Sept 12.                      min.      max.     avg

Bitt 2nw valley        60.1       67.5       63.8

Garrett College        60.5       70.3      65.4

Can-Heights             60.0       73.3      66.7

CRN-Canaan            60.0        74.3     67.1

Cabin Mt                  59.2        70.3    64.7

Cabin Mt north       57.7       71.4    64.5

Spruce Knob            58.8       67.5    63.1

Snowshoe                 62.1       70.3    66.2

Can-Valley Floor      60.1      76.5    68.3

7Springs                    58.6      65.1    61.8

Fog, few light showers, drizzle, se flow. North central Garrett held low clouds, fog the entire day, some breaks late elsewhere it appeared

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar with estimates 9pm-9pm , .05 at Bittinger 2nw Valley

Screenshot_20180912-210447

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

FLORENCE

The track from last night holds fairly well tonight, with the exception of another slight south trend. The broad moist east flow will provide the opportunity for showers over the next few days, mainly Friday and Saturday. Our significant rain potential comes early to mid next week. Tweaks in timing and amounts remain. As of now it looks like a 1-3″ rain event with areas up to 4″. Now, the 12z Euro turned north a tad earlier, tad juicier and puts out 2-4″ amounts. Should that occur, flooding of more significance would occur. Right now going with 1-3″ which would cause some flooding with waterways already high.

12z ECMWF precip type next 240hrs

ecmwf_tprecip_wv_31

18z GFS precip type next 384hrs

gfs_tprecip_wv_30

12z UKmet

index-1

NHC 8PM UPDATEScreenshot_20180912-200559

Spaghetti Charts

Breakdown of the precip by the NWS, really like their thoughts on this

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