June 12 2019…

Canaan cam offline

June 12(Wed)         min      max.     avg

Bitt 2nw Valley        37.0      66.0      51.5

Garrett College         42.0     67.8      54.9

New Germany SP     44        67        55.5

Can-Heights               41        67        54

CRN-Canaan             38.3      64.7     51.5

Cabin Mt                    45.8      62.4    54.1

Cabin Mt N                46.0      63.3    54.6

Spruce Knob             45.6      58.1    51.8

Snowshoe                  46         62       54

Can-Valley Floor     35.9       67.4     51.6

Can-Valley Floor N 32.9       66.5     49.7

7Springs                    52         64        58

Clear start, valley fog, increasing cloudiness today.

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

Pics today

Coldest spots in the east this morning

Saranac Lake 32.0

Mt.Washington 32.0(with 52mph wind)

Northern Canaan Valley 32.9

Canaan cam offline

June 11(Tues)           min       max      avg

Bitt 2nw Valley        42.9       64.6       53.7

Garrett College       46.8.      66.9       57.8

New Germany SP     48         69        58.5

Can-Heights             44         65         54.5

CRN-Canaan           43.1      62.6      52.8

Cabin Mt.                 41.0      59.3      50.1

Cabin Mt N              42.6      60.4      51.5

Spruce Knob           39.7      57.7      48.7

Snowshoe                40          58        49

Can-Valley Floor     40.6      64.9     52.7

Can-Valley Floor N 37.4      64.9     51.1

7Springs                    46         64       55

Partly sunny, low dew points, breezy, rain ended overnight.. The high ground reached their mins in the morning, valleys at 23:59

Temp profile this afternoon

 

with rain ending shortly after midnight,radar void of precip today

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

Canaan cam offline

June 10(Mon)            min.     max      avg

Bitt 2nw Valley

Garrett College        56.5       71.4       63.9

New Germany SP     56           65       60.5

Can-Heights              55            73       64

CRN-Canaan             55.1        70.6    62.8

Cabin Mt                   54.1        67.5    60.8

Cabin Mt N               53.2        70.6    61.8

Spruce Knob           53.9        64.6     59.2

Snowshoe               54            64        59

Can-Valley Floor     57.5       73.4    65.4

Can-Valley Floor N 56.1       73.9    65.0

7Springs                   54          68       61

Cloudy, foggy, drizzly, some heavier showers. A few spots got some very brief sun, allowing a temp jump

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

Video by Railey Reality of Muddy Creek Falls at Swallow Falls State Park

Canaan cam offline

June 9(Sun)            min       max       avg

Bitt 2nw Valley

Garrett College     55.4         64.9      60.1

New Germany SP 56            66         61

Can-Heights           53           60         56.5

CRN-Canaan         53.7         65.6     59.7

Cabin Mt               50.0         57.2     53.6

Cabin Mt N           50.1         57.7     53.9

Spruce Knob         49.8        55.9     52.8

Snowshoe               54          59        56.5

Can-Valley Floor   54.5       65.3     59.9

Can-Valley Floor N 53.6     61.3     57.4

7Springs                  56          67       61.5

Mainly cloudy, some fog. Drizzle, light showers later. A few brief brightenings.

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

Canaan cam offline

Jun 8(Sat)               min       max       avg

Bitt 2nw Valley

Garrett College    59.9       71.3       65.6

New Germany SP 60         73          66.5

Can-Heights           55         66         60.5

CRN-Canaan          56.8      64.0      60.4

Cabin Mt                52.1      60.4      56.2

Cabin Mt N            52.8      62.6     57.7

Spruce Knob         51.4      54.8     53.1

Snowshoe              52          57       54.5

Can-Valley Floor   57.5     66.0    61.7

Can Valley Floor N 57.5   66.9    62.2

Clouds/overcast, sun still frequently visible. Stiff east breeze. Heavier cloud deck and damper weather in the southern Alleghenies, therefore lowering temps there

Temp profile this afternoon

 

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

Pics-

 

Some temp variation in the region. Cumberland low 80s, Spruce Knob low 50s

 

Canaan cam offline

June 7(Fri)               min.      max.     avg

Bitt 2nw Valley

Garrett College      55.3       69.9       62.6

New Germany SP  57          69          63

Can-Heights           57           67         62

CRN-Canaan          54.8       67.3      61.1

Cabin Mt                54.6       62.4      58.5

Cabin Mt N            55.0       59.7     57.3

Spruce Knob        54.8       58.6      56.7

Snowshoe              57         65         61

Can-Valley Floor   51.2     68.1      59.6

Can-Valley Floor N 51.4    69.6     60.5

7Springs.                  56       67       63

Mainly cloudy, east flow, cool

Temp profile this afternoon

 

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

 

Canaan cam offline

June 6(Thurs)          min     max.    avg

Bitt 2nw Valley

Garrett College       58.2      75.5     66.8

New Germany SP    62        77        69.5

Can-Heights             57        74        65.5

CRN-Canaan           55.6      71.1     63.4

Cabin Mt                 57.2      69.9      63.5

Cabin Mt N             57.7      71.0      64.3

Spruce Knob          55.7      68.0      61.8

Snowshoe

Can-Valley Floor     51.2      74.4    62.8

Can-Valley Floor N 50.0      74.4    62.2

7Springs

Cloudy, morning on and off light showers, a mix of clouds and sun afternoon

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

Pics-

Throwback ThursdayScreenshot_20190606-070144

Canaan cam offline

June 5(Wed)           min      max       avg

Bitt 2nw Valley      47.9      66.5      57.2

Garrett College       52.1     66.6     59.3

New Germany SP   53         65        59

Can-Heights            58         64        61

CRN-Canaan           56.1      63.2     59.7

Cabin Mt                 55.7      60.6     58.1

Cabin Mt N            55.5       61.5     58.5

Spruce Knob          53.2      59.3     56.2

Snowshoe

Can-Valley Floor    51.8       65.4      58.6

Can-Valley Floor N 38.3      66.5      52.4

7Springs

Cloudy, showers. A mini mid morning break from showers.

Temp profile this afternoon

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

Pics-

June 4, 2019

Canaan cam offline

June 4(Tues)              min.     max      avg

Bitt 2nw Valley       32.6        67.9      50.2

Garrett College       36.3        71.2     53.7

New Germany SP   38           72       55

Can-Heights             37          71       54

CRN-Canaan            38.6      66.6     52.6

Cabin Mt                  41.5      65.3     53.4

Cabin Mt N              42.2      67.6     54.9

Spruce Knob           40.2      66.0     53.1

Snowshoe

Can-Valley Floor     29.4     69.2    49.3

Can-Valley Floor N 25.3     69.8    46.0

7Springs

Lots of sun, mainly clear start, a touch of high cloudiness. Frost in many spots. It was not restricted to the absolute coldest pockets. More clouds towards evening.

Temp profile this afternoon

 

2019-06-06-09-02-07

Radar Void

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

Pics-

 

 

 

Worth a mention on how well the models performed from a week out. On May 28th on the Allegheny Mountains Weather Facebook page, I posted about the possibility of valley frost based on the ECMWF, and GFS agreeing. That far out, a tiny change-cloud cover, wind, dewpoint, could easily alter that. The models held and did super in seeing this cold shot.

The GFS tends to resemble the valley locations more, and the Euro, the high ground. As we move closer to the period, within 60 hours, the 3km Nam is my go choice in the attempt to get real close to what the coldest pockets may drop to. Not the 2m temp parameter off the model, but instead focusing in on wind, dewpoints, cloud cover. Then looking at the dewpoints if all else is optimal, and subtracting 3-5° for the cold pockets. Finally with a last check of the GFS as it usually indicates if the cold night will be true or not. On June 3rd, a note sent out to weather friends via email, using this method did well. Screenshot_20190606-090903

Canaan cam offline

June 3(Mon)              min        max.     avg

Bitt 2nw Valley        36.4        59.3      47.8

Garrett College        42.3       60.1      51.2

New Germany SP    43         62         52

Can-Heights              39         59        49

CRN-Canaan            38.9      57.1      48.0

Cabin Mt                 42.4       55.4      48.9

Cabin Mt N            42.9       54.9      48.9

Spruce Knob          41.3      53.2      47.2

Snowshoe

Can-Valley Floor     32.9     59.2     46.0

Can-Valley Floor N  29.3    59.5     44.4

7Springs

Clear, very low dewpoints(30s) , breezy,,cool, just an amazing fall like June day….some pockets of frost in Canaans cold pockets likely.

Temp profile this afternoon(The RTMA is poor at min temps/cold areas

 

2019-06-04-19-34-09

Radar Void of precip

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow

 

pics-