A.M freezing rain in the classic cold zones. Worst icing on roads this season. Then mild push mid to late morning with showers, rapidly followed by colder air and ice pellets, snow showers
Bittinger 2NW Valley
precip .34
SF .5
SD 3 7am
SF season to date 91.0″
Dyacon Data Below
Foxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morningRock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge/Accident-Bittinger morning Foxtown Rd morningFoxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morningWest of Bittinger morning Old Cherry Glade Church morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Old Cherry Glade Church morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Foxtown Rd morning West of Bittinger afternoon West of Bittinger afternoon West of Bittinger morning Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley eveningBittinger 2NW Valley eveningUp from Bittinger 2NW Valley evening By Old Cherry Glade Church evening West of Bittinger eveningFoxtown Rd evening
Bittinger 4H
Garrett County Airport
Mosser Rd morning Lake Shore Drive morning Deep Creek lake morning Deep Creek Lake morning Rock Lodge Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd morningRock Lodge Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd morningDeep Creek Lake morning
Top of Wisp
–Morning
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts coop BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Morning Afternoon
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
–
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt Davis
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt Davis
Canaan area temps
Sods Plateau
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valleys
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Cranesville
Morning Morning Afternoon Afternoon Afternoon Afternoon Top of Mt towards Sang Run
Touch of light snow/freezing drizzle/sleet a.m, some high ground riming , some pm freezing rain
Bittinger 2NW Valley
precip .35
SF 1.4
SD 3.5″ 17:00
SF season to date 90.5″
Dyacon Data Below
West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning West of Bittinger morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades afternoon Foxtown Rd afternoon Foxtown Rd afternoon West of Bittinger afternoon Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon experimental fridge spotBittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley eveningWest of Bittinger eveningWest of Bittinger evening West of Bittinger eveningWest of Bittinger eveningWest of Bittinger eveningWest of Bittinger evening West of Bittinger evening West of Bittinger evening Foxtown Rd evening Foxtown Rd evening Foxtown Rd eveningRock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening
Bittinger 4H
Garrett County Airport
Deep Creek lake-BeckmansDeep Creek Lake afternoon Deep Creek Lake afternoon Deep Creek Lake afternoon Deep Creek Lake afternoon Mchenry afternoon
Top of Wisp
Afternoon
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts coop BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt Davis
Canaan area temps
Sods Plateau
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Cloudy, snow pressing in south to north. Heaviest amounts southern Alleghenies, southern Wv, western Va
Bittinger 2NW Valley
precip +
SF 1.6″
SD 2.5
SF season to date 89.1
Dyacon Data Below
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning West of Bittinger morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon experimental fridge spotBittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley eveningUp from Bittinger 2NW Valley evening Foxtown Rd evening Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening
Bittinger 4H
Garrett County Airport
Deep Creek Lake morning Deep Creek Lake morning Deep Creek Lake morning 219 Mchenry By Garrett College afternoon
● Webcam
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts COOP BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Bald Knob left
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
–
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
Canaan area temps
Sods Plateau
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valleys
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
South end Amish Rd morning Bittinger 2NW Valley midday Bittinger 2NW Valley middayBittinger 2NW Valley midday Bittinger 2NW Valley middayBittinger 2NW Valley middayBittinger 2NW Valley middayWest of Bittinger midday West of Bittinger midday Foxtown Rd middayBittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon “experimental fridge spot”Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley Evening Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley Evening Bittinger 2NW Valley Evening Bittinger 2NW Valley Evening Bittinger 2NW Valley Evening Bittinger 2NW Valley Evening Bittinger 2NW Valley EveningRock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening
Bittinger 4H
Garrett County Airport
Deep Creek Lake afternoon Deep Creek Lake afternoon Sand Flat Rd afternoon
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Atop Ski areaBald Knob left
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Spruce Knob
–
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
Canaan area temps
Sods Plateau
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valleys
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
■ The cold air has settled in on this Super Bowl Sunday
–
● Big ridge in Alaska, allowing the cold to push against the resistance of a southeast ridge that wants to stand it’s ground. This sets up a very active pattern with system after system riding towards the Ohio Valley and Mid Atlantic. Active, but not always a favorable snow setup.
–
At the moment the ridge is strong, but flat and the cold can push. This allows for the Tuesday system to primarily be in the snow form with a more southern west to east track
● Wednesday to Thursday you’ll see that ridge strengthen, get a bit more southerly push. This is not favorable for the Wv high ground to get wintry precip by Thursday. Bob Leffler was always taught and mentioned it to me many times, when you see 591 over Miami, that’s the kiss of death for WV high ground snow. What often happens in these setups, when you see that 588, 591+ heights over southern Florida and high pressures passing north of our area driving in low level cold, its a classic setup for frequent over running mixed events for the classic cold wedge zones. That is exactly what we have in this upcoming setup.
■ OK let’s look at a variety of models for this coming week.
▪︎ First up the 18Z GFS.
–
▪︎ Second up the 18z EURO
–
▪︎ Now the shorter range 18z Nam
▪︎ 18z Short Range Canadian
■ The snow event Tuesday-Wednesday has some variances on modeling and the Euro, and GFS are the heaviest weighted here.
▪︎ GFS likely a touch too amped up. A bit south of 12z
–
▪︎ 18z Euro
–
▪︎ 18z GFS ensemble mean
–
▪︎18z Euro Ensemble mean
■ Now short range modeling
▪︎ 18z Nam, and lower weighted. It is a bit north. Worth watching, especially as any trend north or south will impact that Mason Dixon zone from a few inches to 6+.
–
▪︎ 18z Short range Canadian , low weighted
■ That said Garrett, Preston, Allegany, Mineral 2-5″ as it looks now. Any trend north could boost those up. Tucker, Grant, Pendleton, Randolph, 3-7″ with the highest as you move south in this zone. Pocahontas, Highland, Bath 4-8″ with localized 8″+
■ Moving forward as the milder flow aloft begins to influence the next system and track. It’s running over the low level cold air. This should set up some sleet/freezing rain Wednesday to Thursday with a change to rain across the higher Wv locations first.
The weekend setup will be dictated by the timing, track and how much cold pushes in with the timing of that event.
After last nights freezing rain,rain , colder air worked in,,some early a.m snow. Then flakes, mostly cloudy and cold.
Bittinger 2NW Valley
Precip
SF .4
SD 1.5 variable
SF season to date 88.5
Dyacon Data Below
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning
Bittinger 4H
Garrett County Airport
–
Top of Wisp
–
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts coop BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
–
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Whitegrass cam Cabin Mt
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Max Temp estimated value based off QTRP1 A higher elevation station just north, K2G4 Garrett Airport and the RTMA cold push around midnight as the station was offline until afternoon today
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
Canaan area temps
Sods Plateau
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Cloudy, areas of am snow,sleet, freezing rain. That progressed(freezing rain) towards Mason Dixon towards evening
Bittinger 2NW Valley
Precip +
SF .1
SD 1.5″ 7am variable
SF season to date 88.1″
Dyacon Data Below
Bittinger 2NW Valley morning “bare areas were under water 2 days agoBittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley evening
Bittinger 4H
Garrett County Airport
–
Top of Wisp
–
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts coop BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Bald Knob left
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
Canaan area temps
Sods Plateau
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valleys
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots Vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow