October 30, 2023

October 30, 2023

OUTLOOK:

4:25pm 10/30/23

Colder air currently pushing in. The high ground is edging in to the upper 30s and will continue in to the 20s by Tuesday morning. Enough moisture should linger in to the early overnight for some light frozen precip of little consequence.

After a tranquil but chilly Tuesday, we await what will be the first snow for many overnight Tuesday in to Wednesday morning. This still looks on track for a 1-3″ type event above 2000-2500′ on the upslope side of the Alleghenies and leaning low to mid range on the totals. Model output below

12zECMWF through Wednesday
12z GFS through Wednesday

Snowfall should taper off early to midday Wednesday with clearing skies and dying winds as we go through the day. Temps starting off the day upper teens to around 20 above 4000′, with windchills 0-10°, and temps in the 20s 2500-4000′ with windchills upper single digits to teens. So some real deal cold Wednesday morning

12zECMWF MODELED TEMPS 7AM WED
12zECMWF WINDCHILLS

Winds gusting early 25-35mph across the high ground. That accompanied with temps should lead to proper preparation of outdoor water lines and other cold weather preparations.

12zECMWF 2M WINDGUST

Temps remaining below freezing for the high ground through the day Wednesday. Wednesday afternoon temps

With the skies clearing and winds dying Wednesday PM that should set up the opportunity for the coldest valleys to possibly dip upper single digits to low teens.

A moderating temp trend in to the weekend and models in agreement on another digging trough and potential snow activity as we go in to next week and beyond

12zECMWF TEMPS FOR K2G4 GARRETT COUNTY AIRPORT
12zGFS TEMPS FOR K2G4 GARRETT COUNTY AIRPORT

REVIEW OF OCTOBER 30, 2023

REVIEW OF OCTOBER 30, 2023

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Oct 30(Mon)

Cloudy, showers

Bittinger 2nw Valley

Amish Rd morning
Foxtown Rd morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades afternoon
Near Bittinger 2nw afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon

Garrett County Airport

Rock Lodge Rd morning
Rock Lodge Rd morning
Deep Creek Lake afternoon
Deep Creek area afternoon

Top of Wisp

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

7am to 7am data MMTS BP
Midnight to midnight Dyacon DL

Climate Reference Network Station

Atop Canaan Ski area

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

Spruce Knob

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt.Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

not reporting

Elkins Airport

  • SITE COMPARISON

Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′

The Valley vs Cabin Mt

Canaan area temps

High Ground Comparison

Up High and Down Low

Up High, High Valley, Low Valley

The Valleys

Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA

RTMA

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow

Town Hill

Polish Mt

Martins Mt

By Rocky Gap
By Rocky Gap

Cumberland

Lavale

Frostburg

Savage Mt to Grantsville

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