Sept 23.                   min.      max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley     51.9       54.6       53.2

Garrett College     51.8      55.4        53.6

Can-Heights          54.0      59.6        56.8

Cabin Mt               51.6       56.7       54.1

Cabin Mt north    50.2       55.2       52.7

Spruce Knob        52.0       55.6       53.8

Snowshoe             55.0       57.9       56.5

Can-Valley Floor 54.0      60.6       57.3

7Springs               50.4       53.2      51.8

Cloudy, some fog, times of rain, drizzle, and just cloudiness, east breeze

Temp profile this afternoon

 

Radar with estimates 9pm-9pm, .23 rain at Bittinger 2nw Valley, .7 at Bald Knob, .5 at CRN at Canaan, .4 at Spruce Knob

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

On the models…

Rain, cool yet tomorrow into early Tuesday. Milder Tuesday but the rain threat exist into Wednesday. Not constant, but a on and off fashion.

Further out, the chill for the weekend looks weak, and overall the big chill is delayed. Models differ on the outcome. Some ensemble members still carry the 1st flake threat in early Oct..some members keep the stubborn ridge in place directing the chill further north. Models in limbo on that, plenty of time for things to change.

18z 3km Nam 2m temperatures

18z 3km Nam Simulated Radar

12z ECMWF precip type next 240hrs

12z ECMWF 2m Temperatures

12z ECMWF rainfall through Wednesday

18z GFS precip type next 384hrs

18z GFS precip through Wednesday

The slow go on the foliage. There is some decent fall color on Canaan Mt, and pockets. Really depends on tree type, soil, location to those areas. West side of Cabin Mt mostly green yet. Here is a comparison of 9/22/17, to today 9/23/18

Some other pics on the day

 

 

Photo by Charles Cropp at Spruce Knob Lake