Sept 19.                  min.        max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley       54.2       73.5       63.8

Garrett College       57.9       76.2       67.0

Can-Heights            57.2       74.1       65.7

CRN-Canaan           56.0       75.2       65.6

Cabin Mt                 58.5       74.3       66.4

Cabin Mt north     60.1       72.7       66.4

Spruce Knob         58.1        73.2      65.6

Can-Valley Floor   51.3        77.2      64.2

7Springs                 63.0        72.5      67.8

Cloudy start, some high ground fog in spots. Breaking late morning and through the afternoon for more sunshine.

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar with estimates 9pm-9pm

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

On the models….

Warmer 2 days ahead after a cool start in the a.m, cool start relatively speaking vs the mild mornings of this September.  On Friday, we do need to watch to see how a line of storm develops. Will post more tomorrow, as of now the worst does look to start in the northern Alleghenies and points NW.

18z 3km Nam 2m temperatures

18z 3km Nam 2m Dewpoints

mid to long term, plenty of rain chances, and then we look to chill down late next week going into early October. Widespread frost and freezes looking probable in that stretch. Last night the 18z GFS had flake threat around the 3rd-4th. Not on any run since. 2 members of the 12z ECMWF ensemble package out of 51 members still have a shot.

12z ECMWF precip type next 240hrs

18z GFS precip type next 384hrs