■1- After a long cold January that was book ended by a departing mild air on midnight of the New Year and we ended with milder air the last 2 days of the month. We were dominated most of the month by cold northwest flow and high ratio snows. High ratio meaning, lots of accumulation, limited moisture and depths often settled back rapidly after each fluff event.
■2- Now we are off in to February with a new version of winter. We have the resistance of a developed southeast ridge, we have cold that will push against that ridge. Lows will form on the boundary and with the ridge in place, the low track will allow for surges of milder SW flow(especially aloft) with low level cold holding, then departing as mild air works in, followed by a new colder push. We are really in the battle zone the next few weeks. This often leads to over running events. Mixed events that often feature freezing rain, some sleet across our classic cold air damming locations. In general it’s not a pattern that bodes well for snow in the WV high country without a stronger cold push to establish the boundary far enough south to allow these event to primarily be snow.
■ 3- Let’s look at the 0z GFS. I think finally modeling is starting to settle in on a pattern as they really struggled this past week with the transition. 30° swings in the models every 6 hours on days just several days away. While there still is variances, that has closed in. Now the 0z GFS
● First up the 2m Temps
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• Notice around on apps, and other forecast its mostly a mild forecast for Sunday. However for some, that colder air holds on until after nightfall Sunday. So with today’s maxes occured last night after midnight and for some , tomorrow’s maxes won’t occur until near midnight Monday a.m. That will mean a mostly cold weekend. If you’re from Bittinger to Finzel and north-northeast Sunday it may just feel downright cold.
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Cold easterly flow. A look at the Euro off Ventusky going in to Sunday afternoon at Garrett County. Some areas will be mild, some areas hold on to the colder air longer. Again, that eases as we push overnight. For the duration of the weekend though its cold.
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■4- We all turn milder in to Monday. 40s, low 50s. This is ahead of the next colder push for Tuesday. That cold oozes in north to south. So while we enter Tuesday at midnight in the 40s, the daytime should see temps bleed back in to the 30s. That cold air gets established and looks to be in place for the next precipitation event Wednesday.
Wednesday afternoon per 0z GFS
A look at the wind off the ventusky site. Low level colder east wind.
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▪︎East Flow, low level cold air courtesy of the high pressures passing north, lows off to the SW. This looks to be a pattern on repeat.
■ 5- That leads to a over running precipitation event that should feature some freezing rain in the classic cold air damming locations. Some sleet where the cold layer is a bit thicker and some snow north(maybe Blue Knob)where the vertical profile could remain cold enough. Those are details that will change as modeling gets closer.
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■ 6- playing the entire 6z GFS run out. You’ll see the ebs and flows of these over running events. Going in to Thursday, milder surge, as that passes a colder push, repeat. Eventually we may get enough push to get some of these back to the snowier side. That’s a tough sell at the moment as we have to watch how the battle zone the next 10+ days plays out.
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■ 7- In summary
Cold push – mix event – rain with the milder surge – cold push – mix event – rain with the milder surge.
This week the milder surge is Monday. Colder push Tuesday-Wednesday with mix event. Milder surge Thursday. Colder push Friday and potentially mix event next weekend. The new version of the winter pattern as we enter Feb
Cloudy, wet, heaviest rains across Wv. Some reported onset sleet, flakes. Primarily rain as milder air surged in. Valley hung on to the chill awhile.
Bittinger 2NW Valley
Precip .23
Month and Year to date precip 3.22
SF 0
SD 11.5 7am
Month to date SF 58.4
SF Season to date 87.7″
Dyacon Data Below
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Foxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Towards Bowman Hill morningSouth end Amish Rd morning
The Glades
*will be filled in ASAP as data is collected
Bittinger 4H
Garrett County Airport
Mchenry morning
●webcam
Top of Wisp
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Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts coop BP
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
Canaan area temps
Sods Plateau
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valleys
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
■January 2025
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Cranesville
Grantsville to Savage Mt
––––––––
Frostburg
‘
Lavale to Cumberland
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Rocky Gap
Polish Mt
Town Hill
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Wv Rivers
Jeremy Cutlip video MarlintonJeremy Cutlip video MarlintonJeremy Cutlip video Knapps Creek–
Clouds,sun with building high clouds to mid level late day. First 40° day of the year in spots.
Bittinger 2NW Valley
precip 0
sf 0
SD 11.5
SF season to date 87.7
Dyacon Data Below
Foxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning West of Bittinger morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Foxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd morning Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley eveningBittinger 2NW Valley evening Bittinger 2NW Valley evening Bittinger 2NW Valley evening Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley evening West of Bittinger eveningWest of Bittinger eveningWest of Bittinger eveningWest of Bittinger eveningFoxtown Rd eveningFoxtown Rd eveningFoxtown Rd eveningRock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening
Bittinger 4H
Garrett County Airport
Mchenry morning Mosser Rd near Cherry Creek morning Rock Lodge Rd morning Deep Creek Lake morning Deep Creek Lake morning Glendale Rd middayDeep Creek Lake midday Deep Creek Lake midday
Top of Wisp
Backside morning
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts coop bp
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valleys
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Clouds,sun, windy. Another huge model fail today. Models showing a nice upslope setup days ago, still held light accumulations today and nothing was even close.
Bittinger 2NW Valley
precip 0
SF 0
SD 12.0 7am
SF season to date 87.7″
Dyacon Data Below
Foxtown Rd morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Foxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd afternoon Foxtown Rd afternoon Foxtown Rd afternoon West of Bittinger afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Across from Bittinger 2NW afternoon Across from Bittinger 2NW afternoon Across from Bittinger 2NW afternoon Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley evening Bittinger 2NW Valley evening Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley evening West of Bittinger 2NW Valley evening West of Bittinger eveningWest of Bittinger evening West of Bittinger eveningFoxtown Rd evening Foxtown Rd eveningFoxtown Rd eveningRock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening
Bittinger 4H
Garrett County Airport
Mchenry morning Mosser Rd morning
Top of Wisp
Morning Morning
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt Davis
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
Canaan area temps
Sods Plateau
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
void
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
–Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morningRock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Foxtown Rd morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Foxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Foxtown Rd afternoon Foxtown Rd afternoon West of Bittinger afternoon West of Bittinger afternoon West of Bittinger afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoonBittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoonBittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoonBittinger 2NW Valley 2NW afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley evening Bittinger 2NW Valley evening West of Bittinger evening West of Bittinger evening West of Bittinger evening West of Bittinger evening West of Bittinger evening Foxtown Rd evening Foxtown Rd eveningFoxtown Rd eveningRock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening
Bittinger 4H
Garrett County Airport
Mchenry morning Deep Creek Lake morning Carmel Cove middayDeep Creek Lake afternoon Deep Creek Lake afternoon Deep Creek Lake afternoon
Top of Wisp
–Afternoon Afternoon
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
–
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
Site Comparison
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
Canaan area temps
Sods Plateau
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valleys
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Towards Bowman Hill morningBittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2NW Valley morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Foxtown Rd morningRock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoonBittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley afternoon Bittinger 2NW Valley eveningBittinger 2NW Valley eveningWest of Bittinger evening West of Bittinger evening Foxtown Rd evening Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening
Bittinger 4H
Garrett County Airport
–State Park RdDeep Creek Lake Deep Creek Lake middayDeep Creek Lake middayDeep Creek Lake midday
Webcam
Top of Wisp
afternoon Afternoon
Webcams
–
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
Climate Reference Network Canaan
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Bald Knob left of Canaan Ski area
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Bear Rocks-Dolly Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Bittinger 2NW Valley, Bittinger 4H, Garrett County Airport, Mt.Davis
Canaan area temps
Sods Plateau
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Allegheny Mountains Weather 