Colder valley a.m, but not as cold as the week has been in the mornings, mild ridge tops. A mild day with increasing clouds and showers late
Bittinger 2nw Valley
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Experimental SpotBittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morningBittinger 2nw Valley morning West of Bittinger morning Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon experimental spotBittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Garrett County Airport
Rock Lodge Rd morning Deep Creek Lake morning Deep Creek Lake morning
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts BPMidnight to midnight Dyacon DL
Climate Reference Network Station
Atop Canaan Ski area
–Low dewpoints preserved touch of snow for an entire week
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
West of Bittinger morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Experimental SpotBittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Rock Lodge Rd near The Glades morning Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley evening West of Bittinger evening West of Bittinger evening
Garrett County Airport
Deep Creek Lake morning Deep Creek Lake afternoon
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
Climate Reference Network
Atop Canaan Ski area
–Trace amounts of snow remained all in. The low dew points more critical than air temp
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
void
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Frosty Valley start, lots of sun and few clouds today
Bittinger 2nw Valley
Dung Hill Rd morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning West of Bittinger morning Foxtown Rd morning West of Bittinger afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley evening experimental spotBittinger 2nw Valley evening West of Bittinger eveningRock Lodge Rd near The Glades evening
Garrett County Airport
Rock Lodge Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd morning Rock Lodge Rd morning Deep Creek Lake morning Deep Creek Lake afternoon Mosser Rd at Cherry Creek evening Mosser Rd evening
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts BPmidnight to midnight Dyacon DL
Climate Reference Network Station
Atop Canaan Ski area
–Very dry air mass limiting melt
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
void
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger morning Near Bittinger 2nw morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Garrett County Airport
Mosser Rd morning by Cherry Creek
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts BPMidnight to midnight dyacon DL
Climate Reference Network
–
Atop Canaan Ski area
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
–
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
–––––-view towards 7Springs––––––––––––––––
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
void
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Sunny day after a clear frosty start. Winds picked up through the day.
Bittinger 2nw Valley
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Experimental SpotBittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning West of Bittinger morning West of Bittinger afternoon West of Bittinger afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Garrett County Airport
Deep Creek Lake morning
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data mmts BPMidnight to midnight Dyacon DL
Climate Reference Network Station
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
–
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
The Valley vs Cabin Mt
Canaan area temps
High Ground Comparison
Up High and Down Low
Up High, High Valley, Low Valley
The Valleys
Wv High Ground Cold Spots vs DCA
RTMA
Radar
void
Satellite
Flow
Current Surface Features and 500mb Height Anomalies and Flow
Currently snow falling from northern Garrett and south, and the high ground of Preston and south. Increasing as I type as you go south in the county in to the high Wv locations.
Currently webcams showing bare ground at Keysers Ridge at 2880′ meanwhile a hop skip and jump to Roman Nose at Deep Creek snow sticking down to 2500- 2600′ and above.
Roman Nose 8:30amRoman Nose 8:30am nearly half inchRoman Nose nearly half inch at 8:30am at 3000′Photo from Terra Alta
Overall temps slightly colder than modeled under the heart of the snow area
The cold pool centered central to Southern Garrett, Preston south in to the higher WV locations
above 3000 at Mt.Davis temps still upper 30s
as you work south, even a decrease in elevation temps come down. Around Bittinger snow is in the air, with possibly some brief light coating.
working south of Bittinger on Rock Lodge at 8am some sticking was occurring
Rock Lodge just over 2600′
and a bit further south at 8:40pm snow sticking to near 2500′ as seen from Arrowhead with again more up on Roman Nose
Arrowhead 8:40am
The main focus will shift south through the morning where the best of the light accumulations will fall.
Radar
Model output through this afternoon with the brunt over the next several hours
6z ECMWF 12z HRRR
In the snow zone. This isn’t strictly based on elevation as much as it is being under that core of precip that’s aiding in its own cold air. So these amounts are strictly for the snow zone area.
4000′ and above 1-3″ with isolated more under the heart of the action.
3000-4000- 1-2″ with overall snow zone being a touch colder, Narrows the gap through the snowfall zone based on elevation
2500-3000 coating to 1.5 this is Central Garrett and points south
2000-2500 mainly in the air.
Review of November 10, 2023
Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21
Nov 10(Fri)
Snow of varying rates from central Garrett early a.m, to main snow focus over the Wv High ground. Clearing north to south in the afternoon
Bittinger 2nw Valley
A brief period of a.m snow with brief sticking
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning West of Bittinger morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Bittinger 2nw Valley morning
Garrett County Airport
Rock Lodge Rd morning Deep Creek Lake morning Roman Nose morning Roman Nose morning Roman Nose morning Roman Nose morning Roman Nose morning Arrowhead morning By Deep Creek afternoon
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am data MMTS BPSnowfall report through 7am 10/11 which all fell on the 10thUp 32 morning Up 32 morningUp 32 morning Up 32 morning Morning Morning Morning NoonNoonNoonNoonNoon
along with a very mild punch across the high ground. Cooler air currently trapped on the east side of the mts, as shown by the RTMA(Real Time Mesoscale Analysis)
those eastern areas will warm up today, as we gradually cool back down, 3pm temps off the ECMWF below
Temps last night that began cool on areas with a bit of a wedge of cool across North Central and Eastern Garrett, especially the Valleys and points North and east. Once that cool wedge lost its hold, temps off to the races. At Bittinger 2nw Valley, temps jumped from 37 to 61 from 1:30am to 3:30am
On to the snow threat Friday
The Wv high ground should begin to see the wave if moisture pushing across early to mid morning Friday as it changes to snow. Very marginal surface temps to work with, that will limit accumulation and elevation should play a role in areas the accumulate. Models still vary on the northern precip edge. The main area of snow still looks to be focused above 3500-4000′ Canaan to Snowshoe with perhaps the bullseye in the between.
Again not a big event, but a quick hitting rapidly in and gone precip shield.
Model Precip type midday Friday
6z ECMWF6Z GFS0z CanadianThe just in 12z Nam
Modeled afternoon temps accompanying the precip
6z ECMWF 6z GFS0z Canadian
The tops above 4000′ likely come down to around 30-32 at the time if the precip. Below 4000′ temps unlikely to reach freezing. Making accumulation a bit slower. Also accompanied by a lack of wind and milder ground.
Modeled snowfall amounts
6z ECMWF 6z GFS0z Canadian6z ICON
with some manual input
Snowfall amounts look like: (leaning low to mid range with a good performance maxing out)
4000′ and above – 1-3″ potential (including across to North Fork Mt)
3500-4000′- coating to 1.5″
3000-3500′ -coating to 1″
2500-3000′ – brief coatings if any at all. It would take a more moderate clip to get any brief stickage this low.
Review of November 9, 2023
Forest Service Cam offline since 6/24/21
Nov 9(Thurs)
The warm surge pushed through last night, string winds, cloud cover that lead to mid morning to early afternoon rain. Rainfall outperforming models. Brightening through the afternoon with clouds clouds remaining.
Bittinger 2nw Valley
Bittinger 2nw Valley morning Near Bittinger 2nw morning Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon Bittinger 2nw Valley afternoon
Garrett County Airport
Rock Lodge Rd morning Deep Creek Lake morning Deep Creek Lake morning Deep Creek Lake midday Deep Creek Lake midday
Top of Wisp
Canaan Heights/Davis 3SE
7am to 7am MMTS BP
Climate Reference Network Station
Atop Canaan Ski area
Cabin Mt at Bald Knob
Cabin Mt-Western Sods
Spruce Knob
Canaan Valley Refuge
Mt.Davis
Snowshoe
Petersburg Grant County Airport
Elkins Airport
SITE COMPARISON
Dy007-Canaan Valley Refuge 3150′, Dy002-Cabin Mt at Bald Knob 4350′, Dy003-Cabin Mt-Western Sods 4035′, Dy004-Spruce Knob 4820′, Cvpw2-Climate Reference Network Canaan 3380′, KW99-Petersburg Grant County Airport 961, K2G4 Garrett County Airport 2933′, KCBE Cumberland Airport 774′, KEKN Elkins Airport 1985′, KMGW Morgantown Airport 1227′, PMN16-Mt.Davis 3038′, KDCA-Reagan National 15′, G1472 Snowshoe 4500′, F0183 Burkes Garden 3050′
Allegheny Mountains Weather 