Oct 22.                       min.       max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley       26.2        51.6      38.9

Garrett College        28.9        53.4      41.2

Can-Heights             24.9        49.1      37.0

CRN-Canaan

Cabin Mt                   23.5       47.7      35.6

Cabin Mt north       24.1       47.8      36.0

Spruce Knob           22.1       45.5      33.8

Snowshoe   x

Can-Valley Floor     24.8      53.2     39.0

7Springs                    27.6     47.9    37.8

Mainly clear skies, only a few clouds today.  Light breezes and low dew points. Those low dew points allowed the light snow covering today to remain on some north facing areas and shady spots. Many only look at temps when it comes to snow melt. You will melt more snow with temps upper 30s, with dewpoints upper 30s vs 50° and dry air.

Temp profile this afternoon with dewpoints

Dry period- no radar or estimates

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

Pic by Jonathan Gladysz at Red Spruce Knob this morning

On the models…..

A developing nor’ easter this coming weekend. Track, intensity are HUGE question marks. Further east, weaker, its a light rain, rain, snow mix.  West on the coast, and strong, more likely the mountains get an appreciable winter event out of this. Details are sketchy, confidence is low. So, keep this in the back of your mind that this potential exist for the weekend.  Will resume graphics tomorrow..

The range of impact currently insignificant to major. The major impact would be a intensifying nor’easter, drawing in cold air, lift over mts, a wet heavy snow on areas where foliage remains. Oak areas, beech, lots of leaves on certain tree types, so power outage issues would occur under a scenario should this turn into a big ticket winter event. No hype, not saying its coming, not saying its not. Bottom line is, it is a unknown and lots of model variation.

Extended beyond, a shot of Indian summer may work in for early November.