COLD/SNOW OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY NIGHT TO WEDNESDAY A.M (11-9 TO 11-12)

Incoming showers today, transitioning to snow showers late evening/early overnight first across the Wv High Ground. Gradually that opportunity will continue to lower in elevation and coverage as temps continue to drop overnight in to Monday. The primary snow focus will be across the Wv high ground overnight in to Monday. Snow showers continue Monday and by later Monday with a secondary front an increase in snow activity and some localized squalls look possible.
let’s play out the 6z GFS..
Temperatures dropping later today, overnight, holding steady 26-32 Monday, with low to mid 20s on the Wv tops. The core of the coldest pushes in late Monday to Tuesday a.m. Many areas across the Alleghenies will drop to 15-20, with the Wv tops potentially going as low as the upper single digits to low teens.
6z GFS Temps
WInds after a calm Sunday morning, those winds while not extreme, will be consistent and increasing tonight, and more so Monday night through Wednesday. Gusts of 25 to 35mph+ , with in excess of 40mph+ across the higher exposed Wv tops will be consistent through midweek. This will create blowing snow at times with some drifting.
6z gfs gust
The combination of cold and wind will create some very cold windchills , especially Monday night/Tuesday AM with windchills running 0 to 10 above 2500′ , with the higher exposed Wv areas above 4000′, windchills of 0 to -10 may be seen.
6z GFS windchills
The famous question, is always snow amounts. This is a multi day event. The most impressive areas of accumulation are likely to occur across the higher favored Wv upslope locations where the moisture trajectory looks to be more favorable. That said, a cold unstable airmass can produce bands and squalls that can drop localized rapid amounts that cause poor travel anywhere across the Alleghenies. The period that is the most interesting to watch is late Monday-Tuesday a.m. When you wake up tomorrow, many will say this event didnt do anything. Again, these numbers are through Tuesday as things wind down.
First up, the NWS Forecast.
●Expected

●NWS High End

●NWS Low End

Now we’ll jump model to model:

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The consistency is through most modeling a favorable Wv event with the trajectory.
Thoughts and subject to tweaks
These numbers go Low End(L) Expected(E) High End(H)
Snowshoe L- 2-3″ , E- 4-7″ , H-8-12″
Elkins L-.5 to 1″ , E-1-3″ , H-3-5″
Canaan Valley L-2-3″, E- 4-7″, H-7-11″
Terra Alta L-1-2″, E- 2-4″, H-5-7″
Mchenry L-1″ , E-1-3″, H- 4-6″
Cranesville L-1-2″, E- 2-4″ , H-4-6″
Meyersdale L-T- .5 , E-1-2″, H- 2-4″
7Springs L-1-2″, E- 2-4″ , H-4-6″
Finzel L-.5 to 1 “, E- 1-2″ , H- 2-4”
Squalls or Bands can increase any localized area. These are also expected snowfall totals. Not depths.