Nov 30 (Fri) min. max. avg

Bitt 2nw valley 32.0 40.1 36.0

Garrett College 36.4 41.9 39.2

Can-Heights 33.7 42.9 38.3

CRN-Canaan 32.9 42.0 37.5

Cabin Mt. 33.6 40.1 36.8

Cabin Mt north 32.9 41.0 36.9

Spruce Knob 30.9 40.5 35.7

Snowshoe 36.9 42.4 39.7

Can-Valley Floor 34.3 44.1 39.2

7Springs 33.0 39.2 36.1

Cloudy, fog, mist, times of light rain. High dew points, light rain melting the snow off.

Temp profile this afternoon

2018-12-04-09-58-05 Radar with estimates 9pm-9pm

Screenshot_20181130-213631

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow…

On the models…

Sticking near term.. Light drizzle, fog overnight. Northern Alleghenies cooling down well into the 30s by daybreak. Riding the 3km nam on this. It’s my live or die by model in these type of setups. The NWS forecast is much warmer. The GFS, ECMWF, are warmer than the 3km nam, but also a much wider grid. NWS forecast uses a airport grid. So, sticking with the 3km Nam.

That said, temps falling to around 30-33 in the coldest in the areas you’ll see in the graphics below. These areas have a shot at a little light icing tomorrow and temps holding near freezing through 2am-4am Sunday, before rapidly rising. Ovenight tomorrow. Savage Mt may be 32° and holding while Terra Alta is 52°… that warm air mass will spread over all the area by daybreak Sunday. Widespread 50s across the area Sunday. We begin to chill back off Monday, and possibly some snow showers Tuesday/Wednesday. Right now, accumulations look very minimal if any. Long range, storm signal for the 8th-9th period. Far too early to say on, if it develops, or where it tracks. But a time period to watch.

Now short term

18z 3km Nam 2m temperatures