–Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morningWest of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Towards Bowman Hill morning
Bittinger 4H
Top of Wisp
–Cherry Creek at Mosser Rd morning
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts coop BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
–
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
–Timberline
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Canaan Valley Refuge
Dobbins High Bog Sods
Spruce Knob
–
Snowshoe
–
Mt.Davis
Flight 93
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Some sun, some clouds, some a.m stray flakes, some pm ice pellets even with temps in the 40s thanks to the very dry air mass
Bittinger 2NW Valley
precip 0
sf T sd T SF Season 3.3
–Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades afternoon Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades afternoon Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades afternoon West of Bittinger afternoon West of Bittinger afternoon West of Bittinger afternoon Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Still some ice on pond amongst duckweedBittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley eveningBittinger 2NW Valley eveningBittinger 2NW Valley eveningUp from Bittinger 2NW Valley evening West of Bittinger evening
Bittinger 4H
Top of Wisp
–Rock Lodge Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd morning Deep Creek Lake afternoon Deep Creek lake afternoon Deep Creek Lake afternoon Mchenry evening
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts coop BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
–
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
–
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Canaan Valley Refuge
Dobbins High Bog Sods
Spruce Knob
–
Snowshoe
–––
Mt.Davis
–
Flight 93
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
–Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morningWest of Bittinger morningUp from Bittinger 2NW Valley morningBittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morningWest of Bittinger morningRock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge Rd near The afternoon Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades afternoon Rock Lodge Rd near The afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening
Bittinger 4H
Top of Wisp
–Morning Morning Morning
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
–
Canaan Valley Refuge
Dobbins High Bog Sods
Spruce Knob
Snowshoe
Mt.Davis
Flight 93
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spot vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
void
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Foxtown Rd morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morningBittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morningBittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley eveningBittinger 2NW Valley eveningRock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening–
A.m snow showers, windy, some blowing and drifting. Aurora at night.
Bittinger 2NW Valley
precip
SF 1.9
Event total 3.3
Season to date 3.3
–West of Bittinger morningUp from Bittinger 2NW Valley morningBy Glade Church morning Foxtown Rd morningWest of Bittinger morningWest of Bittinger morningWest of Bittinger morningUp from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morningBittinger 2NW Valley morningFoxtown Rd morningRock Lodge Rd near The Glades afternoon Foxtown Rd afternoon West of Bittinger afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon
The Glades
By The Glades 9pmBy The Glades 9pm
Bittinger 4H
Top of Wisp
–Cherry Creek at Mosser Rd morningMchenry morning Deep Creek Lake morningDeep Creek Lake morningMchenry afternoon Cherry Creek at Mosser Rd 9pm
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts coop BPUp 32Up 32Up 32Up 32Canaan Heights Canaan Heights
Canaan Mt Bog
–
For more data and pics from Canaan Mt Bog click the link below:
Snow activity, colder, windy. Pockets of heavy snow , areas of little action
Bittinger 2NW Valley
precip .07
SF 1.4
season to date snowfall 1.4
–Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Foxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Old Cherry Glade Church morning Old Cherry Glade Church morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW ValleyBittinger 2NW Valley morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Foxtown Rd morning ⁵Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morningRock Lodge Rd near The Glades afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley eveningBittinger 2NW Valley eveningFoxtown Rd eveningRock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades eveningBittinger 2NW Valley evening
Bittinger 4H
Top of Wisp
*station data estimated using Garrett County Airport that is now back online.
–Mosser Rd morningState Park Rd morning State Park Rd morningDeep Creek Lake morningDeep Creek Lake morningDeep Creek Lake morningDeep Creek Lake morning219 morningDeep Creek Lake afternoon Evening
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts COOP BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
–
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Pics by Sami Khan
–––––
Canaan Valley Refuge
Dobbins High Bog Sods
Spruce Knob
–
Snowshoe
––
Mt.Davis
–
Flight 93
Elkins Airport
-Site Comparison
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Radar totally not doing the heavier snow pockets justice
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
COLD/SNOW OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY NIGHT TO WEDNESDAY A.M (11-9 TO 11-12)
–
Incoming showers today, transitioning to snow showers late evening/early overnight first across the Wv High Ground. Gradually that opportunity will continue to lower in elevation and coverage as temps continue to drop overnight in to Monday. The primary snow focus will be across the Wv high ground overnight in to Monday. Snow showers continue Monday and by later Monday with a secondary front an increase in snow activity and some localized squalls look possible.
let’s play out the 6z GFS..
–
Temperatures dropping later today, overnight, holding steady 26-32 Monday, with low to mid 20s on the Wv tops. The core of the coldest pushes in late Monday to Tuesday a.m. Many areas across the Alleghenies will drop to 15-20, with the Wv tops potentially going as low as the upper single digits to low teens.
6z GFS Temps
–
WInds after a calm Sunday morning, those winds while not extreme, will be consistent and increasing tonight, and more so Monday night through Wednesday. Gusts of 25 to 35mph+ , with in excess of 40mph+ across the higher exposed Wv tops will be consistent through midweek. This will create blowing snow at times with some drifting.
6z gfs gust
–
The combination of cold and wind will create some very cold windchills , especially Monday night/Tuesday AM with windchills running 0 to 10 above 2500′ , with the higher exposed Wv areas above 4000′, windchills of 0 to -10 may be seen.
6z GFS windchills
–
The famous question, is always snow amounts. This is a multi day event. The most impressive areas of accumulation are likely to occur across the higher favored Wv upslope locations where the moisture trajectory looks to be more favorable. That said, a cold unstable airmass can produce bands and squalls that can drop localized rapid amounts that cause poor travel anywhere across the Alleghenies. The period that is the most interesting to watch is late Monday-Tuesday a.m. When you wake up tomorrow, many will say this event didnt do anything. Again, these numbers are through Tuesday as things wind down.
First up, the NWS Forecast.
●Expected
–
●NWS High End
–
●NWS Low End
–
Now we’ll jump model to model:
Model Blend v5 Parallel
–
RRFS (Note graphic is a 10 to 1 graphic, this event can run 15 to 20 to 1)
–
Euro has been consistent limiting the action north of the Mason Dixon.
–
GFS
–
Canadian
–
Short Range Canadian(similar to U.S Nam)Nam
–
3K Nam, this model should NEVER be used for snowfall. It excels in cold air damming event, is horrible on QPF
–
The consistency is through most modeling a favorable Wv event with the trajectory.
Thoughts and subject to tweaks
These numbers go Low End(L) Expected(E) High End(H)
Snowshoe L- 2-3″ , E- 4-7″ , H-8-12″
Elkins L-.5 to 1″ , E-1-3″ , H-3-5″
Canaan Valley L-2-3″, E- 4-7″, H-7-11″
Terra Alta L-1-2″, E- 2-4″, H-5-7″
Mchenry L-1″ , E-1-3″, H- 4-6″
Cranesville L-1-2″, E- 2-4″ , H-4-6″
Meyersdale L-T- .5 , E-1-2″, H- 2-4″
7Springs L-1-2″, E- 2-4″ , H-4-6″
Finzel L-.5 to 1 “, E- 1-2″ , H- 2-4”
Squalls or Bands can increase any localized area. These are also expected snowfall totals. Not depths.
Allegheny Mountains Weather 