November 1, 2023

OUTLOOK:

post made 7:00pm 11/1/23

After a general 1-3″ snowfall across the area, skies are clearing. Winds are still going but weakening and should go calm overnight as the High Pressure slides overhead. The ingredients are coming together for a good Valley temp drop overnight

1-Dry air mass. Modeled dewpoints around 10-12 and modeling typically won’t catch the microclimate scale.

2- skies clearing

3- Winds dying as the high moves over

Coldest valley temps could plummet in ti the single digits if everything indeed comes together. From here we begin a moderating trend. We also hold on to the very dry air mass. The ski resorts that did make snow, those low dewpoints will aid in holding power despite well above freezing temps. Often there is much much too big of a emphasis on melt based solely on temps. 50°, and low dewpoints and calm conditions lead to mininal melt of man made snow. Crank up the dewpoints, add some wind, then the melt is off to the races.

Latest temp trend off the 12z GFS for Garrett County Airport

Those 5-7 plus day out temps can greatly fluctuate run to run, especially in the transition seasons.

REVIEW OF NOVEMBER 1, 2023

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Nov 1(Wed)

Snow showers, tapering after mid morning but continuing in a spotty light fashion in to the evening. Ending south to north with clearing skies.

Bittinger 2nw Valley

The Glades

Garrett County Airport

Top of Wisp

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

Climate Reference Network Station

Atop Canaan Ski area

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

Spruce Knob

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt.Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

not reporting

Elkins Airport

• SITE COMPARISON

Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′

The Valley vs Cabin Mt

Canaan area temps

High Ground Comparison

Up High and Down Low

Up High, High Valley, Low Valley

The Valleys

Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA

RTMA

Radar

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/GIS/apps/rview/warnings.phtml?osite=RLX&tzoff=0&layers%5B%5D=nexrad&layers%5B%5D=warnings&layers%5B%5D=cwas&layers%5B%5D=uscounties&layers%5B%5D=watches&layers%5B%5D=blank&site=RLX&tz=EST&archive=yes&year=2023&month=11&day=1&hour=20&minute=55&warngeo=both&zoom=250&imgsize=640×480&loop=1&frames=90&interval=15&filter=0&cu=0&sortcol=fcster&sortdir=DESC&lsrlook=%2B&lsrwindow=0

Satellite

Flow

Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow

Oakland

To Cranesville

The Yough at Sang Run

Accident

evening

Webcams

Throwback on the date to 2014

CASS/BALD KNOB – SNOWSHOE

Snowshoe