Canaan Cam offline

Feb 28(Thur)             min       max     avg

Bitt 2nw Valley

Garrett College

New Germany SP

Can -Heights

CRN-Canaan

Cabin Mt

Cabin Mt north

Spruce Knob

Snowshoe

Can-Valley Floor

Can-Valley Floor N

7Springs

Cloudy start, some high elevation fog with a little rime. A period of fine light snow at Bittinger 2nw Valley that put down a skiff

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar void

Snow- remains of the morning skiff on pond ice2019-02-28-20-11-03

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

Pics today

Canaan  Cam offline

Feb 27(Wed)             min.       max.      avg

Bitt 2nw Valley

Garrett College

New Germany SP

Can-Heights

CRN-Canaan

Cabin Mt

Cabin Mt north

Spruce Knob

Snowshoe

Can-Valley Floor

Can-Valley Floor N

7Springs

Mainly sunny day, light SE winds for much of the day, keeping some locations cooler. Clouds light, and a sprinkle after nightfall

Temp profile this afternoon and one evening snippet

 

Radar void until late day sprinkles

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

Pics today…. The time of year the higher sun angle melts off the open areas faster and the milder day somewhat in the wooded areas. The wide open areas in large are bare. Wooded areas light cover, north facing and sheltered areas, a solid cover(Bittinger 2nw Valley) a solid 2-5″ cover. Despite 40s today, low dewpoints held, and the shaded areas pretty well remained solid(as seen in video below)

 

Want to document the 9 sandhill cranes seen and photographed by Kathy Handyside near The Glades, Foxtown area near Bittinger todayScreenshot_20190227-214052

The winter pattern…. A like year, not exact, but a like year resembles the winter of 1948-1949

The SST anomalies- Likeness, warmth east of the dateline at 30N and extending west. Cooler anomlies east. This year very similiar except the warmth north of this area towards southern Alaska is more pronounced.

Cooler waters off the west coast. This has evolved this season.  The anomaly was more extreme in 48-49. Likely making the pattern more stubborn.

This cool pool extends back to Hawaii. With the very cold air into Canada, plus this Pacific setup,  favors a trough holding into the west. As seen especially the 2nd half of winter. This year, there was a lot more cold air in play vs 48-49 winter…

With more cold air in play,  the next feature to talk about is the SE ridge. That feature was much like the 48-49. The difference was we had more cold air in play this year. This big ridge, like a boulder in a river, sent systems up to our west. With cold highs passing north, we seen a lot of these systems as overrunning systems which affects the eastern areas from Mt. Storm, north central Garrett and points east and northeast.  Really leaves the Wv high ground with minimal winter. As non snowy as this year has been, it’s ahead of 48-49, the least snowy winter recorded at Canaan. The overall Atlantic configuration is very similiar.

The enso has like features as well, as well as to cool waters that developed east of Australia. The enso, mjo often failed to jive this year to typical correlations .

 

So, with all these like(not identical) features in the sea surface temps, what did the overall winter of 48-49 look like vs this year(Dec-Feb).

More cold in play this year, as evident by northern New England vs 48-49. Enough cold in the pattern for the north, northeastern areas and the lower elevations east of the mts to be in the cold zone for these over running events.(color code is different)

 

In general, the overall pattern is a lot alike the 48-49 season with some variances.

Canaan Cam offline

Feb 26 (Wed)           min     max      avg

Bitt 2nw Valley

Garrett College

New Germany SP

Can-Heights

CRN-Canaan

Cabin Mt

Cabin Mt north

Spruce Knob

Snowshoe

Can-Valley Floor

Can-Valley Floor N

7Springs

Some high cloudiness at times, but overall a mostly sunny day. The higher sun angle is doing its thing as sunny areas melt off, shady areas hold status quo, especially with low dew points.

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar void

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

Pics today

2019-02-26-16-20-52

Canaan Cam offline

Feb 25 (Mon)             min.    max.    avg

Bitt 2nw Valley

Garrett College

New Germany SP

Can-Heights

CRN-Canaan

Cabin Mt

Cabin Mt north

Spruce Knob

Snowshoe

Can-Valley Floor

Can-Valley Floor N

7Springs

Windy, sunny, cold, pretty much sums up today.

Temp profile this afternoon

 

Radar precip free

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

Pics today

 

Areas with snow cover evident on todays satellite20190561807_GOES16-ABI-ne-GEOCOLOR-600x600

A very hardpack, icy, concrete snow cover

Resorts on the make after dark

Canaan Cam offline

Feb 24 (Sun)              min      max      avg

Bitt 2nw Valley

Garrett College

New Germany SP

Can-Heights

CRN-Canaan

Cabin Mt

Cabin Mt north

Spruce Knob

Snowshoe

Can-Valley Floor

Can-Valley Floor N

7Springs

Freezing Rain early in the classic cold zones. (That has discussed thoroughly where those are). That gave way to showers, breaking skies, strong winds and rapidly rising temps initially, then falling temps. Showers with some pockets of hail… then late day some pockets of light scattered snow. The big story is the strong winds.

Temp profile this afternoon(first image is morning temps, gives a good idea of freezing zones) Then the warm sector midday, followed by falling temps from the point of those 2 images.

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

Pics today

2019-02-24-21-56-40

Photo by Bill Buckel at Bittinger 2nw in the morning 2019-02-24-07-03-48

Photo by Scott Graham near Bittingerreceived_2166998730280248

From Savage Mt 5pm

Winds today are the big story. But first a quick rundown on the temp setup last night. Canaan Heights 40s, Northern Cabin Mt 40s. Like clockwork, the boundary held. Mt.Storm 28-31 overnight. Further north in Garrett. mainly Mchenry east, then that angle near Sand Flat to Backbone Mt  and high ground NE.

Winds- Snowshoe reporting a 88mph gust. This off a private station, no data quality control. Located within Snowshoe Village and probably enhanced by its surroundings, in other words likely a artificially high number. However media , and the weather service has ran with it.

Northern Cabin Mt did pick up a actual 74mph gust.

NWS ice call for Garrett County was dreadful once again. The Saturday morning call was freezing rain to rain 9am, then 1pm with rain afterwards. Then no mention of freezing. Then a change to a winter weather advisory to 1am, then changed to 7am. The 1-3° warm biased grid in these setups destroys their forecast. I do not know how many documentations it will take for them to recognize this to make a change.

 

Canaan Cam offline

Feb 23(Sat)                min       max      avg

Bitt 2nw Valley

Garrett College

New Germany SP

Can-Heights

CRN-Canaan

Cabin Mt

Cabin Mt north

Spruce Knob

Snowshoe

Can-Valley Floor

Can-Valley Floor N

7Springs

Cloudy, east wind, light freezing rain, more significant freezing rain after dark in the classic cold areas.

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

Pics today

Canaan Cam offline

Feb 22(Fri)               min       max      avg

Bitt 2nw Valley

Garrett College

New Germany SP

Can-Heights

CRN-Canaan

CRN-Canaan

Cabin Mt

Cabin Mt north

Spruce Knob

Snowshoe

Can-Valley Floor

Can-Valley Floor N

7Springs

High clouds, dimmed sun, calm to very light winds, low dewpoints the theme of the day. Despite temps into the low 40s, the low dewpoints made snow melt very minimal.

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar

 

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

Pics today

Protected/sheltered area in the valley. A bowl shaped area, lays low, last to see sun, first to see it go away, refrigerated by snowpack on the hillsides, shaded, less wind….Today marks the 100th straight day with snow on the ground at this location. Not drifts, not pile, just snow cover. That began with the Nov 15th event. That concrete like sleet, snow event has remained. This has been documented with pics through some of the warmer periods in early Jan, when it was the last standing snow spot(non drift)2019-02-22-16-51-42

Current SST anomaliesglobe_oisst_anom_current

Canaan Cam offline

Feb 21(Thurs)           min       max      avg

Bitt 2nw Valley         31.7      44.0      37.8

Garrett College         32.2      47.6      39.9

New Germany SP     X

Can-Heights              33.8       47.4      40.6

CRN-Canaan             35.5       46.2      40.8

Cabin Mt                   30.9      45.0      37.9

Cabin Mt north       32.0       46.2      39.1

Spruce Knob            29.5       42.6     36.0

Snowshoe                 31.3       49.1     40.2

Can-Valley Floor      36.1      48.0     42.0

Can-Valley Floor N  35.8      48.2    42.0

7Springs                    30.5      47.1     38.8

Cloudy start, after very icy conditions until the 1-3am. Some ice remained on secondary roads despite 40° temps and wind. That melted off after dawn… temps slowly fell in the morning hours before rising midday, early afternoon. Drier air mass in place. Dry enough air mass, despite low 40s, shady areas at Bittinger 2nw Valley still had ice cover on the snowpack from last night in spots.

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar

 

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

Pics today

Joe Bastardi mentioned a like setup a few days ago to the system yesterday. December 27/28, 1990. In digging a little further, the overall pattern was strikingly similiar.
A big, dominant SE ridge, 590Heights off SE Florida. 564-570 heights over our area. Almost identical in both occasions. Not favorable for mid atlantic snow events. Deep trough south of Greenland, and western U.S…nearly identical . Big Ridge into Alaska , trough west of Hawaii, almost identical. Color enhancements are slightly different on each maps, with the present day being more detailed here.
That system, while earlier in the season, performed in a similiar fashion. A big SE ridge does not favor the WV mts and west of them for cold or snow or much winter period besides fleeting glances. The lower elevations on the east side of the Allegheny Front will run into better winter producing systems than 4000′ + elevations will, under a SE ridge pattern. Often ice is the most common winter precip with the setup east of the mountains and north central Garrett, and points Northeast. We have seen plenty of these over running events in this setup.
My head fight was- how heavy and how long that initial heavy snow period would last. Once it’s heavy and if the precip holds, it doesn’t want to changeover to sleet. In this case it lasted an additional, in most cases 1-2 hours or so longer than I guessed and that made a +1-+4 increase with overall totals, in most cases, Garrett, and east, and east of the Front. The WV mts and west held course pretty well. The ice, while creating ” imo ” the worst travel of the year last night(Sunday night could be argued for) wasn’t the tree snapping ice that it had potential to be.

Back to 1990 system snowfall… the very like pattern to yesterdays event – Snowfall
Location           1990      2019
Canaan Valley 4.0        3.8
Canaan Heights —       5.0
Bayard.               4.0      5.5
Rowlesburg        2.5      2.0
Oakland              6.0       5.5
Bittinger 2nw Valley — 5.4 *
Frostburg           12.5      6.2
Cumberland       13.0      7.2/ unofficial non coop or cocorahs report of 10
Hyndman            13.0       7.0 nearby
Keyser/New Creek —-      7.7
Romney                10.0       6.1
Morgantown.      1.8         1.2
Fairmont              2.0           >1
Mill Gap Va         3.0         4.0
Petersburg.          8.0       6.0
Moorefield          9.0        5.5
7Springs               9.0       7.2

The 1990 event was a little greater, but the setup, warm air advection system, boundaries, amounts, strikingly similiar.

*With my 5.4″ yesterday, noted in the blog page. 5.1″ had fell at the time of changeover. No boardsweep, but I did clear a seperate area to record sleet, which does get recorded as snow, this was done just to seperate the 2, but for overall tallies its one. I picked up .9 sleet after recording 5.1 snow. It did raise my snowfall to 5.4 as sleet overall works to beat down the depth vs add. Was actually surprised to add .3.

Pics below, the 500 of yesterday vs the 1990 event. As well as the 500 and surface features off Penn State ewall site from 1990.

Modeled snow depth this afternoon showing that classic zone that can see some decent winter in the big SE ridge patterns. Mainly these are over running ice events

18z 3km Nam showing this setup well in the temps coming up this Saturday

Canaan Cam offline

Feb 20(Wed)              min      max     Avg

Bitt 2nw Valley        21.4       31.8     26.6

Garrett College        21.6       32.4     27.0

New Germany SP    X

Can-Heights              23.2      47.9    35.6

CRN-Canaan             25.6      42.3    34.0

Cabin Mt.                  19.9      47.8    33.8

Cabin Mt north       19.4       49.5    34.4

Spruce Knob             18.8      42.0    31.9

Snowshoe                  21.6      48.6   35.1

Can-Valley Floor       25.7     44.2   34.9

Can-Valley Floor N   23.5      47.5   35.5

7Springs                     19.1      47.3   33.2

Heavy snow predawn and post dawn. I had a change to sleet 8:30-8:45. This persisted past midday, then light precip in ice ball, freezing drizzle form. Light rain increase in the evening, creating very icy conditions. Thundersnow this am in Cumberland, Thunder freezing rain 8:45pm in parts of the area. Large temp variances as well. Canaan to Mt Storm was 10-16°.. Daytime maxes by midnight may not show the true variance.

Temp profile this afternoon and later

 

Radar

Snowfall- picked up a total of 5.4″ with details in the photos. 1.9″ through 6am, 5.1″ through changeover at 8:45am, then picked up .9″ Sleet that managed to add .3″ depth.  69.6″ on the season.

 

 

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

 

Pics

 

Canaan Cam offline

Feb 19(Tues)           min       max       avg

Bitt 2nw Valley        10.7       28.9      19.8

Garrett College         10.5      29.7      20.1

New Germany SP    X

Can-Heights             14.9       27.8      21.3

CRN-Canaan            16.6      29.0      22.8

Cabin Mt                  12.7      25.2      18.9

Cabin Mt north     12.9      25.0       18.9

Spruce Knob           12.5      28.4     20.4

Snowshoe                14.9     33.4     24.2

Can-Valley Floor      18.0    30.4    24.2

Can-Valley Floor N  17.4    30.0    23.7

7Springs                     9.4     21.5    15.4

Partly sunny start, cold valleys. Some single digit areas in localized areas of Garrett, Preston. High thin clouds pushing in today.

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar void, light snow early last night didn’t show up

Snowfall – Picked up .4 at Bittinger 2nw Valley overnight. 64.2″ on the season2019-02-19-20-44-02.jpg

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

Pics today