Saturdays storm system still has plenty of variabilities.
1-Speed
2- QPF-liquid output(includes frozen precip)
3- Mixing potential
Model variation
The 6z GFS
Precip pushing in Saturday. The GFS typically is a touch too mild on these setups and may be a bit overdone on the mix zone. The focus for the best snow should run from the Allegheny Front to Sideling Hill and north-northeast. A 4-8″ zone. With the precip moving in rapidly, the main brunt of the precip in a 5-8 hour period, once it breaks out and precip rates hold up, mixing should be limited and a primarily a snow event would occur. Lighter rates allow for some sleet to occur in areas.
6z Gfs snowfall output
The 6z Euro
The 6z ECMWF snowfall amounts below and this op run of the ECMWF was a bit low on overall moisture I suspect a slight uptick on 12z
My thoughts for part 1, leaning low to mid range with a good performer grabbing the top end
Some tricky areas that potentially could beat models and these thoughts, may be around Morgantown. You break at snow at a heavier rate, the main part of the system can hold snow longer. So if you get heavier rates going, albeit short lived, it’s enough, fast enough to cause very poor travel. So the expected low zones still can have poor travel with initial heavy rates. Something to watch for, not a lock to occur
The NWS amounts for Part 1
NWS warnings,watches,advisories
Stay tuned to your local NWS updates through today and Saturday morning as the system continues to evolve and details are honed in. The NWS updated snowfall amounts are linked in the drop-down menu on this page under snowfall info. Those maps may now include snowfall in to part 2.
Between parts 1 and 2(the upslope feature) some light freezing drizzle may occur widespread over the high ground.
Part 2
Quick thoughts on part 2, the upslope part, this would be Sunday into very early Monday a.m hours. Leaning low to mid range with a good performer grabbing the top end
After this passes, we watch the Next system Tuesday-Wednesday.
That’s a snow to sleet, freezing rain to rain and backend wrap around snow. The initial snow brunt potential again is greatest up the eastern Alleghenies, with a mix encroaching southwest to north east. The backend snows at the moment with this look a bit limited as the system pulls northeast. Even with that, the Allegheny equalizer is in play, the east does best initially, west is best with the backsides.
More updates as we get closer to both events and as always, stay tuned to your local NWS on social media, their websites.
The ever evolving weekend system continues a trend downward on the expected snowfall tallies. With the main system Saturday, across most of the Alleghenies its looking like a 2-5″ event, with a 4-8″ swath possible on the east side of the Alleghenies, especially near the Mason Dixon like and points northeast. There is almost always a overperforming zone that sets up somewhere just east of the Alleghenies with the setup.
As that system heads northeast and deepens off the coast, then the uoslope zones will kick in their round 2 feature late Saturday night through Monday a.m where an additional 2-5″ of fluff, that will become windblown fluff can occur. Overall multi day tallies look like they should fall in the low to mid range of those combined amounts, and maybe some areas max out on both.
The 12z GFS which is the lowest of the group comes in with these tallies on Saturday
below is the 6z ECMWF, which is a bit more amped up. The 12z ECMWF will start coming in, in a hour(1pm)
the 12z Canadian, which the Canadian has repeatedly held the highest amounts run after run comes in like this for Saturday
Don’t lean to heavily on that.
Again those tallies are part 1, then the upslope side part 2 that should add similar tallies on higher ratio snow across the upslope areas.
Eyes then go to the bigger system that looks like will be a snow to sleet/freezing rain to rain to backend snow event. That system potentially could trend colder, or at least entrench cold air at the surface for a longer duration. The GFS often warms things up too fast. I’ll post the 12Z ECMWF a bit later here.
While mentioning colder. Skies clear tonight, high moves over, winds go calm, very dry air mass in place , watch those valley temps plummet overnight. Maybe squeeze out a below 0 reading in the coldest spots.
Review of January 4, 2024
Review of January 4, 2024
Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21
Jan 4(Thurs)
Last Night freezing mist to snow by a.m. Areas of snow in to the early afternoon, clouds broke late
Bittinger 2nw Valley
Dyacon data below – the date marked red as battery issue early day, and dyacon does not backfill data the the mesowest graph has. My manual graph, will continue so there is no data loss, just the Dyacon graph will be a few degrees off for the date and have little effect on the monthly.
Foxtown Rd morning Near Bittinger 2nw morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Foxtown Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd afternoon West of Bittinger afternoon Near Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Towards Bowman Hill afternoon
Garrett County Airport
Rock Lodge Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd morning Deep Creek Lake afternoon Deep Creek Lake afternoon
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts BP
Climate Reference Network Station
Atop Canaan Ski area
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
no data
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
Before you go wipe out Walmart, cool the hype a bit. You’re not going to be snowed in for days and needing to resort to cannibalism like you’re in the Donner Party deciding who to eat.
As of now, the window of weekend snow looks quite brief. Travel may be bad for a period. Trends have significantly lowered those model images being shared on social media the last 2 days. Those are model images. Not forecast. Those change several times per day. Often the ones that are the most extreme get passed around, the most shares, the most hype and it grows out of control. I think it hit that point yesterday.
Those model images like this one from a few days ago
You know what the same GFS has now for this period
This even includes some upslope after the system passes.
Notice anything🤔. Now this isn’t to say models can’t trend back upward. This is to say there is a fairly big unknown yet
The energy is just entering California. It really needs to clear the Rockies for the models to get a more detailed handle. As of right now.
-it’s a fast mover
– all the energy does not come out and phase and deepen with the weekend event
-it does deepen once it zips off the coast on the current models
-the bigger bundle of energy comes out around Tuesday and that system as of now looks to cut west and would put the region in like for initially a snow setup, then sleet, freezing rain, to plain rain ending as snow as it pulls away. This scenario probably has higher odds than anything major this weekend. NOT writing the weekend system off as being a major event, but it’s looking more likely a quick moving, yet impactful snow that will cause disruptions and poor travel. It’s just not long lasting enough to be considered major. More like a 3-6 maybe 5-10″ event vs 12-24″ type event.
below is the 6z GFS precip type through Wednesday
below is the 0z ECMWF precip type through Wednesday
The 6z GFS mean that combines all 21 ensemble members
The high ground could see a touch of upslope beyond this
below is the 6z ECMWF and its 51 ensemble member mean
Below is the 6z GFS probability of a 6″ snowfall
below is the 6z ECMWF ensemble probability of a 6″ snowfall
and the 6z ECMWF ensemble mean probability of a 12″ snowfall
Squelching the hype. By NO MEANS is any scenario a lock. This could come together and once the energy clears the Rockies modeling could again trend upward. You aren’t going to out guess the modeling.
And for those hoping for a bigger one, the Canadian model is now in your corner
and it’s ensemble probability of a 6″ snowfall
And below the 0z Canadian ensemble probability of a 12″
If there is anything to take away from this post it should be,
trends are lowered
there is yet much uncertainty
Temps this morning are mainly in the 20s, with teens highest Wv elevations and 30s lowlands
and the near term light snow looks like a 1-2″ possibility across the high ground Iater tonight and Thursday a.m
Review of January 3, 2023
Review of January 3, 2023
Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21
Jan 3(Wed)
Cloudy early, then more sun than clouds
Bittinger 2nw Valley
Dyacon data below
Red marked as station lost battery power few hours prior to midnight. Battery replaced on the 4th. Mesowest backfills all the data on their graph Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon “Fridge Spot”Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley eveningBittinger 2nw Valley eveningUp from Bittinger 2nw Valley eveningWest of Bittinger evening
Garrett County Airport
Deep Creek Lake morning By Deep Creek Lake morning Meadow Mt at Deep Creek State Park
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts BP
Climate Reference Network Station
Atop Canaan Ski area
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Station offline
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
–
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
Towards Bowman Hill morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2nw Valley morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Foxtown Rd morning Foxtown Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Bittinger 2nw Valley eveningBittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon “Fridge Spot”Bittinger 2nw Valley “experimental spot”
Garrett County Airport
State Park Rd morning Deep Creek Lake morning Deep Creek Lake morning Deep Creek Lake afternoon
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts bp
Climate Reference Network Station
Atop Canaan Ski area
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Station off
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
Towards Bowman Hill morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Up from Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Foxtown Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning West of Bittinger morning Old Cherry Glade Church morning Up From Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Towards Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley middayBittinger 2nw Valley middayDung Hill Rd middaySouth end Amish Rd midday
The Glades
(morning)
––––––––––––
Garrett County Airport
-Rock Lodge Rd morning -Deep Creek Lake morning-Deep Creek Lake morning Mosser Rd morning Mosser Rd morning Mosser Rd morning Mosser/Rock Lodge morning
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts BP
Climate Reference Network Station
Atop Canaan Ski area
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
ERROR
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
*cam coated over
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
A chilly start, a typical December 31st morning and temps will climb from these numbers
With a bit of a SW flow ahead of the next system dropping in as seen on the surface maps will allow to to creep upward this afternoon
By mid afternoon temps low ranging in to the 30s for many areas across the high ground.
Snow activity pushes in, in the pm hours. A initial brief round of snow may come in this afternoon with temps above freezing and that will knock temps back to near freezing but likely holding just above freezing below 2800-3000′ and holding steady through the midnight hour. So the early portion looks like a wet snow. As we go pre-dawn Monday, temps will then backslide in to the 20s and hold steady in the 20s and even upper teens above 4500′ through the first day of 2024.
Snow activity continues Monday in to early Tuesday.a.m A look at the 6z GFS and I let the run play out as there is more potential down the line beyond the next 2 days.
This most recent snowfall had total tallies mainly ranging in the 1-3″ range with a few localized areas of 3″+.
Multi day snowfall amounts from previous system. Again snowfall amounts, especially multi day are often higher than actual on the ground depth. Dye to settling, meltback etc Amounts were:
Canaan Heights 3.1″, Snowshoe 3.0″ and only reporting a trace since yesterday am at 7. Bittinger 2nw Valley 1.5″ , Bayard 1.3″
This upcoming event should be similar with more pops of 3″+ vs this prior event. More favored upslope areas of 2-4″ through 7am Tuesday. 1-3″ for most. This afternoon through 7am Tuesday.
The NWS snowfall maps are as followed:
Sterling
Pittsburgh
Charleston
State College
After this event passes, eyes will go to Thursday and then next weekend bears watching. Potentially a more active wintry period ahead. As always, subject to change
Review of December 31, 2023
Review of December 31, 2023
Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21
Dec 31(Sun)
Cloudy, a bit of am light snow and increase in snow activity through the afternoon with heavier pockets
Bittinger 2nw Valley
Dyacon data below-
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Garrett County Airport
Top of Wisp
–
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
Climate Reference Network Station
Atop Canaan Ski area
–
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
–
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
––––
Petersburg Grant County Airport
–
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
A bit of snow overnight, appears to generally be in the half inch to inch and a half range. A bit of fine snow/snizzle and even patches of freezing drizzle possible today. Additional accumulations look light with the fine snow. Ratios are poor given the snow structure. The modeled DGZ gave hints of this yesterday. Stable, shallow and dry and that doesn’t give any flake growth, very low snow to liquid ratios, and even allows suspended moisture to remain liquid in instances despite the entire column from cloud level to the surface below freezing. In these setups, model output whether 10 to 1 output or the kuchera ratio output are generally off and sometimes well off.
Never the less, minor events can lead to slick conditions on the roads and that is occurring in areas
Near Bittinger Garrett County 219 Centennial Park Tucker County
Temps mainly 20s across the high ground this morning
––
Tomorrow night -through Monday looks a bit more promising as the DGZ appears better. Looking like a 2-4″ event.
Review of December 30, 2023
Review of December 30, 2023
Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21
Dec 30(Sat)
Light snow overnight, and fine scattered light snow today
Bittinger 2nw Valley
Foxtown Rd morning Near Bittinger 2nw morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Near Old Cherry Glade Church morning Old Cherry Glade Church morning West of Bittinger morning Foxtown Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Near Bittinger 2nw morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Toward Bowman Hill morning Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley evening 5pm New snow since 7am(.3)
Garrett County Airport
Rock Lodge Rd morning State Park Rd morning Deep Creek Lake morning By Deep Creek morning Deep Creek morning State Park Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd morning
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts coop BP
Climate Reference Network Station
Atop Canaan Ski area
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
temp sensor issues, estimated data
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
––
Spruce Knob
–
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
––
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
Colder air continued to filter in through the overnight hours, dropping temps in to the 20s above 2800-3000′ and below freezing to around 2000-2500’ A bit of lingering areas of precip allowed for a few skiffs of snow on the ridgetops in spots and a touch if rime across the high Wv elevations.
9am temps
Temps hold cold though the period with the exception of a brief notch upward Sunday and early Sunday night ahead of the next disturbance. You always get that bit of SW flow ahead of those
Now the focus turns to a snow event as we go overnight tonight through Saturday. With the primary focus midnight to midday tomorrow
Current surface map showing disturbance 1 just to our west that will push through.
Models have held steady to a slight increase in amounts. There does appear to be some modeled dry air in the DGZ that could play a factor in lower amounts. We shall see. For the most it appears to be a 1-3″ event through 7am Sunday with again, the primary focus being midnight to midday/early afternoon Saturday. Some areas of 3-5″ may occur in the more persistent activity.
The 6z Gfs showing this roll through and then another disturbance Sunday PM in to Monday
Modeled amounts through 7am Sunday
6zGFS below
6z ECMWF below
0z Canadian below
12z HRRR below
The National Weather Service Offices snowfall forecast below
Sterling
Pittsburgh
Charleston
State College
Stay tuned to your latest NWS updates and snowfall graphics. The link for those are attached here on the page in the drop-down menu under snowfall info.
Additional snowfall looks to occur Sunday night in to Monday (that will be posted on once beyond this upcoming event)a few systems out beyond mid next week that are entirely too far out to say if they will or won’t amount to anything
Review of December 29, 2023
Review of December 29, 2023
Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21
Dec 29(Fri)
Some pre-dawn fine snow showers, clouds, sun today and pm flakes
Bittinger 2nw Valley
(T=trace within 100 feet of recording site, L=late after 5pm recording but fell before midnight, I-T =Isolated trace but outside of hundred feet but generally within 500 feet, D-O= drift only within the general 1-2 mile areas where drifting occurs. Simply for reference only)
Dyacon data below
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Foxtown Rd morning Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Garrett County Airport
Deep Creek Lake morning Deep Creek Lake morning Deep Creek Lake morning
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
Climate Reference Network Station
Atop Canaan Ski area
–
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
☆ sensor issues. After this dare the final 2 dates of the year will be estimated based off the avg departure from northern Cabin station and the Canaan ski area station. It will have no bearing at all on the month averages or yearly averages
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
–
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
–
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
After multiple days of mild, fog, showery, dreary weather things will gradually progress colder, and a touch of white as we end the week in to Saturday.
This mornings surface map
Low pressure with the mild murky air ahead of it, and driving down the colder air behind it. With that, temps this morning chillier in the deep south than locally and colder on Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama than Northern Michigan.
Cold air is filtering in to the high ground, Spruce Knob now down to 31 at 9am and 30s across the high ground locally and 20s across the NC high ground
-and further south
–Mt.Mitchell in at 23°Upper 20s in the Grayson Highlands high ground
The reason behind the temp setup in motion
As that progresses over the coming few days, temps will run colder Friday, Saturday, a slight upward notch Sunday just ahead of another light disturbance early next week.
Temps off the 6z ECMWF below
With those temps is the light snow threat Friday in to Saturday. That’s looks like a 1-3″ setup.
Modeled amounts off the 6z ECMWF, and 6z GFS are non impressive
6z ECMWF
And below the 6z GFS
Review of December 28, 2023
Review of December 28, 2023
Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21
Dec 28(Thurs)
Cloudy, dreary early, then some sun to eventually mainly cloudy.
Bittinger 2nw Valley
Dyacon Data Below
Experimental “Fridge Spot” below
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning West of Bittinger morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon- adelgidBittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Garrett County Airport
Deep Creek Lake morning Deep Creek Lake morning Deep Creek Lake afternoon Deep Creek Lake evening
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
Climate Reference Network Station
Atop Canaan Ski
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County County
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy008-Bittinger 2nw Valley 2600′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
Allegheny Mountains Weather 