Sept 14.                    min.       max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley       63.5        70.8      67.1

Garrett College       65.1        72.3      68.7

Can-Heights            62.7         69.9     66.3

CRN-Canaan           63.5         71.7     67.6

Cabin Mt                 60.1         64.9     62.5

Cabin Mt north      61.2         65.1     63.1

Spruce Knob          61.2         63.3     62.2

Snowshoe               60.3         66.9     63.6

Can-Valley Floor    64.0        71.8     67.9

7Springs                   63.0       69.8     66.4

Drizzly, foggy, east flow, isolate brief peak of sun, 99% of the day was foggy, misty, drizzly. Temp max was with brief peak of sun. The eastern ridges of the Alleghenies were socked in with pea soup thick fog. Temps held 60s.

Temp profile this afternoon. Large difference in temps and conditions from east side of the Alleghenies to the downsloping valleys on the west.

Savage Mt to Morgantown today off cams

Pic by Steffi Hone on Spruce KnobScreenshot_20180914-195312

Radar with estimates 9pm-9pm, picked up .05 at Bittinger 2nw Valley… Radar and estimates misleading on this version. Lots of ground clutter near the radar sites. and the low moisture banking up the mts on the east side, noy detected. Leading to errors in radar estimates as well. Not that it rained a lot, but wet most of the day.

Screenshot_20180914-211736Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

Florence

Screenshot_20180914-205901

Florence estimatesScreenshot_20180914-211842

on land, weakening, but moving slow and dropping lots of rain. Our rain looks to begin south to north late Sunday/ Sunday night, through Tuesday..Again, a tweak up in arrival and exit. Showers will occur over the time between now and then, especially the eastern ridges that were socked in the fog and drizzle today.  Rain looks to be in the 1-3″ totals, with isolated higher amounts. Really riding the Euro(Ecmwf) on this. The GFS just looks odd. With a brunt of the precip occuring with S/Se winds, it makes 0 sense to dry out the downsloping areas on the east side of the Alleghenies like the GFS does, the ECMWF does the opposite.

12z ECMWF precip type next 240hrs, precip amounts through Florence remnants

ecmwf_tprecip_wv_21-1

The 18z GFS precip type next 384hrs with precip amounts only through Florence remnants

gfs_tprecip_wv_20.png

12z UKMET precip every 6 hours through 144 with amounts

index-4

Short term, again, not much flucuation in temps across the mts from night time lows to day time highs.

18z 3km nam 2m temperatures

18z 3km Nam Simulated Radar

Leaves……

Nope still here. The leaf season. This is setting up to be a funky fall foliage season. Mentioned in many post in late August if you were following about a fungal disease caused by the wet weather causing some tree types(especially maples) to drop leaves premature. Some leaves shrivle, some spot up, and hang on. Well that seems to have affected a portion, how much, depends on the area. Lots of those fell ,leaving primarily green maples with some color. I was walking around observing this evening, lots are on the verge of change across my area in Garrett County. I think the shorter days, and the cool down in max temps the last week after the very warm September start, and the constant cloud cover  may be helping, but not as much if we would get some clear cold nights. They have been few in this overall wet damp pattern.. That said, this year vs last year on this date is very noticeable. Remarkably less color. Last year the maples went early, set off by a cold September opening and early frost. This year, that warm combo, with some early maple leaf loss, has left the early changers gone, and remaining mainly on the green side.

2018-09-14-17-45-38

On the verge, I tend to think these will start to change fast despite the lack of cold temps in near term.

Last September start vs this year

32 between Davis and Canaan Heights on Sept 14 2014, vs today

Fungi amongi in all this wet weather

Not fungi, but I was amongI

Leave a comment