Oct 23.                     min.       max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley       36.0       55.0      45.5

Garrett College       38.2       54.8     46.5

Can-Heights            35.0       51.8     43.4

CRN-Canaan           33.7       53.7     43.7

Cabin Mt                 31.1       49.8     40.4

Cabin Mt north     32.4      50.0      41.2

Spruce Knob         31.1      46.8      38.9

Snowshoe x

Can-Valley Floor   35.2     54.7      44.9

7Springs                 35.5     50.1     42.8

Mainly sunny day, few passing clouds. Windy afternoon.

Temp profile this afternoon

No precip past 24 hours

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

On the models….

A developing Nor’Easter this weekend continues to adjust run to run on the models. It’s still early to make a clear cut call.  Models have trended to this-

1- temps do look like the may be just mild enough for a cold rain event

2- a dropping upper level low may provide some wet snow early next week

By no means is that etched in stone. Let’s look at the ECMWF low locations Saturday morning.. That doesn’t look like a lot, but it’s enough to play a big role in a borderline precipitation event. 

Snowfall off the 12z ECMWF ensembles. It’s less than previous, but some members still see appreciable high ground snow with the event.

The operational ECMWF today has a odd scenario. Precip breaks out as snow and as precip builds heavier, it changes to rain in the high ground. That’s a red flag. The 12z ECMWF akso brings best accumulation with upper level low early next week. LOTS of tweaking and adjusting over the next 2 days

12z ECMWF 2m Temperatures