October 28, 2023

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Oct 28(Sat)

Cloudy, some showers, high ground fog

Bittinger 2nw Valley

Garrett County Airport

Top of Wisp

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

Climate Reference Network Station

Atop Canaan Ski area

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

Spruce Knob

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt.Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

not reporting

Elkins Airport

• SITE COMPARISON

Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′

The Valley vs Cabin Mt

Canaan area temps

High Ground Comparison

Up High and Down Low

Up High, High Valley, Low Valley

The Valleys

Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA

RTMA

Radar

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/GIS/apps/rview/warnings.phtml?osite=RLX&tzoff=0&layers%5B%5D=nexrad&layers%5B%5D=warnings&layers%5B%5D=cwas&layers%5B%5D=uscounties&layers%5B%5D=watches&layers%5B%5D=blank&site=RLX&tz=EST&archive=yes&year=2023&month=10&day=28&hour=23&minute=55&warngeo=both&zoom=250&imgsize=640×480&loop=1&frames=90&interval=15&filter=0&cu=0&sortcol=fcster&sortdir=DESC&lsrlook=%2B&lsrwindow=0

Satellite

Flow

Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow

OUTLOOKS:

The shower threat exist today, increases on Sunday. The primary rain focus on Sunday is north of the Mason-Dixon line and that shifts southward Monday. Rainfall amounts off the Euro and GFS are in pretty good agreement through Tuesday morning. As the colder air continues its push southward.

then the colder push continues in Tuesday night and the opportunity for some snow will increase late Tuesday night in to the day Wednesday. Currently it’s looking like a 1-3″ type threat across the High Ground. From the favored upslope zones in PA, through Garrett and in to the Wv high ground. Modeled snowfall amounts below:

Early Wednesday expect temps widespread 20s, possibly upper teens above 4200′, with windchills on 20-30mph gust running single digits across the Wv high ground above 4000′ with teens elsewhere. Air temps Wednesday afternoon warm to 25-29 above 4000′, 29-33 3000-4000′, 33-37 2500-3000′.

The Gfs is a bit faster pushing the snow out Wednesday afternoon. Therefore skies clear faster, winds die off later Wednesday. If that setup occurs those coldest valley sites could drop in to the single digits. Otherwise, widespread upper teens and 20s overnight Wednesday into Thursday a.m

Tis the season….but it could be worse. 11 years ago today we were getting ready to deal with Sandy remnants beginning tomorrow.