Upcoming Wintry Events November 29, 2025

10:50am 11/29/25

A bright sunny Saturday across the Alleghenies, cold temps, resorts cranking snow, all looks good.

Temps modifying through the day in to the lower to mid 30s for most, holding 20s across the Wv high ground.

● Afternoon Temps

As we go in to the overnight, temps dropping back in to the 20s for a good portion of the area, hanging low 30s elsewhere. A good overnight temp layout:

● Temps tonight

From 2am to 7am window some very light moisture pushes in to the area. Initially some flakes. Light snow coating are possible as it enters.

● 3 Hr Precip off the HRRR 6AM

As we go 6-10am temps continue rising in to the 30s at the surface. The eastern Alleghenies near and north of the Mason Dixon line and areas around Pocahontas, parts of Pendleton, Bath, Highland counties hold close to freezing at the surface.

● 10am temps off the HRRR

A near or above freezing layer, thats saturated from the surface to 4500-5500′ is in place. This likely translates to liquid reaching the surface except for the highest elevations in these areas.

●850 temps/near 5000′ in Celcius

0c = 32f

The lower few thousand feet in other areas saturated and just above freezing freezing. DGZ drying out. Likely result, light mist, drizzle temps mid 30s by 10am. Any snow on the ground is wet, melting

● Vertical Temp Profile Garrett County

●Early afternoon precip

The Wv high ground above 4000′ likely holds through the afternoon holds temps 30-35° early and falling back to near and below freezing from early afternoon through the evening. The rest of the area 35-40° late morning and steadies off mid to upper 30s through the afternoon with continued drizzle, before temps both aloft and at the surface fall back late afternoon, evening and you may again pick up a trace of ice, or some fine flakes.

●2pm and 5pm temps at the surface.

Overall this is not an impressive event. Total liquid through early Sunday night(frozen +liquid equivalent) around .1 to .30

●Snowfall amounts

General 1″ or less that will melt down after it occurs in many areas

The Euro a bit less coverage

In spite of the overall non impressive light event. ANY time we run the risk of some light coatings of freezing rain, that likely willl occur in areas, but not all areas, Winter Weather Advisories will be hoisted and that has occured from the NWS

Not a major event, but the risk of icy areas make it a “potential ” travel hazard in areas early Sunday morning.

Potentially icy spots will develop again late Sunday, even though minimal moisture remains.

Event 2

The next event Tuesday remains with question marks. Right now(subject to change) This is a more widespread “disruptive ” but not a major event.

The latest Euro and GFS

●12z GFS TUESDAY PRECIP

6z Euro

This to me appears to be a quick hitter. Slightly weaker than some previous runs. Slightly weaker, faster moving, limits duration and moisture. While mixing will play a role, and exact boundaries will wobble on models the next day or 2, this looks like a 2-5″ type snow event.

• Mixing can keep totals lower
• Speed of event can enhance or decrease amounts
• Strength of event stronger or weaker can impact both precip type and amounts
• boundaries of precip type will adjust as we get closer.