Cloudy, a.m snow, maybe few,areas of freezing drizzle. Very limited. Areas of light rain and drizzle. Colder later afternoon, evening. Some flakes again
Bittinger 2NW Valley
precip
sf .1, msd 1.0 (7:00) sf season 5.1″
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The Glades
Bittinger 4H
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts coop BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
-from Timberline
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
First 4 days estimated data from Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Canaan Valley Refuge
Dobbins High Bog Sods
Spruce Knob
Snowshoe
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Mt.Davis
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Flight 93
Elkins Airport
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Site Comparison
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Sods Plateau
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
–
The Month
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
A bright sunny Saturday across the Alleghenies, cold temps, resorts cranking snow, all looks good.
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Temps modifying through the day in to the lower to mid 30s for most, holding 20s across the Wv high ground.
● Afternoon Temps
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As we go in to the overnight, temps dropping back in to the 20s for a good portion of the area, hanging low 30s elsewhere. A good overnight temp layout:
● Temps tonight
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From 2am to 7am window some very light moisture pushes in to the area. Initially some flakes. Light snow coating are possible as it enters.
● 3 Hr Precip off the HRRR 6AM
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As we go 6-10am temps continue rising in to the 30s at the surface. The eastern Alleghenies near and north of the Mason Dixon line and areas around Pocahontas, parts of Pendleton, Bath, Highland counties hold close to freezing at the surface.
● 10am temps off the HRRR
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A near or above freezing layer, thats saturated from the surface to 4500-5500′ is in place. This likely translates to liquid reaching the surface except for the highest elevations in these areas.
●850 temps/near 5000′ in Celcius
0c = 32f
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The lower few thousand feet in other areas saturated and just above freezing freezing. DGZ drying out. Likely result, light mist, drizzle temps mid 30s by 10am. Any snow on the ground is wet, melting
● Vertical Temp Profile Garrett County
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●Early afternoon precip
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The Wv high ground above 4000′ likely holds through the afternoon holds temps 30-35° early and falling back to near and below freezing from early afternoon through the evening. The rest of the area 35-40° late morning and steadies off mid to upper 30s through the afternoon with continued drizzle, before temps both aloft and at the surface fall back late afternoon, evening and you may again pick up a trace of ice, or some fine flakes.
●2pm and 5pm temps at the surface.
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Overall this is not an impressive event. Total liquid through early Sunday night(frozen +liquid equivalent) around .1 to .30
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●Snowfall amounts
General 1″ or less that will melt down after it occurs in many areas
The Euro a bit less coverage
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In spite of the overall non impressive light event. ANY time we run the risk of some light coatings of freezing rain, that likely willl occur in areas, but not all areas, Winter Weather Advisories will be hoisted and that has occured from the NWS
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Not a major event, but the risk of icy areas make it a “potential ” travel hazard in areas early Sunday morning.
Potentially icy spots will develop again late Sunday, even though minimal moisture remains.
Event 2
The next event Tuesday remains with question marks. Right now(subject to change) This is a more widespread “disruptive ” but not a major event.
The latest Euro and GFS
●12z GFS TUESDAY PRECIP
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6z Euro
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This to me appears to be a quick hitter. Slightly weaker than some previous runs. Slightly weaker, faster moving, limits duration and moisture. While mixing will play a role, and exact boundaries will wobble on models the next day or 2, this looks like a 2-5″ type snow event.
Mixing can keep totals lower
Speed of event can enhance or decrease amounts
Strength of event stronger or weaker can impact both precip type and amounts
boundaries of precip type will adjust as we get closer.
Dung Hill Rd morning Dung Hill Rd morning Dung Hill Rd morningBittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning South End Amish Rd morning
Bittinger 4H
Top of Wisp
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Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts coop BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
–
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Canaan Valley Refuge
Dobbins High Bog Sods
Spruce Knob
Snowshoe
–––
Mt.Davis
Flight 93
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Sods Plateau
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
–Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning West of Bittinger morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning –
Bittinger 4H
Top Of Wisp
–Morning Deep Creek Lake morning –Rock Lodge Rd morning
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts coop BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
––
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Canaan Valley Refuge
Dobbins High Bog Sods
Spruce Knob
Snowshoe
–
Mt.Davis
Flight 93
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Sods Plateau
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
–Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley evening Bittinger 2NW Valley evening
Bittinger 4H
Top of Wisp
Deep Creek Lake afternoon Mchenry afternoon Mchenry evening
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts coop BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Canaan Valley Refuge
Dobbins High Bog Sods
Spruce Knob
Snowshoe
Mt.Davis
Flight 93
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Sods Plateau
Canaan Area Temps
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt Davis
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow