Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning “experimental fridge spot”Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2nw Valley morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Foxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd morning near the Glades Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning By Glade Church afternoon Foxtown Rd afternoonBittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon South end Amish Rd afternoon
The Glades
–––
Garrett County Airport
Rock Lodge Rd morning Deep Creek Lake morning Deep Creek Lake morning Deep Creek Lake morning Deep Creek Lake morning
Top of Wisp
This is yesterday’s reportThis is todays..so, no snow added last 24 hours or 48 hours yet they added a inch to season. These Wisp reports on snowfall are not detailed or even accurate snowfall reports. Yet places like skisoutheast will jump on them with 0 knowledge and report it as that’s the actual yearly tally. –
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data,mmts BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Atop Canaan Ski area
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2nw Valley vs Mt.Davis
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
void
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Garrett County Airport
Deep Creek-Railey Cam
Top of Wisp
–Exhibit A why Wisp snowfall tallies are not correct. 0 since yesterday morning. No other area around had 0, and Wisp didn’t either. But that’s the report
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Atop Canaan Ski area
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2nw Valley vs Mt Davis
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
void
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
A wintry day. Snow overnight and on and off snow showers, some squalls and turning windy from early morning through the day. Times of sun as well today.
Bittinger 2nw Valley
7.2″ snow, 93.1 on the season
Dyacon data below
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Foxtown Rd morning West of Bittinger morning Near Bittinger 2nw morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning “experimental Fridge spot “Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Towards Bowman Hill morning
Garrett County Airport
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts bp
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Atop Canaan Ski area
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
––
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
––
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2nw Valley vs Mt.Davis
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Clear to cloudy later pm..Winds dying through the day
Bittinger 2nw Valley
Dyacon data below
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon “experimental fridge spot”Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley eveningBittinger 2nw Valley evening
Garrett County Airport
Deep Creek morning
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts BP
Climate Reference Network Station
Atop Canaan Ski area
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Whitegrass cam
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt Davis
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2nw Valley vs Mt Davis
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Start off with the current Winter Storm Warnings across the high ground.
Areas east of the mountains currently in the watch likely will jump to a Winter Weather Advisory or Winter Storm Warning. Snowfall occurs in a short time window and borderline WSW/WWA criteria there. These synoptic systems do not just fizzle working east, and often see some heavier reformation banding within as it gets east further. Not strictly a high elevation event.
NWS WARNINGS
NWS SNOWFALL FORECAST
Broad view
Now bringing it in Office to Office outlook.
STERLING BELOW..out in front with the watches yesterday
PITTSBURGH BELOW
CHARLESTON BELOW
STATE COLLEGE BELOW
At current the system is well off to the west, and will be speeding eastbound today and strengthening a bit.
Current surface map
Temps this morning, accompanied by gusty winds mainly teens above 4000′, 20s elsewhere across the high ground and downsloping 30s east of the mts
By afternoon temps rising upper 20s to mid 30s depending upon elevation
Those strong gusty winds of overnight and this morning relax as we work through the day and go calm to light as the snow begins
This morning modeled gust off the ECMWF
By this evening
by this evening when that snow pushes in, winds will be light and that aids in ratios, keeping the snow from settling as rapidly. So that aids totals.
below is the 6z ECMWF timing it out
As we work past midnight towards dawn Saturday the winds begin to increase again and that will blow the snow and cause some drifting.
Winds Saturday a.m on the increase pictured below
Temps by Saturday morning
Temps in to the mid teens above 4000′ around 20 to 2500-3000′, with winds increasing throwing windchills near 0 to 10.
By afternoon temps don’t go too far from where they started
The snow winds down early morning Saturday, with lingering snowshowers sticking around through the a.m hours. Most of the accumulation will be done by daybreak.
Model to model output
6z HRRR below
6z ECMWF below
6z GFS below. Yesterday the GFS was the lowest output. Now the highest. It did poorly with the early week system as well.
0z Canadian
6z Canadian RDPS
6Z Canadian RGEM
6z NAM12k
Swiss Model -Depth
Snowfall output running very similar on the modeling
Snowfall occurring with temps 20s, light winds allow for higher ratios. Snowfall output under these conditions should simulate actual depth in these setups a bit better as you don’t get as much settling, cold enough to eliminate melting/compaction
So the earlier you measure as it wraps up, that’s your best time to get a measurement as the high ratio fluff will settle out with winds during the day Saturday. A excellent President Day ski weekend, tubing, sledding etc is on it way. Stay safe, and enjoy..
Cold start, milder finish, clear to cloudy, few showers and windy pm hours
Bittinger 2nw Valley
Dyacon data below
South end Amish Rd morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning West of Bittinger morning Foxtown Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoonBittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon “experimental fridge spot”Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley evening Bittinger 2nw Valley evening
Garrett County Airport
Deep Creek Lake afternoon
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
Atop Canaan Ski area
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt Davis
–
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2nw Valley morning West of Bittinger morning West or Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Foxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades afternoon Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades afternoon Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades afternoon Foxtown Rd afternoon West of Bittinger afternoon Up from Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Garrett County Airport
South end Meadow Mt at Deep Creek State Park Deep Creek Lake morning
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am mmts BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Atop Canaan Ski area
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2nw Valley vs Mt.Davis
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
void
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Rain to snow last night and snow ending shortly after daybreak with the exception of a few flakes. Some breaks in the cloud over as well.
Bittinger 2nw Valley
Foxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning. Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning “experimental fridge spot”Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Up From Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Near old Cherry Glade Church morning Old Cherry Glade Church morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morningFoxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning By Glade Church morningRock Lodge Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon “experimental fridge spot”Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley evening Up from Bittinger 2nw Valley evening Near old Cherry Glade Church evening Near Old Cherry Glade Church evening West of Bittinger evening West of Bittinger evening Foxtown Rd evening Foxtown Rd evening Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening
Garrett County Airport
Mosser Rd morning Mosser Rd morning Mosser Rd morning Mchenry morning State Park Rd morning Deep Creek Lake morning Deep Creek Lake morning Toothpick Rd morning Meadow Mt at Deep Creek State Park afternoon Carmel Cove afternoon Deep Creek Lake afternoon Deep Creek Lake afternoon Mchenry afternoon Mchenry afternoon
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Atop Canaan Ski area
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
–
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
–
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2nw Valley vs Mt.Davis
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning “experimental fridge spot”Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Foxtown Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon “Experimental Fridge Spot”Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Garrett County Airport
Deep Creek Lake morning
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Atop Canaan Ski area
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
Snowfalls Maps for later tonight through Tuesday. With the brunt falling pre-dawn through late morning Tuesday with at times heavy snowfall rates and potentially some thunder snow Tuesday a.m.
Lightning rate off the HRRR Tuesday a.m
Modeling has settled to mostly a more southern route vs what was shown just 24 hours ago.
NWS WARNINGS BELOW
use the drop down menu above for more options and details
Let’s hop to the maps. First up the NWS maps.
Wide view
bringing it in office to office maps
Sterling below
Pittsburgh below. These may be updated and increased a bit for Tucker if things hold the course
Charleston Below, best snows should remain north
State College
Individual models
ECMWF (Euro) products below
0z Op
0z Ensemble mean
0z Control
GFS products below. GFS is holding less impressive vs other modeling.
6z GFS op velow
6z GFS ensemble mean
0z Canadian
0z Canadian ensemble mean below
Some short range modeling
6z Nam
6z 3km Nam(serious flaws in physics over high ground for qpf)