December 3, 2023

Post Made 7:30am 12/3/23

Outlooks

A mild start to Sunday morning. Temps mainly 40s all across the high ground and 50s in the lower elevations

Showers are a bit more scattered and less widespread vs the overnight hours

Showers, drizzle continue today and colder air begins to filter in later today. By Monday a.m, temps should range upper 20s in the Wv high ground to low to mid 30s elsewhere

Temps holding steady Monday, by Monday afternoon mid and upper 30s should be the theme under a mostly dry theme.

Tuesday morning a similar temp setup, with a few additional degrees knocked off and slightly drier air. This should allow for the higher WV resorts to recrank the snow guns. A touch of very light natural snow may be present in areas Tuesday a.m as well.

Tuesday afternoon, temps only rising several degrees off the morning lows

Those temps hold steady right towards dawn on Wednesday with some periods of snow from late Tuesday, then a lull, and then additional snow on Wednesday. The initial snow comes with temps near freezing in many areas. Areas below 2500-3000′ will be the threshold near freezing with that. By Wednesday am temps near and below freezing across the highground

With snow around at varying rates on Wednesday, temps hold steady across the high ground through the day

A look at the 6 hourly precip off the 6z ECMWF as we go through the period

Snowfall amounts off the modeling

Overall modeling a few days out in pretty good agreement on the setup. For most this looks like a 1-3″ type event. With favored upslope areas looking at 2-5″, with some isolated areas of 5″+. Additional tweaks to those thoughts may yet occur over the next 48 hours.

Review of December 3, 2023

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Dec 3(Sun)

Rainy, Cloudy, brief bright periods, areas of storms, hail, wind pm

Bittinger 2nw Valley

Bittinger 2nw Valley early afternoon ahead of more rains, hail

Garrett County Airport

Top of Wisp

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

Climate Reference Network Station

Atop Canaan Ski area

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

Spruce Knob

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

Elkins Airport

SITE COMPARISON

Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′