Oct 15.                     min.        max.     avg

Bitt 2nw valley        44.1       62.0      53.0

Garrett College        44.7       61.8      53.2

Can-Heights             44.0       58.3     51.2

CRN-Canaan            42.4       59.2     50.8

Cabin Mt                 42.4       54.9      48.6

Cabin Mt north      42.3       57.2      49.7

Spruce Knob          41.5       54.1      47.8

Snowshoe               45.0       55.9      50.5

Can-Valley Floor    46.2      61.0      53.6

7Springs                  40.4       57.9     49.2

Cloudy, showers breaking out mid morning, on and off all day. Turning windy. The peaks of blue you see off the Rt 40 cam, never saw that back towards Bittinger, Mchenry.

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar with estimates 9pm-9pm . Picked up .25 through 6pm at Bittinger 2nw Valley

Screenshot_20181015-211330

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

Pics

 

On the models…..

Cold air returns overnight after the hiatus today. Dropping temps, lowering dewpoints, and things drying out. Finally. Areas at or below freezing in the morning. The chill holds through the week, with Thursday a.m being the coldest period. If things go calm pre daybreak, coldest valleys see teens. If winds hold up just a little, as it looks like now they may,  high ground will see the coldest temps with mins 21-25.  Most all areas below freezing Thursday a.m. If you’ve not seen a frost, freeze yet. Thursday a.m should change that. Watching the weekend with some rain to snow. Possibly some light accumulations Sunday. May be a good period to get some some snow on foliage pics in the Blackwater Canyon if this pans out, stay tuned. If it occurs, its likely not exclusively only above 4000′. Long range, cold shots and precip opportunities. Can they match up for a early season thump? The potential is most definetly alive.

18z 3km Nam 2m temperatures

18z 3km Nam 2m Dewpoints

18z 3km Nam Windchills

18z GFS precip type next next 384hrs

18z GFS 2m temperatures next 10

 

Little peak at some of the 12z ECMWF ensemble members on snowfall next 15 days. Potential is there. eps_snow_25_washdc_61-2

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