Sept 13.                     min.      max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley       65.0      74.6      69.8

Garrett College       65.9      76.7      71.3

Can-Heights            63.7       74.4     69.1

CRN-Canaan           63.3       76.5      69.9

Cabin Mt.                60.8       71.2      66.0

Cabin Mt north      61.5       71.2     66.3

Spruce Knob station down

Snowshoe               60.3        70.2     65.2

Can-Valley Floor    64.9       76.6      70.7

7Springs                  64.5       73.6      69.1

Foggy, drizzle to start, giving way to some sun and clouds mixed, with some light rain by nightfall. There was a period of very light run under partly cloudy skies.  Se flow today, thanks to high north, and Florence south

Temp profile this afternoon, downsloping side on the western side heating up today with the Se flow

Radar with estimates 9pm-9pm , trace Bittinger 2nw Valley

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

Florence

Florence remnants look to impact our area Sunday nighy/Monday am timeframe through early Wednesday possibly. Timing will yet need tweaked. Rainfall amounts are looking to be in the 1-3″ range, with up to 4″ in areas.

12z ECMWF precip type next 240hrs(totals through Florence remnants, as is the GFS)

18z GFS precip type next 384hrs

12z UKMET 6 hourly precip

Spaghetti Charts

And that was Florence, now before and after. A continuous moist east flow, with the shower risk over the next few days. Little temperature flucuation from nighttime lows, and daytime highs. With the east flow, west side of the mountains remaining warmer, as seen here on the 3km nam

18z 3km Nam 2m temperatures

18z 3km Nam Simulated Radar

Further out, weeklies finally showing a breakdown of the ridge and brings more fall like air week 3-4. Models originally had this occuring mid month.

next 46 days, weeklies do see our first flakes, in late week 2-week 3 Oct peiod. Take that with a grain of salt, and 3 tablespoons more.

Tomorrow night, I plan to show some comparisons of current foliage vs last year, with month to date temps. Much colder Sept last year, with leaves much further along. Also, this year is influenced by anthracnose in areas, which will hinder colors in areas.