October 31, 2023

October 31, 2023

OUTLOOK:

The colder air is now entrenched in the area, but some diurnal daytime “heating” will occur with a mix of clouds and sun. Some areas picking up a touch of snow last night as enough moisture lingered to allow the incoming cold air to catch the tail end before exiting the area.

The next round which should be a bit more widespread in area and elevation pushes in tonight. The outlook remains for a 1-3″ type event with the leanings to the low and mid range of that total. Not a big deal, but the first widespread and potentially areas with slick travel will occur Wednesday a.m.

Modeled snowfall amounts below:

6z ECMWF
6zGFS
12zHRRR
6zRRFS EXPERIMENTAL
4k SWISS

The cold temps will be a bigger factor Wednesday morning vs this morning. 1- it will be colder. Temps upper teens Wv high ground above 4000′, with winds gusting 25-35mph. 2500-4000′ Temps ranging from the 20-26 as you work down in elevation.

8am TEMPS OFF THE 6Z ECMWF
WIND GUST OFF THE 6Z ECMWF THESE CONTINUE TO EARLY AFTERNOON AND BEGIN SLACKING OFF
8AM WIND CHILLS OFF THE 6Z ECMWF

Afternoon temps holding at and below freezing above 3500′ -3700′. Above 4000-4200′ temps should hold 20s.

3PM TEMPS OFF THE 6Z EURO

Skies begin clearing Wednesday PM. Winds begin slackening off WednesdayPM. How rapidly they slack off will determine how quick those valleys plummet Wednesday night. With modeled dewpoints looking like

6z ECMWF 7AM DEWPOINTS THURSDAY

That at least gives the chance those coldest valleys could potentially see some single digits. Teens and 20s elsewhere.

Then we see a moderating trend late week into early next week before the next cold shot pushes in.

For NWS office snowfall forecast click on the drop down menu option on the top left of the page and click “SNOWFALL INFO”.

REVIEW OF OCTOBER 31, 2023 ALONG WITH THE MONTHLY REVIEW

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Oct 31(Tues)

Colder day, a cold start, and the day began with some areas coated in snow. Especially the Canaan area. Sun, clouds through the day.

Bittinger 2nw Valley

Dung Hill Rd morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
West of Bittinger morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley evening
West of Bittinger evening, as the sun sets on October

The Glades

Garrett County Airport

Deep Creek Lake morning

Top of Wisp

Evening

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

7am to 7am data Mmts BP
Midnight to midnight data Dyacon DL

Climate Reference Network Station

Atop Canaan Ski Area

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

Spruce Knob

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt.Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

not reporting and hasn’t for the month

Elkins Airport

  • SITE COMPARISON

The Valley vs Cabin Mt

Canaan area temps

High Ground Comparison

Up High and Down Low

Up High, High Valley, Low Valley

The Valleys

Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA

RTMA

Monthly

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow

Northcraft

Town Hill

Polish Mt

🤷‍♂️

Martins Mt

By Rocky Gap

Cumberland

Lavale to Frostburg

Savage Mt to Grantsville

33 East of Harman at the divide

OCTOBER 2023

Temps

AVG MEAN ANOMALY

AVG MAX ANOMALY

AVG MIN ANOMALY

Precip

OBSERVED

DEPARTURE

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