ROUND 3 Starts Tonight

Round 3 Starts Tonight

January 5, 2025 6:42am

■Round 3 on the surface map this morning off to our west.

■ Plenty of cold air in place out ahead of the system.

  • Temps single digits for many this morning
  • Windchills across the high exposed WV tops running -20 to -25 this morning

■🌬 The winds will begin to slack off as we go through the afternoon and evening today.

■ Round 3 pushing in tonight has a large area under winter storm warnings.

■ NWS SNOWFALL EXPECTATIONS

  • Expected Snowfall
  • High end potential
  • Low end potential

*Those maps run through Tuesday. After the main event passes by overnight in to Monday, snows will linger through Monday night in to Tuesday and really with the large upslope snow, snow activity goes through the week. Primary focus for the biggest impact is overnight and Monday

■ Model Outlook

  • 6z EURO. There is the slightest risk as precip lightens a very brief opportunity for some sleet pellets to mix in, in areas can occur. A limited feature of the event, but potentially an aspect to watch. Especially areas south and west. Areas west of the Alleghenies may even mix in a touch of freezing rain. The main brunt though should remain snow for most.
  • 6z Euro Snowfall
  • 6z GFS(often overdone on mix)
  • 6z GFS Snowfall

Updates posted as needed today, tonight. Stay prepared for a long cold winter week(s) ahead.

January 4, 2025

January 4, 2025

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Jan 4(Sat)

A cold, windy, occasional fluff snow of varying rates. Mostly light, occasionally moderate and at times nothing. Areas south saw times of sun as well as east of the Allegheny Front.

Bittinger 2NW Valley

Precip +

SF 3.2″

SD 7-7.5

Snowfall season to date 40.9

Dyacon Data Below

Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning
Foxtown Rd morning
Foxtown Rd morning
West of Bittinger morning
Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley “frozen turkey”
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley midday
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Towards Bowman hill afternoon
South end Amish Rd morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley evening
West of Bittinger evening
Foxtown Rd evening
Foxtown Rd evening
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening

Bittinger 4H

Garrett County Airport

Mosser Rd morning.

Top of Wisp

Evening

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

7am to 7am data mmts coop

Climate Reference Network Canaan

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods

Spruce Knob

A little communication issue station to Dyacon. Synoptic had it fine

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

Elkins Airport

  • Site Comparison

The Valley vs Cabin Mt

Bittinger 2NW Valley vs Garrett County Airport and Mt Davis

Canaan area temps

Sods Plateau

High Ground Comparison

Up High and Down Low

Up High, High Valley, Low Valley

The Valleys

Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA

RTMA

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow

Grantsville

Amish Rd afternoon
West of Grantsville afternoon

Webcams

January 3, 2025

January 3, 2025

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Jan 3(Fri)

Fine light snow beginning hours before dawn. That gradually transitioned to high ratio flakes and increasing snow rates. Causing poor travel. Heavy afternoon in to the overnight squalls.

Bittinger 2NW Valley

Precip .24

year to date precip .56

SF 5.7

SD 6.5 to 7.0 (with variation)

Season to date snowfall 37.7

Dyacon Data Below

Foxtown Rd early morning, while the snow was light and fine
Foxtown Rd morning
West of Bittinger morning
Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning while snow was light
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
West of Bittinger morning
Foxtown Rd morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon “squall put down .8 in 20 minutes”
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
-Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley evening
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening

Garrett County Airport

219 Deep Creek morning
Rock Lodge Rd morning
Carmel Cove midday
Glendale Rd midday
Deep Creek Lake midday
219 Deep Creek afternoon, in to the squall setup with brighter intervals
Mchenry afternoon
Mosser Rd afternoon

Top of Wisp

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

7am to 7am data mmts coop bp

Climate Reference Network Canaan

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

Timberline cam

Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods

Spruce Knob

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt.Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

Elkins Airport

  • Site Comparison

The Valley vs Cabin Mt

Bittinger 2NW Valley vs Garrett County Airport and Mt.Davis

Canaan area temps

Sods Plateau

High Ground Comparison

Up High and Down Low

Up High, High Valley, Low Valley

The Valleys

Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA

RTMA

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow

Cranesville

Morning
Morning
Morning
  • To Cranesville Afternoon
Afternoon

Sand Flat Rd to Oakland 219

Webcams

January 2, 2024

January 2, 2024

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Jan 2(Thurs)

Mostly cloudy, light fluff snow, windy most of the day

Bittinger 2NW Valley

precip .32(since 5pm 12/31)

SF .6

SD 2.0

Snowfall season to date 32.0″

Dyacon Data Below

Near Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Foxtown Rd morning
Brennemans Grove morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley evening
Bittinger 2NW Valley evening
Bittinger 2NW Valley evening

■ Bittinger 4H Center, the new home of the newest Maryland Mesonet station. I will begin posting data from the site as it goes online here.

▪︎partial day

Garrett County Airport

Top of Wisp

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

7am to 7am data mmts coop BP

Climate Reference Network Canaan

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Cabin Mt- Whitegrass Cam-North Slope

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

Timberline Cam

Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods

Spruce Knob

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt.Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

Elkins Airport

  • Site Comparison

The Valley vs Cabin Mt

Bittinger 2NW Valley vs Garrett County Airport and Mt.Davis

Canaan area temps

Sods Plateau

High Ground Comparison

Up High and Down Low

Up High, High Valley, Low Valley

The Valleys

Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA

RTMA

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow

Polish Mt

Martin’s Mt

View towards Dan’s Mt
View towards Dan’s Mt

Cumberland to Lavale

Frostburg

Savage Mt to Grantsville

Cranesville

The Yough at Sang Run

January 1, 2025

January 1, 2025

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Jan 1(Wed)

A variety of snow conditions. From very light, fine snow to pm squalls

Bittinger 2NW Valley

SF 2.1

SD 2.0

Snowfall season to date 31.4

Dyacon Data Below

Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning
Foxtown Rd morning
Foxtown Rd morning
West of Bittinger morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
West of Bittinger morning
West of Bittinger morning
Foxtown Rd morning
Foxtown Rd morning
Foxtown Rd morning
West of Bittinger morning
West of Bittinger morning
Old Cherry Glade Church morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
  • Nollie enjoying it
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Towards Bowman Hill morning

video transition of the area and The Glades

The Glades

-data to be filled in

Replaced the wooden box which was night time min temps only
With a radiation shield and will include max temps as well in future charts

Garrett County Airport

Mosser Rd morning
Mosser Rd morning
Railey cam

Top of Wisp

-rooftop station

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

7am to 7am data mmts coop bp

Climate Reference Network Canaan

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Whitegrass Cam north slope Cabin Mt

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods

Spruce Knob

▪︎view cam offline

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt.Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

Elkins Airport

Communication issue, mesowest/synoptic not grabbing the daily data.
  • Site Comparison

The Valley vs Cabin Mt

Bittinger 2NW Valley vs Garrett County Airport and Mt.Davis

Canaan area temps

Sods Plateau

High Ground Comparison

Up High and Down Low

Up High, High Valley, Low Valley

The Valleys

Tazewell=Burkes Garden

Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA

RTMA

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow

Grantsville to Savage Mt

Frostburg

Lavale to Cumberland

Town Hill

Webcams

7:25pm
7:44pm

December 31, 2024

December 31, 2024

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Dec 31(Tues)

A bit of a.m sun, to clouds and pm showers, some areas of brief thunder, lightning, hail.

Bittinger 2NW Valley

Precip .15

YEAR TO DATE FINAL 52.56″

SF 0

SD D-O(drift only)

Snowfall season to date 29.3″

Dyacon Data Below

– the dyacon outage in red missed max temps, therefore the month tally listed is just below actual avg max.

▪︎the month graph

Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
West of Bittinger morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon “drift visible”
Bittinger 2NW Valley evening
Bittinger 2NW Valley evening

The Glades

Garrett County Airport

▪︎monthly graph

By Garrett College morning
Mchenry afternoon

Top of Wisp

Afternoon
Afternoon
Evening

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

7am to 7am data mmts coop bp

Climate Reference Network Canaan

▪︎month graph

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

▪︎month graph

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

▪︎month graph

Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods

▪︎month graph

Spruce Knob

▪︎month graph

Canaan Valley Refuge

▪︎month graph

Mt.Davis

▪︎station repaired part way through the month. The graph below

Snowshoe

▪︎month graph

Petersburg Grant County Airport

▪︎month graph

Elkins Airport

▪︎month graph

  • Site Comparison

The Valley vs Cabin Mt

Bittinger 2NW Valley vs Garrett County Airport and Mt.Davis

Canaan area temps

Sods Plateau

High Ground Comparison

Up High and Down Low

Up High, High Valley, Low Valley

The Valleys

Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA

RTMA

▪︎December 2024

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow

Video By Loren Klink

After the passing hail

Snow- Round 1 Of Many To Come

Snow- Round 1 Of Many To Come

December 31, 2024 7:16am

Showers incoming today, transitioning to snow activity from the highest elevations in the southern Alleghenies first and transitioning from there northward through the night.

Snowshowers and squalls tonight through Wednesday night.

The NWS currently has Winter Storm Warnings out for the Alleghenies.

If I was betting in Vegas I’d lean towards the under on snowfall expectations for most on this round 1.

▪︎ NWS SNOWFALL MAP

  • NWS Expected
  • NWS Low end. Personally I’d lean this way with higher pops in squalls Wednesday PM
  • NWS High End

▪︎ Model output with round 1(Tonight-Thursday am)

  • 6Z Euro
  • 6z GFS

Areas such as Eastern Garrett, 1-3″ with higher pops should squalls occur, Central Garrett. Bittinger area 2-5″, higher pops should squalls occur. Cranesville 3-6″ , Canaan 4-7″ with higher pops with squalls , Snowshoe 4-7″ higher pops with squalls. Those are ore localized. Leaning towards the low to mid range in those thoughts.

Initially at the transition time, the snow is wet, but that should move towards a powdery type snow early Wednesday and be blown about under strong W-WSW winds.

The DGZ looks pretty dried out early tomorrow. So many times when that look occurs, you get fine, low snow ratio periods of granular snow. Then, the squall look in the afternoon and towards evening and in to the early overnight looks to hold some potential for those passing squalls that rapidly cause poor travel conditions. Lets see how that aspect evolves tomorrow and something to keep an eye on

Round 2 Friday in to Saturday I like a bit better than incoming tonight Round 1 for accumulation.

Round 3 Sun-Monday time currently holds the greatest potential.

December 30, 2024

December 30, 2024

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Dec 30(Mon)

Cloudy, windy, some sprinkles, ice pellets , some sun

Bittinger 2NW Valley

Precip .29(multi day)

SF T (brief period of ice pellets)

SD T

Dyacon Data below

Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning “stray ice pellets” few brief steadier pockets
Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
West of Bittinger morning
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon

Garrett County Airport

Deep Creek Lake morning
Mchenry evening

Top of Wisp

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

Climate Reference Network Canaan

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods

Spruce Knob

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt.Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

Elkins Airport

  • Site Comparison

The Valley vs Cabin Mt

Bittinger 2NW Valley vs Garrett County Airport and Mt.Davis

Canaan area temps

Sods Plateau

High Ground Comparison

Up High and Down Low

Up High, High Valley, Low Valley

The Valleys

Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA

RTMA

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow

Sideling Hill Creek at North craft

Town Hill

Polish Mt

Martin’s Mt

Cumberland to Lavale

Frostburg

Savage Mt to Grantsville

Oakland