Sept 5.                        min.      max.     avg

Bitt 2nw valley        58.3        81.7      70.0

Garrett College        61.1        87.1      74.1

Can-Heights             63.6        81.6      72.6

CRN-Canaan            61.0        82.0      71.5

Cabin Mt                   64.4        78.1     71.2

Cabin Mt north        65.8      81.5      73.6

Spruce Knob            63.5        76.3     69.9

Snowshoe                 65.7        77.4     71.6

Can-Valley Floor     53.9        83.8      68.8

7Springs                    71.1       82.7      76.9

Mainly clear start once again, valley fog. Really a repeat daily pattern. Clouds building and some popup showers, storms later in the afternoon.

Temp profile this afternoon2018-09-06-07-57-48

 

 

 

 

Radar with estimates 9pm-9pm.  .05 Bittinger 2nw Valley

Screenshot_20180905-211608.jpg2018-09-05-19-19-06Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

 

 

 

 

On the models….

18z GFS 6HR Precip

18z GFS Temps/Flow

18z GFS tempsK2G4_2018090518_gfs_min_max_10

18z GFS ensemble mean precip into Tuesdaygefs_qpf_mean_ma_25

12z ECMWF 6hr precipitation

12z ECMWF temps next 10K2G4_2018090512_ecmwf_min_max_10

12z ECMWF ensemble mean precipeps_qpf_m_ma_25

WPC Precipitation Mapwpc_total_precip_ne_20.png

So….as of right now, focal point locally for the greatest potential rain looks 50-65 miles either side of the Mason/Dixon line. Those amounts looking to be in the 1.5 – 3″ amounts with locally higher amounts. Further south, .5 to 1.5 amounts look possible.  Much cooler weather associated with the rain event. The GFS, ECMWF still are not conclusive on precip on Saturday. Which will affect temps as well.  Further out, about 8 days, a east coast system needs watched.

Continue to monitor the latest rainfall potential as some flooding potential does exist in the heaviest axis zone.

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