June 26.                 min.        max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley    48.2         67.1       57.6

Garrett College    56.3         69.0      62.7

Can-Heights         55.9         65.1      60.5

CRN-Canaan        55.7         64.1      59.9

Cabin Mt               54.3         61.3      57.8

Cabin Mt north   53.7         60.4      57.0

Spruce Knob       53.2         56.5       54.8

Snowshoe           54.9         58.6       56.8

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank      62.1         68.4        65.2

7Springs           55.5          73.0       64.2

More clouds than sun.

Temp profile this afternoon2018-06-27-17-37-24

2018-06-27-17-35-50Radar

2018-06-26-19-31-50.jpg

Satellite

Flow

Cape Bretton Highland Nova Scotia this morning

June 25.                     min.        max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley       50.9        72.4      61.6

Garrett College       58.7        74.1     66.4

Can-Heights           57.9        71.2      64.6

CRN-Canaan         56.6         69.5      63.1

Cabin Mt                55.4        69.3      62.4

Cabin Mt north     56.4       71.4     63.9

Spruce Knob         54.7        69.1      61.9

Snowshoe              54.3       68.0       61.1

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank          56.5       79.9       68.2

7Springs               60.1       73.3        66.7

Mix of clouds and sun. Rain remained in southern Wv, and parts of Va.

Temp profile this afternoon2018-06-27-17-38-25

2018-06-27-17-28-42Radar

2018-06-25-20-02-18Satellite this afternoon

Flow

 Looking Ahead at the incoming heat…

Friday through Monday, with Saturday through Monday being the most uncomfortable in terms of the combo of temps and dewpoints… max temp ranges look to max out in this range during that period
Johnstown Pa 88-93
Somerset Pa 87-92
Mt. Davis Pa 81-86
Grantsville Md 87-92
Bittinger Md 82-87
Accident Md 88-93
Friendsville Md 89-94
Mchenry Md 85-90
Oakland Md 89-94
Morgantown Wv 93-98
Cumberland Md 97-102
Keyser Wv 95-100
Parsons 91-96
Davis 83-88
Canaan Heights 81-86
Canaan Valley 82-87
Cabin Mt 78-83
Dolly Sods 80-85
Harman 85-90
Seneca Rocks 91-96
Spruce Knob 76-81
Elkins 90-95
Green Bank 88-93
Snowshoe 76-81
Marlinton 88-93
Cranberry Glades 82-87

In general, this period looks to be as hot as it generally gets in the area.
Typical days of +86 per year. (Map is not perfect, but a ballpark idea in area) In general the highest Wv spots rarely top 80.. Fair shot at that, this weekend.

** Car thermometers, bank/store thermometers will likely read higher than reality during this period. Lots of heat, radation reflecting back off artificial surfaces, objects.

Max temps off the 12z ECMWF with heat indecies Fri-Mon. The GFS has consistently been hotter than the ECMWF. What will likely occur is open, and town areas lean towards GFS, higher, wooded, rural areas lean towards the ECMWF.

 

Typical # of days of +86°heatzonemap-virginiaFB_IMG_1529980050013

Looking further out, models are hinting at a July temp turnaround. Both the new Euro weeklies just in tonight and the CFSV2 evolve the pattern in a very similar way over the coming several weeks.

The Weeklies

CFSV2

June 24.                  min.        max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley    59.1        74.9      67.0

Garrett College   63.6        74.9       69.2

Can-Heights        60.1         71.0      65.6

CRN-Canaan       60.9        70.1      65.5

Cabin Mt              58.1       67.5      62.8

Cabin Mt north   58.2       68.1     63.1

Spruce Knob      57.2        66.6     61.9

Snowshoe           57.4        65.3     61.2

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank       59.9         81.0      70.4

7Springs           64.3         76.4       70.2

More clouds than sun, a few afternoon showers north. Rain, showers was more widespread south of Canaan through midday vs elsewhere.

Temp profile this afternoon2018-06-25-10-29-34

 

 

2018-06-25-10-28-40  Month to date anomalies, colder vs average max temps, warmer vs average min temps, overall just +/- of normal on the month. Wv mts slightly above overall.

 

Radar

Screenshot_20180624-214057Satellite this afternoon

Flow

June 23.                   min.      max.     avg

Bitt 2nw valley     57.7         72.0     64.8

Garrett College     58.8        72.1      65.4

Can-Heights          56.7         67.4     62.1

CRN-Canaan         55.0       66.5       60.8

Cabin Mt               55.2        64.0      59.6

Cabin Mt north   55.9         67.1      61.5

Spruce Knob       54.7         65.1      59.9

Snowshoe            57.0         63.5      60.2

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank          60.1        77.0      68.6

7Springs               59.6         73.7     66.6

Intervals of clouds, showers, mixed with breaks of sun. Some brief heavier downpours

Temp profile this afternoon (RTMA appears to be slightly overdone)2018-06-25-10-31-43

 

 

2018-06-25-10-22-14Radar

24 hour estimated total(10pm)Screenshot_20180623-223351

Flow

Satellite

June 22.                  min.        max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley    57.7      62.8        60.2

Garrett College    58.6      63.6       61.1

Can-Heights        58.0      62.0        60.0

CRN-Canaan        56.3      67.6      62.8

Cabin Mt              54.1       59.7     56.9

Cabin Mt north

Spruce Knob     54.7         60.3     57.5

Snowshoe         56.8         66.0      61.3

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank     62.1         78.6       70.3

7Springs          58.7         65.7       62.2

Cloudy, rainy, foggy, east wind was the dominant features. In some areas, periods of blue briefly occured, elsewhere it did not. A very chilly 1st full day of summer. Afternoon temps in the 50s, with winds gusting from the southeast 20mph to over 30mph at times.

Temp profile this afternoon2018-06-25-10-33-09

 

 

 

 

2018-06-25-10-16-51Radar past 24 hours

24 estimated rainfallScreenshot_20180622-213817

Flow this afternoon

Dominant east flow as seen in G.C.C wind chartScreenshot_20180622-214802.jpg

Satellite view this afternoon, evening

 

Year to date precipitation

 

 

Screenshot_20180623-034035

Late Next Week Heat Wave??

 

 

A pattern like this, low pressures in the west, heights building in the east is a pattern to setup what can bring the hottest temps of the season. Models have a tendency to overdue this. Something to watch as we go into later next week, weekend.

June 21.                 min.       max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley     62.9       71.3       67.1

Garrett College    63.5        75.2      69.3

Can-Heights         61.6         73.5     67.6

CRN-Canaan        62.3         73.1     67.7

Cabin Mt             59.4          70.3     64.9

Cabin Mt north   59.9         72.3     66.1

Spruce Knob.       59.9         70.3     65.1

Snowshoe            59.7          70.0     64.8

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank        65.3          84.7      75.0

7Springs             63.8         72.1       67.9

Cloudy, rain early in Garrett, then luttle light drizzle, to a lull in afternoon, rain returning at dark. Earlier in Wv mts

Temp profile this afternoon2018-06-25-10-30-43

 

 

 

2018-06-25-10-12-26Radar(I picked up .2 since 5:30pm last evening)

Flow

Satellite this afternoon/evening

Current sst anomaly and 7 day change

 

 

 

June 20.                min.      max.       avg

Bitt 2nw valley    62.6       78.5       70.5

Garrett College    65.0       79.1       72.1

Can-Heights         62.1        75.6      68.8

CRN-Canaan        62.2        74.9      68.5

Cabin Mt               59.5       72.5      66.0

Cabin Mt north   60.0        74.8     67.4

Spruce Knob       59.5        72.3     65.9

Snowshoe            59.2        71.6     65.3

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank         64.4        84.0      74.2

7Springs               67.1       79.9       73.5

Cloudy, rain early. Areas in Somerset County, Bedford had heavy a.m rain…then a lull, little sun before heavy areas of rain in the evening.

Temp profile this afternoon2018-06-21-08-49-05

 

2018-06-21-08-47-26Radar(I picked up .1 overnight through the a.m, then .7 additional with the evening downpour through 5:30pm..rain after that)

Screenshot_20180620-212020

Water Vapor Loop

500mb Height Anomaly this afternoonecmwf_z500a_noram_2

June 19.                     min.        max.     avg

Bitt 2nw valley        62.8         78.1      70.4

Garrett College        67.1         78.4     72.8

Can-Heights             65.9         76.9     71.4

CRN-Canaan            66.5         74.9     70.7

Cabin Mt                  63.9         73.6    68.8

Cabin Mt north      64.4         75.5    69.9

Spruce Knob           61.3         73.2   67.2

Snowshoe                63.0         72.1   67.5

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank             62.2         86.7    74.4

7Springs                   67.7        77.5     72.6

Cloudy, muggy, hazy, few showers early, heavier period early afternoon Garrett, later on further south through evening.

Temp profile this afternoon + 24 hour change2018-06-20-06-39-00

 

 

2018-06-20-06-38-05Radar (I picked up .3 early afternoon-Bittinger 2nw Valley)

Satellite from around the time the storms were in Garrett and exiting

Flow

June 18.                    min.        max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley      57.8         83.0       70.4

Garrett College     62.7          83.5       73.1

Can-Heights           62.5         79.4       70.9

CRN-Canaan          59.9         79.2       69.5

Cabin Mt                 62.6        78.4        70.5

Cabin Mt north      63.8        78.0       70.9

Spruce Knob           61.3       76.6       68.9

Spruce Knob 4800 61.8       75.5

Snowshoe/S.C         63.0       75.4       69.1

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank             61.5       92.1      76.8

7Springs                   72.3      86.5       79.4

Valley fog to start, then a hazy, muggy day with passing clouds and a few scattered isolated showers….There was a light breeze.

Temp profile this afternoon2018-06-19-17-59-29

 

2018-06-19-18-04-01Radar

Screenshot_20180618-204900

Bittinger 2nw Valley-Glade Run water temp 59.4° at 5pm after warmest day of the year. Spring water temp remains 47.0°

June 17.                   min.         max.     avg

Bitt 2nw valley     59.4          77.6      68.5

Garrett College     64.3          80.6      72.4

Can-Heights          60.8          77.0      68.9

CRN-Canaan         60.4          76.4       68.4

Cabin Mt                59.0         75.0       67.0

Cabin Mt north    59.7         76.1        67.9

Spruce Knob        58.1         73.0        65.6

Spruce Knob 4800 58.6      69.9

Snowshoe               58.3       72.7       65.5

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank           55.2       87.3      71.2

7Springs                  65.6      83.2      74.3

Cloudy, light rain to start. Heavier in parts of Wv. Lots of hay down across the area that got wet. Clouds broke this afternoon. Some rain developed across areas near Maysville this afternoon.

Temp profile this afternoon2018-06-18-16-05-59

 

 

2018-06-18-16-05-14Temp anomaly month to dateconus_mtd_t2avg_anom_2018

Radar

Screenshot_20180617-210020

Satellite this afternoon

Flow

Pics today by Jeremy Cutlip on Highland Scenic Highway and Cranberry Glades