A clear cold valley start, partly sunny a.m, rapidly clouding up and snow in parts of Preston, Garrett,Somerset, Fayette, Westmoreland, Cambria.
Bittinger 2NW Valley
precip .21
sf 2.1 sd 6.0 sf season
West of Bittinger morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades afternoon Foxtown Rd afternoon West of Bittinger afternoon West of Bittinger afternoon West of Bittinger afternoon Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon –Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon –––––––Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Old Cherry Glade Church afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley evening West of Bittinger eveningRock Lodge Rd near The Glades eveningUp from Bittinger 2NW Valley 9pm as the snow was winding down. This is when you needed to take snow measurements as it did compress from here through 3am.
Bittinger 4H
Top of Wisp
Deep Creek morning Deep Creek Lake morningMosser Rd afternoon Mchenry eveningMchenry evening
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts coop BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Canaan Valley Refuge
Dobbins High Bog Sods
Spruce Knob
Snowshoe
Mt.Davis
Flight 93
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Canaan area temps
Sods Plateau
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Snowy a.m, then light and scattered with isolated heavier afternoon pockets
Bittinger 2NW Valley
precip .17
sf 2.4, sd 5.0 sf season 49.4
Foxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning Old Cherry Glade Church morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Old Cherry Glade Church morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2nw valley morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morningBittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Towards Bowman Hill morning South End Amish Rd morning
Bittinger 4H
Top of Wisp
Mosser Rd morningMosser Rd morning
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts coop BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Canaan Valley Refuge
Dobbins High Bog Sods
Spruce Knob
Snowshoe
Mt.Davis
Flight 93
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Canaan area temps
Sods Plateau
High Ground Comparison
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Early a.m flakes at dawn, then a.m sun, early night snow
Bittinger 2NW Valley
precip .01
sf .4, sd 3, sf season
Old Cherry Glade Church morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Rock Lodge Rd evening
Bittinger 4H
Top of Wisp
Mchenry morningWisp evening
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Canaan Valley Refuge
Dobbins High Bog Sods
Spruce Knob
Snowshoe
Mt.Davis
Flight 93
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Canaan area temps
Sods Plateau
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Foxtown Rd morning West of Bittinger morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Foxtown Rd morning Rock Lodge-Accident Bittinger Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning West of Bittinger morning
Bittinger 4H
Top Of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Canaan Valley Refuge
Dobbins High Bog Sods
Spruce Knob
Snowshoe
Mt.Davis
Flight 93
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt. Davis
The Valley vs Cabin
Canaan area temps
Sods Plateau
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
After a milder Tuesday upcoming and then eyes will again turn back to a more wintry setup and a more consistent wintry setup. At least for the upcoming short to mid range period(8-14days)
That gets kicked off with the first “impactful”event starting Wednesday. Wednesday itself looks to Elevational dependent as far as liquid vs frozen, accumulating vs melting and those marginal temps lays out right across our Elevation range to create some differences.
2500′ to 3200′ Light precip that begins with temps 33-37°, starts off with a drier low level surface air. That can help flakes reach to 2500′ or lower. As the air mass moistens up, mid 30s at the surface, with light precip should allow for a mix of liquid and wet snow to alternate back and forth through the day with little or no accumulation. At 3000-3500′ temps 30-34°. Some light snow, light rain mix. Light slushy accumulations possible Wednesday. As you go 3500’+ Temps in the upper 20s and lower 30s should allow for most of Wednesday to be in the snow form and mostly light precip but enough to put down 1″ to 2″ by nightfall.
By nightfall, elevation will begin to lose being a the big factor as far as the marginal temps and precip tupe and widespread accumulations Wednesday night/Thursday.
Not a big snow, but impactful accumulations look likely.
From Garrett,Preston, Somerset, Fayette, Westmoreland, Cambria, a 2-5″ type event. Leaning low to mid on that range and the Wv high ground total snowfall including Wednesday in the 4-7″ range. Again leaning low to mid on that range. A good performance can max out.
● A look at the Euro for this event
Model precip type at the grid doesn’t do the best job at exact details, but gives a good idea.
–
●Jumping to the 850 temps. Essentially the Wv high ground. (In celcius- 0/Grey is freezing and below). While precipitating, theres no daytime diurnal across the high ground, so when you see -1, -2° C , that should equate to wet snow 3200- 3500′ and up with marginal temps and that gets colder as you go up in Elevation and temps below freezing to the surface 3700- 4000’+. The grid point on the modeled sounding( 2500′) the surface is above freezing, and saturated so likely to mix in some liquid, or the very least wet snow that won’t accumulate, with the exception of any pockets of moderate precip. Thats the theme of the day 3200′ and below.
as we go later in to the evening the colder air sweeps across and temps, elevation not a precip type factor.
Snowfall amounts off the models through Thursday :
•Off the Euro
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•Off the GFS
–
●Beyond that:
Another disturbance Friday-Saturday that can put down 2-4″ +/-. Bit far out for details.
And again Monday. All drier northern branch systems, high ratio, low liquid as we have been seeing mostly.
–
The incoming cold tomorrow night and Thursday will lead to temps in the single digits over the Wv tops, lower teens elsewhere. Windchills -10 to -20 Wv tops , 0 to -10 elsewhere.(winds gusting 35-50)
•
-windchills
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●IN SUMMARY:
Wednesday- light moisture, Elevation plays a role through the day on precip type, any accumulation
Wednesday Night-Thursday, much colder, widespread accumulations. Not a major snow, but impacting