Dec 31(Mon)             min        max      avg

Bitt 2nw valley        25.8        57.0        41.4

Garrett College        27.6       59.5*      43.5

Can-Heights             33.9       55.1       44.5

CRN-Canaan

Cabin Mt

Cabin Mt north

Spruce Knob          34.1        49.2       41.6

Snowshoe              38.7         50.0      44.2

Can-Valley Floor   23.2        54.1      38.6

7Springs.                 34.3        57.4     45.8

Cloudy, rainy… precip began in some valleys with temps below 32°. Bittinger 2nw Valley was one of the areas before temps crept just above freezing and held 30s during the entire daylight period. Showers through the day, some dense fog in the afternoon. Temps much milder south n west. At the time of this posting, the warmer air is ready to overtake the areas prior to midnight, and will give numbers unreflective of the day.

Temp profile this afternoon…

2019-01-01-08-17-28Radar with estimates 9pm-9pm

Screenshot_20181231-210824

Satellite this afternoon

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow..

Today’s 3km Nam, ICON models doing a great representation of temperature reality. The NWS grid, which I’ve documented time and time again fails at this setup. Upper 40s for the afternoon was +10 vs reality.

December summary

Temps:

Bittinger 2nw Valley:

Spruce Knob

Frost pocket data compiled by Dave LesherScreenshot_20190101-224747

Precipitation:

… At Bittinger 2nw/ cocorahs Accident 3.9 E finished December with 5.45″ using midnight obs time. With .56 for December 31 at midnight. Stations officially use 7am times therefore 12/31 rain goes in the books  for Jan 1. The station will officially end with 4.93″

2019-01-01-19-19-50

Elsewhere using same guidelines except airports use midnight to midnight, therefore yesterdays rainfall included in 2018 for those particular sites:

Snowfall- At Bittinger 2nw Valley I finished with 11.1″ on the month. At Bittinger 2nw/cocorahs Accident 3.9E, also finished with 11.1″. My theory is during high wind, fluff events my tallies will be higher at the valley site due to higher ratio, and less breakdown of snowfall. Each amount is correct.  Lots of factors in snowfall data. 2019-01-01-19-38-55

On the season I stand at 25.2″, Canaan Heights at 36″ and the season to date map looks pretty good for accuracy Screenshot_20190101-193458

2018 Summary Data

Temps- With the wet year, temps did what you would expect temps to do with lots of cloud cover and precip. Daytime maxes overall slightly below normal, overnight  mins above normal and the mean in the area average to slightly above.

Bittinger 2nw Valley Max temp of 2018 was 85.0 on July 4th, and the min temp was -16.0 on January 7th.

Precipitation….WET. WET. WET. That will be how 2018 gets summarized and will be a year to remember in that regard..Most stations running 20″+ over normal. Interesting to note Bayards record years in the late 20s. Questionable IMO.

Few chosen river gauges- Blackwater River at Davis, and Cassleman River at Grantsville. Only a few brief spells where they actually did fall below normal this year. Most of the year as you would expect was well above. During the rain event in September, the Cassleman gauge went above 4000cfs for only the 5th time in the gauges history….

Dec 30(Sun)            min.    max      avg

Bitt 2nw valley       26.9     39.2      33.0

Garrett College       28.4    40.2      34.3

Can-Heights            27.1     37.6     32.3

CRN-Canaan

Cabin Mt

Cabin Mt north

Spruce Knob          27.5        36.5    32.0

Snowshoe               29.1        39.9    34.5

Can-Valley Floor  23.4       41.5      32.4

7Springs                 24.6      37.7      31.2

Light snow prior to and just at daybreak, giving away to breaking skies and some sunshine. Variable sky conditions throughout the day

Temp profile this afternoon

 

Radar

Snowfall- Picked up .4″ at Bittinger 2nw Valley. 25.2″ on the season2018-12-30-08-36-16

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

Pics today

 

Dec 29(Sat)               min      max.    avg

Bitt 2nw valley        26.9       48.0     37.4

Garrett College       26.9       48.5     37.7

Can-Heights            25.6       44.3     35.0

CRN-Canaan

Cabin Mt

Cabin Mt north

Spruce Knob        23.9         39.0        31.4

Snowshoe             25.5        41.2       33.2

Can-Valley Floor  28.2       46.9       37.5

7Springs                24.0       46.0       35.0

Cloudy, some high elevation fog(some wv rime up high). I had some fine light flakes late day, early overnight.

Temp profile this afternoon

 

Radar(not much)

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

 

On the models ..

Really really blah pattern for winter lovers.. fast Pacific flow, ridge SE, not much winter action. Model variation late next week offers a slim hope of snow…

12z ECMWF precip type next 240hrs

 

Dec 28(Fri)           min.      max        avg

Bitt 2nw valley     35.1       52.4      43.7

Garrett College     39.3       57.5      48.4

Can-Heights          42.9       51.3      47.1

CRN-Canaan government shutdown

Cabin Mt    x

Cabin Mt north    x

Spruce Knob         34.5       44.8       39.6

Snowshoe              36.9       50.2      43.5

Can-Valley Floor  45.5       52.7      49.1

7Springs                36.2        54.5     45.3

Cloudy, some low fog early. Chillier sheltered valleys, milder hilltops. After some steady rain last night, patchy drizzle and sprinkles at times today was all.

Temp profile this afternoon

 

 

Radar with estimates 9pm-9pm

Screenshot_20181228-210541

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

Pics today

 

http://www.skisoutheast.com/bizarre-interview-weather-channel-snowshoe-mountain/

Dec 27(Thurs)          min       max     avg

Bitt 2nw valley         15.5        39.3     27.4

Garrett College         23.1        42.5     32.8

Can-Heights              24.4        43.0     33.7

CRN-Canaan         government shutdown

Cabin Mt                  28.9        40.5     34.7

Cabin Mt north x

Spruce Knob          25.5        35.2      30.3

Snowshoe               25.7       37.4      31.5

Can-Valley Floor   11.3       45.9      28.6

7Springs                 28.9       38.9      33.9

Partly cloudy start, partly sunny day until mid afternoon when a cloud deck moved in. SE winds

Temp profile this afternoon

 

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

Pics today

 

On the models…

Rain pushing in tonight. Bigger deal southern Alleghenies. A few pockets along the Allegheny Front may briefly see a little freezing precip, before rapid warming tomorrow a.m. (50s)Areas east of the mts tomorrow may hold chillier. Colder air back in Friday night into Saturday a.m,few flakes even with no accu. Rain returns Monday and not until next week this time do we have a shot for some white. Beyond next weekend winter may make an attempt to take hold more.

12z ECMWF precip type next 240hrs

Weeklies

Dec 26(Wed)            min.     max      avg

Bitt 2nw valley       13.1       36.5      24.8

Garrett College       18.6       42.3     30.5

Can-Heights            13.3       35.7     24.5

CRN-Canaan

Cabin Mt.                 18.5       40.1     29.3

Cabin Mt north       x

Spruce Knob         22.6         32.5     27.5

Snowshoe              23.5        37.6      30.4

Can-Valley Floor    2.5        39.4       20.9

7Springs                23.3        36.0       29.6

Few clouds early, otherwise basically a wall to wall clear blue sky day

Temp profile this afternoon

 

 

 

Radar is free and clear of any precip.

Satellite still and regional in motion , also included modis subset regional view that shows snow cover over the Alleghenies

Screenshot_20181226-203240

ChesapeakeBayWatershed.2018360.terra.250m.borders

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

 

Pics today

 

 

Video by SkiSouthEast at Snowshoe

Video from Canaan Resort by Justin Harris

          CHRISTMAS DAY

Dec 25(Tues)         min.       max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley      10.6       30.9      20.7

Garrett College      12.9       31.1     22.0

Can-Heights            14.4       29.4    21.9

CRN-Canaan            18         29       23.5

Cabin Mt                  17.1      29.3    23.2

Cabin Mt north     x

Spruce Knob          18.1      24.3     21.2

Snowshoe               18.0      26.4     22.2

Can-Valley Floor    6.1       35.6     20.8

7Springs                 18.5      26.0    22.2

Thin partial  overcast  at daybreak. Thicker clouds Tucker on south. Today some varying high thin cloud cover to partly sunny skies

Temp profile this afternoon

 

Radar(I believe all precip in the Alleghenies on radar was virga)

On ground snow. Bittinger 2nw Valley morning 12/25/18 maintained at 5″ depth2018-12-25-21-07-18

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

Pics today

 

Dec 24(Mon)              min      max.    avg

Bitt 2nw valley         20.2       31.6     25.9

Garrett College         22.0       31.5     26.8

Can-Heights               20.4      28.6     24.5

CRN-Canaan              21         29        25

Cabin Mt                    17.2      26.1     21.6

Cabin Mt north        x

Spruce Knob            16.1       24.9     20.5

Snowshoe                 16.3      24.4     20.3

CAN-Valley Floor     23.0     30.6     26.8

7Springs                    20.7     29.1     24.9

Cloudy start, few flakes remain. Few interval/periods with sun mixed in with a mainly cloudy theme

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar

Snowfall 3.7″ at Bittinger 2nw Valley,  5.1″ depth, year to date total at 24.8″

 

Canaan Heights picking up 4.7″ with a season to date total at 35.8″

24 hour graphic, 72 hour graphic, season to date graphic

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

Pics today

Video by Justin Harris on Cabin Mt

Dec 23(Sun)                 min.    max    avg

Bitt 2nw valley           24.0     34.4      29.2

Garrett College          27.1     35.1      31.0

Can-Heights               23.1     34.2      28.7

CRN-Canaan               24        34        29

Cabin Mt                    21.2      31.8     26.5

Cabin Mt north        x

Spruce Knob            19.2       26.6     22.9

Snowshoe                 20.1       28.2     24.2

Can-Valley Floor     25.2       37.0     31.1

7Springs                   24.5       32.7     28.6

Partly cloudy start, increasing clouds this afternoon and snow after nightfall.

Temp profile this afternoon

 

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

 

Pics today by ski patrol at Canaan

 

 

Video at Deep Creek Lake webcam after nightfall

9Rt 40 cam that faces west plastered over

Dec 22(Sat)             min      max      avg

Bitt 2nw valley      27.6      31.7      29.6

Garrett College      27.3      31.7      29.5

Can-Heights           23.9      29.1      26.5

CRN-Canaan           25         30       27.5

Cabin Mt               21.4       27.1     24.2

Cabin Mt north   x

Spruce Knob       20.1       26.1      23.1

Snowshoe            20.1       26.4     23.2

Can-Valley Floor 26.1      31.3     28.7

7Springs               25.2      29.3     27.2

Snow, mostly light today, windy..some high ground fog at times

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar with estimates 9pm-9pm

 

Snowfall Picked up 2.3″ at Bittinger 2nw  by 8am. Then an additional .7 for. 8am until 4pm boardsweep. 3.0″ total for 21.2″ on the season

Canaan Heights 5.3″ total overnight through 7pm for 31.2″ season total

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

Pics today