Oct 10.                    min.        max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley      61.3        74.0       67.6

Garrett College        62.3      76.2        69.2

Can-Heights             59.2      70.3        64.8

CRN-Canaan            61.4      69.8        65.6

Cabin Mt                  57.9      67.1        62.5

Cabin Mt north       58.6      68.2       63.4

Spruce Knob.            x

Snowshoe               57.6        62.8       60.2

Can-Valley Floor   61.9        72.3       67.1

7Springs                 61.1        72.7       66.9

Clouds at daybreak breaking for a partly cloudy day into early afternoon before cloud cover built and showers lifted north later. Cloud cover and showers occured earlier in the day as you went south in the Alleghenies.

Temp profile this afternoon,

 

Radar with estimates 9pm-9pm

Satellite

Flow

Surface features and 500mb height anomalies and flow,

 

On the models….

Showers tonight, through Thursday as the on and off fashion. Colder air pushing late Thursday, through the night. Some Wv high ground may hold 30s on Friday. Highs at midnight Friday and falling. Windchills in the teens across the Wv high ground. Gusty winds. A little rime possible early, and if there is any moisture left , few flakes could be possible as the air aloft(850 temps) which is basically the Wv high spots, run below freezing. Then again Saturday morning. Air looks to be a touch more saturated Saturday a.m, so the column may not be cold enough to the surface to get snow, despite the GFS does show it. More likely above 4k feet Saturday.

Further out, a few flake threats and maybe a little light accumulation threat above 3000′ exist next week. Details sketchy.

Short term, 18z 3km Nam 2m temperatures

18z 3km Nam Simulated Radar

18z 3km Nam 850 temps

Windchills Friday morning, and really the entire day features cold windchills. Wv high ground looks likely to have windchill values in the teend. Yes teens Friday am. Get ready to watch some of the high elevation stations. 

18z GFS precip type next 384hrs

Saturday a.m up close

18z GFS 2m temperatures

18z GFS snowfall next 10 days

18z GFS total precip next 10

12z ECMWF Saturday a.m. Air aloft marginal, leaning to more liquid, but flakes can’t be ruled out.

 

Hurricane Michael

Michael became a strong cat 4 and sub 920mb storm.

Fall “fool”iage…..

This fall has turned into a extremely poor foliage season. Heavy leaf drop,,minimal color. Its basically bare to dull maples, cherry, with green oaks with brown spotted leaves…mixed with a few other trees with minimal color Few pics