–Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning West of Bittinger morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning –
Bittinger 4H
Top Of Wisp
–Morning Deep Creek Lake morning –Rock Lodge Rd morning
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts coop BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
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Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Canaan Valley Refuge
Dobbins High Bog Sods
Spruce Knob
Snowshoe
–
Mt.Davis
Flight 93
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Sods Plateau
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
–Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley evening Bittinger 2NW Valley evening
Bittinger 4H
Top of Wisp
Deep Creek Lake afternoon Mchenry afternoon Mchenry evening
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts coop BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Canaan Valley Refuge
Dobbins High Bog Sods
Spruce Knob
Snowshoe
Mt.Davis
Flight 93
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Sods Plateau
Canaan Area Temps
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt Davis
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
A mild start to Thanksgiving week, that looks to turn colder on Thanksgiving day.
12Z EURO TEMPS THROUGH THE WEEK
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That mild weather is accompanied by incoming showers Tuesday-Wednesday and thats appearing like another .25 to .50 type of a rainfall producer.
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As we head towards Thanksgiving, colder, drier air pushes in, possibly could be accompanied by some flakes or very light accumulation late week. As minor as it appears, a little white to end the week for Wv rifle season, and the opening of Md, Pa rifle season Saturday across the Alleghenies is not totally ruled out. Don’t expect much.
The Euro precip through the week
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The snowfall output late week off the run(likely more generous than reality will have it) coatings to 1.5″.
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The cold air departs a few days later and this is very routine with a Southeast Ridge. NOAAS 8-14 day that had “below ” normal just yesterday, now represents a bit stronger persistent SE Ridge influence.
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The Southeast Ridge remains a big player through the latest model runs. Watch those lighter, pink colors from the Gulf-Florida-western Atlantic. The upper level steering currents are mostly SW flow for the south eastern U.S and Mid Atlantic.
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At the surface you get occasional fronts that sweep some cold air in the Mid Atlantic, but what often happens the most is;
A system cuts over the Alleghenies or to the west, bringing up milder air when we get moisture.
Followed by drier, colder air as the system passes that establishes in place a day or 2 before the next system under SW flow draws up mild, moist air.
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Moisture “appears” to be plentiful over the next 2 weeks
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But with the SE ridge influence, Mid Atlantic snow is hard to come by and it equals a superb New England winter pattern
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IN SUMMARY
1- A mild start to Thanksgiving Week that turns colder Thanksgiving Day
2- Rainfall Tuesday/Wednesday
3-Minimal snowfall late week
4- SE Ridge influencing the pattern to start December
For winter lovers, the hope is the SE ridge weakens and the overflow allows the cold to push as we go week 1 to 2 in December. There are “hints” that could happen,but being so far out, its anyones guess. Keep in mind. The 500mb on the latest was hinting at a positively tilted trough in the Midwest that could push push push the cold that once established it will hold awhile once we get through the bumpy first few days of December with warm bouts.
Lastly in these warmer SE ridge influences, parts of the Alleghenies that can still squeak out some winter is the areas favored in the cold air damming events. As the brief cold air departs, mild, moist air pushes back north, that can overrun colder air at the surface in the central, northern, eastern parts of the Alleghenies for some freezing rain setups. Thats something that can and often does occur in these patterns. The temp profile setup looks like the classic overrunning setup.
you get surface temp setups like that in those cases. Very common in SE ridge setups.
Let’s see how it rolls. Models change and the seasonal transitions can offer a rapid change in overall look at the snap of a finger. Lots of cold available, and coming available, can we break the SE ridge and get the needed push ?
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades middayWest of Bittinger middayBittinger 2NW Valley middayTowards Bowman Hill midday
Bittinger 4H
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts coop BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Canaan Valley Refuge
Dobbins High Bog Sods
Spruce Knob
Snowshoe
Mt.Davis
Flight 93
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
–
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
–Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning West of Bittinger morningUp from Bittinger 2nw valley morningBittinger 2NW Valley morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades afternoon Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades afternoon, rebuild West of Bittinger afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening
The Glades
Bittinger 4H
Top of Wisp
–Deep Creek Lake morningDeep Creek Lake middayDeep Creek Lake afternoon
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts coop BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
–
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Canaan Valley Refuge
Dobbins High Bog Sods
Spruce Knob
–
Snowshoe
–
Mt.Davis
Flight 93
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
The Valley vs Cabin Mt-Western
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
–
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Cloudy, foggy, some brief drizzle, some sun occured southern Alleghenies
Bittinger 2NW Valley
precip .72
sf 0, sd D-O, sf season 3.3
–Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning West of Bittinger morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades afternoon West of Bittinger afternoon West of Bittinger afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley eveningWest of Bittinger eveningFoxtown Rd eveningRock Lodge Rd evening
Bittinger 4H
Top of Wisp
–Mosser Rd morningDeep Creek Lake morningDeep Creek Lake morningMchenry afternoon Mosser Rd evening
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
Climate Reference Network Canaan
–
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Canaan Valley Refuge
Dobbins High Bog Sods
Spruce Knob
–
Snowshoe
–Afternoon
Mt.Davis
Flight 93
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
–
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Allegheny Mountains Weather 