November 8, 2023

November 8, 2023

OUTLOOK:

Few scattered showers Thursday, rainfall amounts +/- a tenth

Thurday rainfall off the ECMWF at 6z

Then we watch for the next wave to meet up with just cold enough air for some potential Wv high elevation wet snow. Accumulations mainly above 3000′ as it appears, with some snow falling below that.

Mid morning to early afternoon Friday precip pushes in with temps likely at or above freezing even up to Spruce Knob. Temps will cool throughout the column as it pushes through allowing for what modeling agrees on this morning as a 1-3″ wet snowfall Friday afternoon across the Wv high ground. The main focus appears as of the time of this posting from Canaan to Snowshoe.

Marginal temps, a lack of wind should accompany the brief punch of snow that’s in and out in a 4-6 hour window.

A look at the models for midday Friday

Starting with the 6z ECMWF (Euro)

Precip type
2m Temps Friday afternoon
Snowfall Amounts

Now on to the 6z GFS

Precip Type
2m Temps
Snowfall amounts

On the the 0z Canadian

Precip type
2m Temps
Snowfall

Short range modeling basically in the same general camp. Again tweaks possible and even likely. Timing, and where that precip wave sets up not etched in stone. Not a major event, but a blip of winter potentially here in the early season. This unfortunately does not really create much of a snow making window upcoming, although some nights should allow for it if some areas choose.

Review of November 8, 2023

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Nov 8(Wed)

Chilly start. Mild day. Cooler along the eastern Alleghenies vs Western Alleghenies

Bittinger 2nw Valley

Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
West of Bittinger morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley Afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon testing sensor in mmts
Bittinger 2nw Valley evening
Bittinger 2nw Valley evening experimental spot

Garrett County Airport

Deep Creek Lake afternoon

Top of Wisp

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

7am to 7am mmts BP
Midnight to midnight Data Dyacon DL

Climate Reference Network Station

Atop Canaan Ski area

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

Spruce Knob

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt.Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

Finally back in operation

Elkins Airport

  • SITE COMPARISON

Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′

The Valley vs Cabin Mt

Canaan area temps

High Ground Comparison

Up High and Down Low

Up High, High Valley, Low Valley

The Valleys

Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA

RTMA

Radar

void

Satellite

Flow

Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow

Town Hill

Polish Mt

Cumberland

Frostburg

Savage Mt to Grantsville

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