November 7, 2023

OUTLOOK:

post made 7:40am 11/7/23

A quick a.m update on the possible sneaky snow threat Friday. Yesterday the GFS was on it 3 out of 4 runs. Other modeling not so much. The ECMWF (Euro) and Canadian are now on board with just enough cold air catching the northern edge of the precip wave pushing through. It’s still a bit early, as precip track,timing, and cold air push still has to work out as modeled. 72+ hours out, those details can change.

A quick look at the 6z Euro precip type output for Friday.

Also a look at the 6zGFS precip type outlook Friday

Snowfall output off the ECMWF and GFS at 6z for Friday’s brief quick potential wet snow event.

Toss in the Canadian for good measure

Models in line with one another at the present time. That doesn’t mean it holds, a shift north, south with the precip, colder air slower to work in etc can yet alter the outlook. Will post afternoon model runs later today here as well.

As of now the Wv high ground above 3000-3500′ looks like the best likelihood for accumulation if this occurs.

9:30pm model update

Quick look at afternoon and evening runs. Basically GFS veered away, Euro, Canadian held slight high Wv brief snow threat Friday

Review of November 7, 2023

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Nov 7(Tues)

Cloudy a.m, then clouds and sun, windy last night through today.

Bittinger 2nw Valley

Garrett County Airport

Top of Wisp

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

Climate Reference Network Station

Atop Canaan Ski area

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

Spruce Knob

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt.Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

not reporting

Elkins Airport

SITE COMPARISON

Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′