
Marlinton 88-93
Cranberry Glades 82-87

In general, this period looks to be as hot as it generally gets in the area.
Typical days of +86 per year. (Map is not perfect, but a ballpark idea in area) In general the highest Wv spots rarely top 80.. Fair shot at that, this weekend.

** Car thermometers, bank/store thermometers will likely read higher than reality during this period. Lots of heat, radation reflecting back off artificial surfaces, objects.

Max temps off the 12z ECMWF with heat indecies Fri-Mon. The GFS has consistently been hotter than the ECMWF. What will likely occur is open, and town areas lean towards GFS, higher, wooded, rural areas lean towards the ECMWF.

 

Typical # of days of +86°

Looking further out, models are hinting at a July temp turnaround. Both the new Euro weeklies just in tonight and the CFSV2 evolve the pattern in a very similar way over the coming several weeks.

The Weeklies

CFSV2

June 24.                  min.        max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley    59.1        74.9      67.0

Garrett College   63.6        74.9       69.2

Can-Heights        60.1         71.0      65.6

CRN-Canaan       60.9        70.1      65.5

Cabin Mt              58.1       67.5      62.8

Cabin Mt north   58.2       68.1     63.1

Spruce Knob      57.2        66.6     61.9

Snowshoe           57.4        65.3     61.2

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank       59.9         81.0      70.4

7Springs           64.3         76.4       70.2

More clouds than sun, a few afternoon showers north. Rain, showers was more widespread south of Canaan through midday vs elsewhere.

Temp profile this afternoon

 

 

  Month to date anomalies, colder vs average max temps, warmer vs average min temps, overall just +/- of normal on the month. Wv mts slightly above overall.

 

Radar

Satellite this afternoon

Flow

June 23.                   min.      max.     avg

Bitt 2nw valley     57.7         72.0     64.8

Garrett College     58.8        72.1      65.4

Can-Heights          56.7         67.4     62.1

CRN-Canaan         55.0       66.5       60.8

Cabin Mt               55.2        64.0      59.6

Cabin Mt north   55.9         67.1      61.5

Spruce Knob       54.7         65.1      59.9

Snowshoe            57.0         63.5      60.2

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank          60.1        77.0      68.6

7Springs               59.6         73.7     66.6

Intervals of clouds, showers, mixed with breaks of sun. Some brief heavier downpours

Temp profile this afternoon (RTMA appears to be slightly overdone)

 

 

Radar

24 hour estimated total(10pm)

Flow

Satellite

June 22.                  min.        max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley    57.7      62.8        60.2

Garrett College    58.6      63.6       61.1

Can-Heights        58.0      62.0        60.0

CRN-Canaan        56.3      67.6      62.8

Cabin Mt              54.1       59.7     56.9

Cabin Mt north

Spruce Knob     54.7         60.3     57.5

Snowshoe         56.8         66.0      61.3

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank     62.1         78.6       70.3

7Springs          58.7         65.7       62.2

Cloudy, rainy, foggy, east wind was the dominant features. In some areas, periods of blue briefly occured, elsewhere it did not. A very chilly 1st full day of summer. Afternoon temps in the 50s, with winds gusting from the southeast 20mph to over 30mph at times.

Temp profile this afternoon

 

 

 

 

Radar past 24 hours

24 estimated rainfall

Flow this afternoon

Dominant east flow as seen in G.C.C wind chart

Satellite view this afternoon, evening

 

Year to date precipitation

 

 

Late Next Week Heat Wave??

 

 

A pattern like this, low pressures in the west, heights building in the east is a pattern to setup what can bring the hottest temps of the season. Models have a tendency to overdue this. Something to watch as we go into later next week, weekend.

June 21.                 min.       max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley     62.9       71.3       67.1

Garrett College    63.5        75.2      69.3

Can-Heights         61.6         73.5     67.6

CRN-Canaan        62.3         73.1     67.7

Cabin Mt             59.4          70.3     64.9

Cabin Mt north   59.9         72.3     66.1

Spruce Knob.       59.9         70.3     65.1

Snowshoe            59.7          70.0     64.8

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank        65.3          84.7      75.0

7Springs             63.8         72.1       67.9

Cloudy, rain early in Garrett, then luttle light drizzle, to a lull in afternoon, rain returning at dark. Earlier in Wv mts

Temp profile this afternoon

 

 

 

Radar(I picked up .2 since 5:30pm last evening)

Flow

Satellite this afternoon/evening

Current sst anomaly and 7 day change