January 15, 2024

January 15, 2024

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Jan 15(Mon)

Fine light snow, dimmed sun today and cold

Bittinger 2nw Valley

fine light snow with minimal accumulation through 5pm

Dyacon data below

Dung Hill Rd morning
Dung Hill Rd morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Up From Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Up From Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Near Old Cherry Glade Church morning
West of Bittinger morning
West of Bittinger morning
West of Bittinger morning
Foxtown Rd morning
Foxtown Rd morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon “Experimental Fridge Spot”
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley evening
Bittinger 2nw Valley evening
Foxtown Rd evening

Garrett County Airport

-Deep Creek Lake morning
Deep Creek Lake morning

Top of Wisp

Afternoon
Morning webcam

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

7am to 7am data mmts BP

Atop Canaan Ski area

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

Spruce Knob

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

Elkins Airport

  • SITE COMPARISON

Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′

The Valley vs Cabin Mt

Bittinger 2nw Valley vs Mt.Davis

Canaan area temps

High Ground Comparison

Up High and Down Low

Up High, High Valley, Low Valley

The Valleys

Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA

RTMA

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow

Town Hill

Polish Mt

Martins Mt

Cumberland to Lavale

Frostburg

Savage Mt to Grantsville area

January 14, 2024

January 14, 2024

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Jan 14(Sun)

Snow early with a heavy squall with the artic boundary. Continued windy with blowing and drifting and skies broke through the late morning and afternoon.

Bittinger 2nw Valley

1.7 overnight through 7am with another rapid inch with the squall. 2.7″ before things tapered for the day Snow depths of 16″ with a very solid base. 54.2″ on the season

dyacon data below

Garrett County Airport

Top of Wisp

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

7am to 7am data mmts BP

Climate Reference Network Station

Atop Canaan Ski area

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

Spruce Knob

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt.Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

Elkins Airport

  • SITE COMPARISON

Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′

The Valley vs Cabin Mt

Bittinger 2nw Valley vs Mt.Davis

Canaan area temps

High Ground Comparison

Up High and Down Low

Up High, High Valley, Low Valley

The Valleys

Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA

RTMA

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow

Town Hill

Polish Mt

Martins Mt

Cumberland to Lavale

Frostburg

Savage Mt to Grantsville

in the heart of the squall

January 13, 2024

January 13, 2024

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Jan 13(Sat)

Turning colder, through the day. Early a.m scattered snow showers turning in to a more general widespread upslope snow with strong gusting winds creating whiteout conditions.

Bittinger 2nw Valley

.9 snow/sleet since 5pm last night through 7am today. 2.0 occurred 7am through 5pm.

Dyacon data below-

West of Bittinger morning- before the upslope
West of Bittinger morning
Near Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning “Experimental Fridge Spot”
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
South end Amish Rd morning

Garrett County Airport

Top of Wisp

Rooftop site

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

7am to 7am data mmts BP

Climate Reference Network Station

Atop Canaan Ski area

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

Spruce Knob

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt. Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

Elkins Airport

  • SITE COMPARISON

Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′

The Valley vs Cabin Mt

Bittinger 2nw Valley vs Mt.Davis

Canaan area temps

High Ground Comparison

Up High and Down Low

Up High, High Valley, Low Valley

The Valleys

Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA

RTMA

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow

Grantsville to Savage Mt

County roads has been absolutely horrible at spreading cinders this year.

Frostburg

Lavale to Cumberland

Martins Mt

Polish Mt

Town Hill

Webcams

January 12, 2024

January 12, 2024

Outlooks:

Big story will be wind, Southeast winds, the easterly component is big in keeping the high ground in the chill and parts of the central and Eastern Allegheny high ground in play for a bit of wintry precip to start this evening.

First the winds-

High Wind Warnings out

Initially the strong southeast winds today, a lull in the winds early overnight just ahead of the cold front and the southwest winds kicks in after midnight ramping up through Saturday morning. Essentially the same type of wind setup as a couple days ago.

The HRRR wind gust, direction. Often a bit overdone on gust mph, but a good illustration how the winds and direction plays out ahead and behind the front.

The current surface map shows the cause of the wind direction. Clockwise around the High, Counter clockwise around the low 

The does allow for some drier air on place initially on the east side as that low shoots towards the lakes. As our temps creep in to the mid to upper 30s

That is accompanied by lower dewpoints in the mid and lower levels

When you have the temp/dewpoint spread, as you work moisture in you do get some evaporative cooling so numbers creep back down initially as moisture works in and begins to saturate the air mass.

The HRRR illustrates this

As moisture moves in, it allows for some wet snow a wintry mix across parts of the high ground initially

The as the system pull ls closer and north, we lose the SE wind component, the air mass is saturated and we briefly pull in some slightly milder moist air and some plain rain resumes in all areas, including those that had the initial snow or mix 

The HRRR snow zone potential

Again it’s erratic at times and overdone on amounts, but the other day it sure hit on location of the highest totals much better than other modeling. Again the initial wintry side looks to only be a several hour potential.

As we work through the night some upslope snows try to kick in, in a less favorable SW wind direction and may add up to a few inches through Saturday. Amounts look unimpressive, but whatever does fall will be blowing clean off the hardpack snow surface. Just a inch or 2 will reduce visibility as it blows Saturday on the strong westerly winds 

Temps fall through Saturday morning and the threat of snow showers continue but looks much more scattered than it did a few days ago. Eyes then go to next week with the potential of some high ratio fluff Tuesday. Models vary greatly on this. The extreme cold is on the table but a touch less extreme than it was shown the other day. Tuesday in to Wednesday now appears the coldest. Whether it’s -5 or +5, still plenty cold and preps needed.

Review of January 12, 2024

Review of January 12, 2024

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Jan 12(Fri)

 Red sky sunrise, clouds with some dim sun, thickening through the day. Late day/evening snow/sleet/rain

Bittinger 2nw Valley

Dyacon data below-

Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Up from Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
West of Bittinger morning
West of Bittinger morning
Foxtown Rd morning
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades afternoon.SE wind drifting despite mid 30s and very little loose snow to blow
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades afternoon
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades afternoon
Foxtown Rd afternoon
Foxtown Rd afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley evening
West or Bittinger evening
West of Bittinger evening
West of Bittinger evening
Foxtown Rd evening
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening
Foxtown Rd evening
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon dark
Up from Bittinger 2nw Valley 7pm
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades 7:30pm

Garrett County Airport

Rock Lodge Rd morning
Deep Creek Lake morning

Top of Wisp

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

7am to 7am data mmts BP

Climate Reference Network Station

Atop Canaan Ski area

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

Spruce Knob

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

Elkins Airport

  • SITE COMPARISON

Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′

The Valley vs Cabin Mt

Bittinger 2nw Valley vs Mt.Davis

Canaan area temps

High Ground Comparison

Up High and Down Low

Up High, High Valley, Low Valley

The Valleys

Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA

RTMA

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow

Town Hill

Polish Mt

Martins Mt

Cumberland to Lavale

Frostburg

Savage Mt to Grantsville

Sand Flat

Cranesville

Caught a flying leaf

Sang Run

Webcams

January 11, 2024

January 11, 2024

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Jan 11(Thurs)

 Lots of sun, few clouds, breezy

Bittinger 2nw Valley

dyacon data below

Foxtown Rd morning
West of Bittinger morning
West of Bittinger morning
West of Bittinger morning
Near Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Towards Bowman Hill morning
South end of Amish Rd morning

Garrett County Airport

Top of Wisp

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

Climate Reference Network Station

Atop Canaan Ski area

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

Spruce Knob

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

Elkins Airport

  • SITE COMPARISON

Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′

The Valley vs Cabin Mt

Bittinger 2nw Valley vs Mt.Davis

Canaan area temps

High Ground Comparison

Up High and Down Low

Up High, High Valley, Low Valley

The Valleys

Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA

RTMA

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow

Cranesville

Grantsville to Savage Mt

,
Sideling Hill in view

Frostburg

Lavale to Cumberland

Martins Mt

Polish Mt

Town Hill

January 10, 2024

January 10, 2024

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Jan 10(Wed)

 Periods of light snow, some fine snow extremely windy. Power outages

Bittinger 2nw Valley

Dyacon data below

Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Up from Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
West of Bittinger morning
West of Bittinger morning
West of Bittinger morning
Foxtown Rd morning
Foxtown Rd morning
By Glade Church morning
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades afternoon
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades afternoon
Foxtown Rd afternoon
Foxtown Rd afternoon
West of Bittinger afternoon
West of Bittinger afternoon
Near Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
To Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon “Experimental Fridge Spot”
Up from Bittinger 2nw Valley evening
West of Bittinger evening
West of Bittinger evening
Foxtown Rd evening
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening

Garrett County Airport

Carmel Cove Deep Creek Lake
Carmel Cove morning
Deep Creek Lake morning
By Garrett College morning

Top of Wisp

Evening

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

7am to 7am data mmts BP

Climate Reference Network Station

Atop Canaan Ski area

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

71MPH GUST

Spruce Knob

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt.Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

Elkins Airport

  • SITE COMPARISON

Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′

The Valley vs Cabin Mt

Bittinger 2nw Valley vs Mt.Davis

Canaan area temps

High Ground Comparison

Up High and Down Low

Up High, High Valley, Low Valley

The Valleys

Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA

RTMA

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow

Oakland area

Cranesville

January 9, 2024

January 9, 2024

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Jan 9(Tues)

 A wide range today from

  • Heavy snow from hours before daylight to late morning midday
  • areas of sleet
  • freezing rain
  • rain
  • wind

Bittinger 2nw Valley

Dyacon data below-

Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Old Cherry Glade Church morning
Foxtown Rd morning
Near Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Near Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning “depth on bridge “
Bittinger 2nw Valley midday
West of Bittinger midday
West of Bittinger midday
Foxtown Rd midday-freezing rain
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley evening

Garrett County Airport

Mosser Rd as it began
By Garrett College morning
Rock Lodge Rd afternoon
Mchenry afternoon
Mchenry afternoon
Mosser Rd evening

Top of Wisp

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

Climate Reference Network Station

Atop Canaan Ski area

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

Spruce Knob

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt.Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

Elkins Airport

  • SITE COMPARISON

Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′

The Valley vs Cabin Mt

Bittinger 2nw Valley vs Mt.Davis

Canaan area temps

High Ground Comparison

Up High and Down Low

Up High, High Valley, Low Valley

The Valleys

Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA

RTMA

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow

Webcams

Weatherfix.net post

-Lots of highways and roads shut down with the snowfall rates this morning 1-2″ per hours over 7 hours Frostburg coop in at 14.3.

January 8, 2024

January 8, 2024

Outlook:

 The incoming “slop” system, that will begin wintry for some had raised some winter weather advisories I’m these area highlighted below

The NWS Snowfall outlooks for Tuesday morning

From Sterling:

From Pittsburgh

From State College

From Charleston

The snow aspect of the event is not long lived. Quick initial thump and the vertical temp profile gradually warms aloft and to the surface.

 Right along the west edge of those expected better early snow accumulations should be a sleet zone, and some areas of freezing rain before the Tuesday pm features plain rain. The Blue Knob and those higher eastern Allegheny PA areas should hold on to the wintry aspect the longest. As the midday model runs illustrate 

A quick look at the 12z ECMWF

The next story looks to be the strong southeast winds. Those come over the Alleghenies and downslope west has a good potential to cause some power outages.

Wind gust in excess of 50+mph possible. Wind Advisories and High Wind Warnings in play.

A look on the models at the winds, and wind direction. Winds from the southeast Tuesday then often right ahead of the wind direction flip there is some lull, but don’t let your guard down as Wednesday a.m will feature strong SW winds and in this case those are ushering back the colder air 

A look at the 12z HRRR winds from the Ventusky website. Advancing every several hours.

Temps tomorrow on those SE winds hold cold through the a.m hours in those typical wedge areas in the over running events. Eventually enough moist, and just mild enough air works in to flip things to plain rain area wide.

Temps off the 12z HRRR, graphics off the Weatherbell website

All told this system has plenty of moisture. 1-2″ of total liquid and in some areas upwards .75 to a inch could be in the frozen form. Then plenty of moisture remains to fall on that. Areas that are primarily all rain stand a chance at some localized creek flooding, and high water likely across the entire region once everyone changes over 

Those amounts include what is a portion of frozen precipitation.

As we progress Tuesday night in to Wednesday we end as some upslope snow to end the event and that looks to progress through very rapidly and amounts should be rather light on the order of 1-2″ that will be blown about as things refreeze back over.

Review of January 8, 2024

Review of January 8, 2024

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Jan 8(Mon)

Cloudy a.m, a few breaks in the pm

Bittinger 2nw Valley

Dyacon data below

South end of Amish Rd morning
Towards Bowman Hill morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Up from Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
West of Bittinger morning
West of Bittinger morning
West of Bittinger morning
Foxtown Rd morning
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning
Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon “Experimental Fridge Spot”
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley evening
Bittinger 2nw Valley evening
Bittinger 2nw Valley evening
Bittinger 2nw Valley evening

Garrett County Airport

Deep Creek Lake morning

Top of Wisp

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

7am to 7am data MMTS BP

Climate Reference Network Station

Atop Canaan Ski area

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

Spruce Knob

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt.Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

Elkins Airport

  • SITE COMPARISON

Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′

The Valley vs Cabin Mt

Bittinger 2nw Valley vs Mt.Davis

Canaan area temps

High Ground Comparison

Up High and Down Low

Up High, High Valley, Low Valley

The Valleys

Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA

RTMA

Radar

void

Satellite

Flow

Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow

Town Hill

Polish Mt

Martins Mt

Cumberland to Lavale

Frostburg

Savage Mt to Grantsville

,

Oakland area

January 7, 2024

January 7, 2024

Outlooks:

Yesterdays snow to the right, today and tonight to the left…tomorrow stomp your foot…Tuesday morning to the right, Wednesday morning to the left….

Yesterday’s snowfall left in its wake a snowfall map that looks like

This one to the right..which is typical of the storm setup. 

Now we watch the wrap around backside upslope today and tonight begin to fill on the west side of the Alleghenies. Favored upslope areas by 7am Monday 3-6″. As you progress towards the east side of the Alleghenies those amounts rapidly tail off 

The 6z GFS for this current upslope event

and the 6z ECMWF below for this upslope event

overall temps today holding steady to slowly backsliding this afternoon and some gusty winds will accompany this snow blowing it around across the high ground 

Then eyes will go to Tuesday with the next substantial system pushing in. This snow will be to the right, or east side similar to yesterday’s event in snow location. This is more of a quick snow thump(not extended as far east)and transition to sleet, freezing rain and eventually rain area wide as we go late Tuesday , Tuesday night.

the 6z GFS below

The initial thump of snow up the east side

6z GFS snowfall output

and the 6z ECMWF

the western zone of the best snowfall out, should feature a area of sleet and freezing rain.

The areas that miss out on the frozen aspect with this will also have to watch for some high water, as this system looks to have plenty of moisture.

As this system lifts away, to the left cha cha with the wrap around upslope that looks like this off the 6z GFS

Wouldn’t surprise me to see this end up a bit lower on the upslope with this, but far enough away to watch how it plays out.

Review of January 7, 2024

Review of January 7, 2024

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Jan 7(Sun)

 Upslope snow, varying light to moderate

Bittinger 2nw Valley

Dyacon data below-

Foxtown Rd morning
West of Bittinger morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Towards Bowman Hill morning

Garrett County Airport

Top of Wisp

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

7am to 7am data MMTS BP

Climate Reference Network Station

Atop Canaan Ski area

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Bald Knob pic today by Dave Carroll
Bald Knob pic by Dave Carroll as he repaired the Bald Knob weather station

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

Spruce Knob

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt.Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

Elkins Airport

  • SITE COMPARISON

Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′

The Valley vs Cabin Mt

Bittinger 2nw Valley vs Mt.Davis

Canaan area temps

High Ground Comparison

Up High and Down Low

Up High, High Valley, Low Valley

The Valleys

Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA

RTMA

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow

Grantsville to Savage Mt

Frostburg

Lavale to Cumberland

Up Martin’s Mt

Polish Mt

Town Hill

Buck Valley area

Webcams

Keysers Ridge evening

January 6, 2024

January 6, 2024

Outlook:

Part 1 now passing by.

Leaving in its wake :

3.8″ Bittinger 2nw Valley, a good portion of sleet beating back totals. 5-6″ amounts eastern Garrett, 5-8″ amounts in Allegany County. A map will be added here later, with reported tallies areas wide 

Now part 2-

The lull between part 1 and part 2(The upslope part) will feature some freezing drizzle in the lull period this evening and overnight.

Part 2 kicks in later tonight through Sunday night. As of now the upslope trend has looked more impressive on the recent model runs. Favorable upslope zones of 3-6″ amounts and that rapidly dries out as you progress east in those areas that did well today and a bit less as you lose elevation west, but still some light amounts there. Let’s look at the

18z GFS below

and the 12z ECMWF below

This will be accompanied by 25-35mph winds Sunday, so blowing and drifting will occur. Temps 24-31 area wide across the high ground Sunday. So the areas west that were on the lower end of tallies today, do best tomorrow.

Eyes will then go to Tuesday. Once again the east side of the Alleghenies may get another quick thump of snow with that, not as widespread eastbound as today’s event was, and again that goes to a mix of sleet to freezing rain to rain with that and back to snow Wednesday. Location will play a big role Tuesday on the duration of the wintry side.

Review of January 6, 2024

Review of January 6, 2024

Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21

Jan 6(Sat)

Snow, sleet, freezing rain, rain and depending on location made the difference of how much of those you seen.

Bittinger 2nw Valley

Dyacon data below- you’ll notice a slight difference in max temps. That is based on the recording interval if the Dyacon is 10 minutes vs 6 minutes.

Towards Bowman Hill morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon “Fridge Spot “
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Up from Bittinger 2nw Valley evening
West of Bittinger evening
West of Bittinger evening
Foxtown Rd evening

Garrett County Airport

Top of Wisp

Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE

7am to 7am data MMTS BP

Climate Reference Network Station

Atop Canaan Ski area

Cabin Mt at Bald Knob

Station repair tomorrow by Dave Carroll

Cabin Mt-Western Sods

Spruce Knob

Canaan Valley Refuge

Mt.Davis

Snowshoe

Petersburg Grant County Airport

Elkins Airport

  • SITE COMPARISON

Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′

The Valley vs Cabin Mt

Bittinger 2nw Valley vs Mt.Davis

Canaan area temps

High Ground Comparison

Up High and Down Low

Up High, High Valley, Low Valley

The Valleys

Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA

RTMA

Radar

Satellite

Flow

Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow

Town Hill

*before the snow

Martins Mt

*before the storm

Cumberland to Lavale

Cumberland
Cumberland

Frostburg

Savage Mt to Grantsville

North Fork Mt

Pic by Dave Carroll