Nov 29 (Thur)            min.     max.    avg

Bitt 2nw valley         16.3      32.0     24.1

Garrett College         16.4      38.6    27.5

Can-Heights              11.4      33.7    22.5

CRN-Canaan             12.4     36.7     24.6

Cabin Mt                   8.6       34.2     21.4

Cabin Mt north        9.9      33.3     21.4

Spruce Knob            6.8      31.6     19.2

Snowshoe                10.0     36.9     23.5

Can-Valley Floor     12.0     37.4    24.7

7Springs                   14.2     36.6    25.4

Cloudy start, few fine flakes, high ground fog. This quickly eroding by mid morning for a sunny late morning, through mid afternoon period. Then clouds building, and spotty light precip after dark. Some pockets of freezing precip, mainly north.

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar

Snowfall- Picked up .1 after 6pm last night through 7am. new SD dropped to 4.5″. That’s 5.9″ event total, 14.1″ season total2018-11-29-21-22-35

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

Pics today

 

Pic by Vernon Patterson at Big Run FallsFB_IMG_1543533900029

Videos at Snowshoe and Canaan

On the models….

Spotty precip tonight, isolated pockets of freezing. Milder, low 40s tomorrow. Then, I have not seen any forecast remotely mention the threat of any spot seeing freezing rain Saturday. The NWS forecast for Garrett County didn’t mention temps in 30s even. I have said it before. I will live and die by the 3km Nam on this type of setup. 3km Nam is going with some light freezing rain in the same areas that got it last Saturday.  Warmer Sunday, turning colder Monday, light snow threat Tuesday

0z 3km Nam 2m temperatures

A look closer at the model at 11am, 3pm and 6pm Saturday, areas +/- 32 all day

 

0z 3km Nam Simulated Radar

A look at the freezing rain areas on the model. Ignore amounts. This is a weak link in the model. Location, strong suit. hires_frzrain_wv_61

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