Thanksgiving Week, WV Rifle Season
November 22, 2025 8:42am
A mild start to Thanksgiving week, that looks to turn colder on Thanksgiving day.
12Z EURO TEMPS THROUGH THE WEEK
That mild weather is accompanied by incoming showers Tuesday-Wednesday and thats appearing like another .25 to .50 type of a rainfall producer.
As we head towards Thanksgiving, colder, drier air pushes in, possibly could be accompanied by some flakes or very light accumulation late week. As minor as it appears, a little white to end the week for Wv rifle season, and the opening of Md, Pa rifle season Saturday across the Alleghenies is not totally ruled out. Don’t expect much.
The Euro precip through the week
The snowfall output late week off the run(likely more generous than reality will have it) coatings to 1.5″.
The cold air departs a few days later and this is very routine with a Southeast Ridge. NOAAS 8-14 day that had “below ” normal just yesterday, now represents a bit stronger persistent SE Ridge influence.
The Southeast Ridge remains a big player through the latest model runs. Watch those lighter, pink colors from the Gulf-Florida-western Atlantic. The upper level steering currents are mostly SW flow for the south eastern U.S and Mid Atlantic.
At the surface you get occasional fronts that sweep some cold air in the Mid Atlantic, but what often happens the most is;
- A system cuts over the Alleghenies or to the west, bringing up milder air when we get moisture.
- Followed by drier, colder air as the system passes that establishes in place a day or 2 before the next system under SW flow draws up mild, moist air.
Moisture “appears” to be plentiful over the next 2 weeks
But with the SE ridge influence, Mid Atlantic snow is hard to come by and it equals a superb New England winter pattern
IN SUMMARY
1- A mild start to Thanksgiving Week that turns colder Thanksgiving Day
2- Rainfall Tuesday/Wednesday
3-Minimal snowfall late week
4- SE Ridge influencing the pattern to start December
For winter lovers, the hope is the SE ridge weakens and the overflow allows the cold to push as we go week 1 to 2 in December. There are “hints” that could happen,but being so far out, its anyones guess. Keep in mind. The 500mb on the latest was hinting at a positively tilted trough in the Midwest that could push push push the cold that once established it will hold awhile once we get through the bumpy first few days of December with warm bouts.
Lastly in these warmer SE ridge influences, parts of the Alleghenies that can still squeak out some winter is the areas favored in the cold air damming events. As the brief cold air departs, mild, moist air pushes back north, that can overrun colder air at the surface in the central, northern, eastern parts of the Alleghenies for some freezing rain setups. Thats something that can and often does occur in these patterns. The temp profile setup looks like the classic overrunning setup.
you get surface temp setups like that in those cases. Very common in SE ridge setups.
Let’s see how it rolls. Models change and the seasonal transitions can offer a rapid change in overall look at the snap of a finger. Lots of cold available, and coming available, can we break the SE ridge and get the needed push ?
Allegheny Mountains Weather 