Oct 12.                   min.     max.       avg

Bitt 2nw valley    40.1      47.7       43.9

Garrett College   40.1       47.8      43.9

Can-Heights        34.1      45.0       39.5

CRN-Canaan       35.2      47.0      34.7

Cabin Mt              31.3      44.6     37.9

Cabin Mt north  32.0       44.1    38.0

Spruce Knob.         x

Snowshoe             32.0       45.7     38.8

Can-Valley Floor  36.5       48.0     42.2

7Springs                37.4       45.3     41.3

Cloudy morning, high elevation Wv fog with temps below freezing,,windchills teens there.  This also lead to reported first flakes with the available moisture freezing and falling around 4000′. Likely a touch of rime above 4100′.. Skies broke for a sunnier afternoon.

Temp profile this afternoon

 

Radar with estimates 9pm-9pm

Snow depths

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

Flakes…

Vernon Patterson reported flakes at sunrise at Bear Rocks. Likely similar across Cabin Mt, Plains, and through the highest parts of the Alleghenies. Enough moisture in the air, temps below freezing, strong winds, enough to freeze the moisture and let it fall

On the models..

Sticking short term with 3km Nam..

Precip pushing in overnight. Rain initially, switching to snow above 2600′. Temps mild enough(relatively speaking) that coatings to 1/2″ should be limited to 3700’+.  Temps 29-33° above 3700′, 33-38° 2500-3700′, 36-42° 2000-2500′. Windchills upper teens, low 20ss above 4000′ 25-35 elsewhere. Not a lot of temp rise Saturday. 35-40 above 3700′ 40-45 2500-3700, 43-49 1500-2500′. One more cold night Saturday night before moderation Sunday-Tuesday before the next cold surge.

18z 3km Nam 2m temperatures

18z 3km Nam 850 temps (5000′ temps)

18z 3km Nam WindChills

18z 3km Nam Simulated Radar

North America Snow Extent

Highest in 14 years of this data set that has monitored it. This on the heels of a very cold September across Canada. I believe I read(need to DoubleClick)Canada as a whole had its coldest September in 65 years. The snowpack has built on our side of the pole and may play a role as we go into our snow season.