Aug 31.                      min.      max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley         58.8       76.4      67.6

Garrett College         62.0       80.9      71.4

Can-Heights              59.5       77.1      68.3

CRN-Canaan             57.6       78.2      67.9

Cabin Mt                   60.3       75.7      68.0

Cabin Mt north        61.9       74.8     68.3

Spruce Knob            58.5        72.5    65.5

Snowshoe                 60.6       73.0    66.8

Can-Valley Floor     53.8        80.6    67.2

7Springs                   63.9        76.7    70.3

Ground fog to start, semi dense in some areas. Skies breaking through early afternoon with some downpours developing. A second round late day, and in the same location as the first in a few spots.

Temp profile this afternoon

 

(other temp charts in monthly summary at the bottom)

Radar plus estimates with a few more details . I came in with 1.35″ today. I had .25 with round 1 this afternoon, 1.1 this evening. And .35 last night after 6pm. Total 1.6 since 9pm… Radar estimated .28 this afternoon and 1.1 this evening and 1.58 overall…so very impressed with the accuracy. Nearby, south on Foxtown Rd, it appeared more rain fell and radar estimates at 2″. Mchenry at Garrett College reading .01 today,  and that was dew this morning, but estimates from 9pm till midnight gave the amounts for 24 hour 9pm to 9pm… There was no measurable precip there today. . A sharp cutoff. Interestingly, the afternoon storm and evening storm built in from opposite directions but had the same cutoff zones, and heavy zones.

 

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

Videos from the rain…

 

 

August summary

Temps August 2018

Precipitation August 2018

 

Bittinger 2nw Valley

Temps:

Warmest Min 63.4

Coolest Max  65.8

Days of highs in the

80s- 6 (All of 80 or 81°)

70s- 19

60s- 6

Days with lows in the

60s- 9

50s- 19

40s- 3

Precip: 7.6″ on the month

Canaan-CRN

Warmest Max 80.0

Coolest max 66.0

Warmest Min 65.4

Coolest Min 43.0

Days with highs in the

80s-1

70s- 26

60s- 4

Days with mins in the

40s- 2

50s- 19

60s- 10

Precip 4.73

Precipitation….Keep in mind, co-ops(off scasis here) are 7am to 7am recording times.

Chart put together by Dave Lesher at the frost pocket test sites

Year to date

Temps

Precip

 

Aug 30.                     min.     max.     avg

Bitt 2nw valley       62.3       76.0      69.1

Garrett College       65.3       80.9      73.1

Can-Heights            63.4       76.5      69.9

CRN-Canaan           61.2        78.7      70.0

Cabin Mt                 61.2        75.0      68.1

Cabin Mt north      62.4        75.4      68.9

Spruce Knob          59.9        74.7      67.3

Snowshoe               61.0        73.2      67.1

Can-Valley Floor   62.6        77.7.     70.1

7Springs                  63.6       75.5      69.6

Cloudy early, then a mix of clouds and sun midday, afternoon, back to mainly cloudy with rain afterdark. Drearier, more clouds, some high ground fog, and areas of heavy rain later Wv mts, and Va region of the Alleghenies.

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar with estimates 9pm-9pm. At Bittinger 2nw Valley .25 rain from last nights after midnight rain fell. More 9pm tonight that will be included tomorrow.

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb flow

The Maples

I had some valuable information passed along to me yesterday about what is going on with the maples. It is also said to be affecting Red Oaks, but I’ve not seen that much locally. Not saying its not affecting them here, just haven’t paid much attention.

Anthracnose, is suppose to be pretty widespread from Pa to Wv currently, and similiar reports of maples doing the same thing in western Va. It stems from our consistent wet damp periods in June, now August.  A little info on Anthracnose

https://wiki.bugwood.org/Aureobasidium_apocryptum_(Anthracnose_on_maple)

I highly suspect this is going to affect areas of typical nice color from the maples in the fall and give a much more bland look to the fall foliage. Its pretty widespread, doesn’t appear to be every maple, and perhaps not every location in the region, although from what I’ve seen. its pretty widespread.

 

Aug 29.                      min.      max.     avg

Bitt 2nw valley        59.5      81.4     70.4

Garrett College        64.7      83.6     74.1

Can-Heights             65.6      79.5      72.6

CRN-Canaan            63.3       80.0     71.6

Cabin Mt                  63.7       78.4      71.0

Cabin Mt north      64.4        79.7      72.0

Spruce Knob          62.4        77.4      69.9

Snowshoe               64.9        75.0      69.9

Can-Valley Floor    53.2       81.5      67.3

7Springs                  65.6       79.3      72.4

Mainly clear, hazy, some early valley ground fog

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar with estimates 9pm-9pm

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

 

Lightning off to the west near Mchenry

18z 3km Nam

2m Temperatures

2m Dew Points

Simulated Radar

Aug 28.                       min.       max.     avg

Bitt 2nw valley        59.1        81.1       70.1

Garrett College        65.1        83.1       74.1

Can-Heights             62.4        79.9       71.2

CRN-Canaan            63.4        79.8       71.6

Cabin Mt                  63.3        79.0        71.1

Cabin Mt north       64.9        79.5       72.2

Spruce Knob            63.0       77.4       70.2

Snowshoe                 65.1       74.5       69.7

Can-Valley Floor     51.6       81.9       66.7

7Springs                   69.8       79.9       74.9

Mainly clear, hazy start, some pockets of valley ground fog. Few pop up clouds today. Warm, muggy. Showers mainly in parts of the southern Allegheny areas.

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar with estimates 9pm-9pm

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

Smoke areas

18z 3km Nam

2m Temperatures

2m Dew Points

Simulated Radar

Warm and muggy continues, a slight(meaning not much) lowering of the dew points briefly Thursday night into Friday am. That better feeling air looks to hold just north of the region. Will need to watch the showers, storms into Thursday. Overall this pattern has 11-15 days of life as it appears now.

12z ECMWF meteogram

18z GFS meteogram

(keep in mind, this is based off one operational run, precip amounts can vary greatly run to run, 18z likely overdone on the GFS..time will tell)

18z run

 

Long range off a few models….Euro and CFSv2, looking like that 2nd week of September, a more fall like feel, and air mass will encroach on the east. A much welcomed shift vs the mugginess of present.

Modeled temp anomalies

CFSV2

Back to the Maples

Comparing the past few year…the 16′ pic is a few hundred yards up the road from the 17′ pic and todays pic. 2016 was took on the 29th of September, the 2017 pic the 14th of September, and 2018(today). Last year was a early change in areas with the chilly start to September. This area as well where these pics are, is typically a early changeover spot. A wetland area, trees often stressed, thus change earlier as well as nighttime mins are colder.  This year however, and this is not limited to this location, or locations like this(meaning wetland) the maple leaf drop has been very noticeable. Some changed, and fell. Some fell while green. Along this portion, there is still some green, a little color, but a lot of foliage currently down…..

Aug 27.                      min.       max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley        61.8        80.4       71.1

Garrett College        66.9        83.0       74.9

Can-Heights             66.0        77.6       71.8

CRN-Canaan            65.4        78.8       72.1

Cabin Mt                  65.1        77.5       71.3

Cabin Mt north       65.7       79.0        72.3

Spruce Knob           63.7       76.5        70.1

Snowshoe                64.6       74.7        69.6

Can-Valley Floor     57.6       80.6       69.1

7Springs                   68.5       78.1       73.3

Cloudy,foggy, hazy start, some periods of morning sun, few pop up brief showers, afternoon featured clouds and sun with scatterded showers.

Temp profile this afternoon

 

 

Radar with estimates 9pm-9pm

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

Smoke areas

18z 3km Nam

2m Temperatures

2m Dew Points

Heat Index

Simulated Radar

12z ECMWF meteogram

18z GFS meteogram

The ridge in the east looks to hold through the first 10 days of September. Beyond that, CFSV2, the new(just in) Euro weeklies, GFS, all pointing to a Canadian influence on the air mass incoming in the 11-15th range. This is very far out and could be derailed. This far out though,  this would be the next potential of any type of nightime lows in our cold pockets to reach freezing potential.

few pics today

 

 

In the last pic, and a little in the first pic. A fairly common site in at least this part of the region. That is, maples losing their leaves very early. Some turned a little color and fell, some fell while green. We had a very wet summer, except July. Locally(Garrett) July went dry. August returns and it has been back to above normal precip. I am guessing its a stress factor, overleaf abundance early in the leaf season, dry shot, followed by very wet. Some maples in bog, swamp areas typically are early changers, and droppers, this year, some of these have just dropped. As seen in pic 3. That is not an uncommon site in many areas currently. If anyone has any other info about this, feel free to comment. This is the most early maple leaf drop I’ve seen and it may have an effect on the fall color season.

Snow! Not locally but out west it has begun.

A few social media pics.

 

 

Aug 26.                        min.      max.    avg

Bitt 2nw valley          51.3       72.5     61.9

Garrett College          55.1       71.5     63.3

Can-Heights               59.5       70.4     64.9

CRN-Canaan              57.0       69.6     63.3

Cabin Mt                   58.1       66.0     62.0

Cabin Mt north        59.2       68.7     63.9

Spruce Knob            55.9       70.3     63.1

Snowshoe                 59.2       67.5     63.2

Can-Valley Floor     52.0        72.1     62.0

7Springs                   63.3        70.3     66.8

Mainly cloud, few brief moments of sun. High ground fog, especially across the Wv high ground.

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar with estimates 9pm-9pm

Satellite this afternoon

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

Snowshoe this afternoon

Canaan from the golf course

Smoke areas

18z 3km Nam

2m Temperatures

Heat Index

Simulated Radar

Aug 25.                    min.      max.    avg

Bitt 2nw valley       46.5      69.9     58.2

Garrett College       50.9      72.2      61.5

Can-Heights            55.0       72.9     64.0

CRN-Canaan           52.3       70.2     61.3

Cabin Mt                  52.0       67.5     59.7

Cabin Mt north       52.9       72.0     62.4

Spruce Knob           50.9       66.6     58.7

Snowshoe                 52.7      67.6     60.2

Can-Valley Floor     41.2       73.4     57.3

7Springs                   57.5       68.8    63.2

Mainly cloudy, a little sun, widely scattered showers, few and very far between in the afternoon.

Temp profile this afternoon

Min at The Glades

Radar plus estimates(MINOR)

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

Smoke areas

 

Finzel Swamp Garrett County Md 8/25/18

https://www.nature.org/ourinitiatives/regions/northamerica/unitedstates/maryland_dc/placesweprotect/finzel-swamp.xml

Tamarack, Larch- Finzel Swamp Garrett County Md 8/25/18

18z GFS

2m Temperatures next 10 days

6 hour precip next 10 days

18z GFS meteogram

12z ECMWF meteogram

Aug 24.                      min.      max.    avg

Bitt 2nw valley         42.1       70.1     56.1

Garrett College        45.8        74.0     59.9

Can-Heights             44.9        73.0     58.9

CRN-Canaan            43.0        70.2    56.6

Cabin Mt.                 49.5        66.0    57.7

Cabin Mt north       51.6       68.2    59.9

Spruce Knob            46.6      64.0    55.3

Snowshoe                50.9       65.3    58.0

Can-Valley Floor    36.5       72.1    54.3

7Springs                  58.1       69.6    63.8

Clear start, cold valleys, few pop up clouds during the day. Low humidity, dew points, perfect weather

Temp profile this afternoon

No Radar loop, void of precip

Satellite this afternoon

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

Blackwater Falls

Alder Swamp Dolly Sods

 

Cold spots

Rosanna Springston recorded a 34 min at Cranberry Glades

Canadian Burnet-Alder Swamp/Dolly Sods

Smoke areas today

https://fsapps.nwcg.gov/afm/index.php

12z ECMWF meteogram

18z GFS meteogram

Aug 23.                    min.       max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley       44.3       65.8      55.0

Garrett College       49.1       69.8      59.4

Can-Heights            47.9       65.5      56.7

CRN-Canaan           45.6       67.4      60.7

Cabin Mt                 45.3       62.6      53.9

Cabin Mt north     46.8       65.7      56.2

Spruce Knob         44.4        63.0     53.7

Snowshoe              46.4        61.9     54.1

Can-Valley Floor   40.5       68.2     54.3

7Springs                 48.8       66.3     57.6

Clear start, few clouds popping up with heating of the day.

Temp profile this afternoon

Cold Spot “morning” Mins

Radar with estimates(9pm-9pm)  .05 at Bittinger 2nw Valley, mainly occuring just after 9pm last night

Satellite this afternoon

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

Smoke areas

 

Whorled Wood Aster-Dolly Sods 8/23/18

 

Aug 22.                        min.      max.     avg

Bitt 2nw valley           53.2      68.7     60.9

Garrett College           55.5      69.2     62.3

Can-Heights                52.5      67.2     59.8

CRN-Canaan               54.0      67.4     60.7

Cabin Mt                     49.3      64.6      56.9

Cabin Mt north         50.9       64.0     57.4

Spruce Knob             49.1       62.8     55.9

Snowshoe                  50.4       62.2     56.3

Can-Valley Floor      53.2       68.9     61.0

7Springs                   53.2        65.9     59.6

Mix of clouds and sun, with cloudy skies occuring more than sun. Showers early, and again some after dark as cool air continues infiltrating in.

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar with estimates 9pm-9pm another .1 at Bittinger 2nw Valley

Satellite this afternoon

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow