July 6.                        min.      max.       avg

Bitt 2nw valley      53.5        73.0       63.2

Garrett College      59.7        75.4       67.6

Can-Heights           55.9        71.4       63.7

CRN-Canaan         53.8         72.7      63.2

Cabin Mt               55.4         67.6       61.6

Cabin Mt north   57.0         69.6        63.3

Spruce Knob       54.7         67.3        61.0

Snowshoe            55.0         65.8       60.3

4711′                                      66.4

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank        59.7          79.7       69.7

7Springs              62.3          76.3       69.3

Cloudy, rainy, some fog, dreary until early afternoon…things began to break..drier air pushing in late day, a change from the mugginess of late

Temp profile this afternoon2018-07-08-07-33-04

2018-07-07-08-14-09Radar, and Grantsville and Davis gauges. Radar estimated precip, for whatever reason is horribly off today. Most Wv sites, Cabin Mt, Canaan Heights, CRN, Spruce Knob all in between .1 to .3, Garrett College at .4

2018-07-08-07-34-30Satellite this afternoon

Flow

500mb flow

Sunset at Rt 40070620182057_l

3km nam showing drier flow, cooler temps…tomorrow night, if, big if, if things go calm, coldest pockets should run down to or just under dewpoints.

dewpoints upcoming off 3km nam

temps

July 5                        min.        max.       avg

Bitt 2nw valley       60.6         81.0       70.8

Garrett College      65.2          79.3      72.2

Can-Heights           64.3          79.2      71.8

CRN-Canaan          62.6          79.6      71.1

Cabin Mt                62.2          78.3       70.2

Cabin Mt north     63.1          76.8       69.9

Spruce Knob         59.9          72.0      65.9

Snowshoe.           58.8           75.2      67.0

4711′                                        73.6

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank       62.8            84.6        73.7

7Springs            68.4            79.6         74.0

More clous than sun to start, little valley fog. Some areas of morning run, some mostly cloudy with a little sun. Areas in Pa heavy pockets of rain early. This transitioned into more coverage of slow moving pockets of very heavy rain.

Temp profile this afternoon2018-07-07-07-32-03

 

2018-07-07-07-24-33Radar

Radar estimated amounts

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Social media pics, first 2 by Sid Turner

 

 

River Gauges in Savage area vicinity

 

WU station just across border in Pa in Somerset County near Pocahontas in at over 2″Screenshot_20180705-211929

Wv locations through 10pm,  Davis .4, Canaan Heights .3, CRN .07, Cabin Mt north 1.4, Baldy 1.7, Spruce Knob 1.1

updated at midnight Baldy 1.89, CRN .28

At Bittinger 2nw Valley, under a tenth again as was yesterday.

Satellite this afternoon

Flow

500mb flow

 

 

July 4.                        min.       max.     avg

Bitt 2nw valley       61.7         85.0       73.3

Garrett College       67.1         86.7       76.9

Can-Heights           67.2          80.1        73.6

CRN-Canaan          63.2         81.8         72.5

Cabin Mt                65.7         77.7        71.7

Cabin Mt north     65.3        79.8        72.5

Spruce Knob          61.7        78.3        70.0

Snowshoe              63.7         83.1        73.2

4711′                                        80.1

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank    62.6           89.8      76.2

7Springs             67.7        88.9      78.1

Mostly sunny to start with some valley fog again. Quickly burning off and temps rising rapidly. At 1pm I recorded my warmest temp of the year. A rise, fall then almost like a brief heat burst a quick rise and then storms broke loose and all afternoon was spent in the 70s. Locations that saw the heaviest rain went into the 60s awhile this afternoon.

Temp profile this afternoon and heat index from 2 different times, and it was a little higher than pictured a few hours earlier. With today being my hottest recorded day year to date, it was short lived.2018-07-05-08-33-13

2018-07-07-07-14-23Radar..and precip estimates. Report of 1.1 near Savage Mt, .4 Grantsville, .9 Cabin Mt at Bald Knob, 1.0 Spruce Knob

Screenshot_20180704-224200

Satellite this afternoon

Flow

 

Northern Garrett Accident cam not showing up, subbing in Rt 40 near Finzel

July 3.                    min.       max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley     59.8       82.3       71.0

Garrett College     63.1       85.4       74.2

Can-Heights          61.8       81.5       71.7

CRN-Canaan         59.6      82.1        70.9

Cabin Mt               62.4       78.1       70.2

Cabin Mt north   64.5        80.6       72.5

Spruce Knob       62.4        76.8       69.6

Snowshoe            64.9       82.2        73.6

4711′                                    82.2

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank      65.3          91.4        78.4

7Springs             67.0         87.3         77.3

Clear start, early a.m valley fog, sunshine with building afternoon clouds that led to some pockets of heavy rain, while other areas remained dry. I remained dry at Bittinger 2nw Valley.

Temp profile this afternoon/w heat index off the RTMA2018-07-04-08-32-58

 

2018-07-04-08-31-39Radar, radar estimates putting out 3″ of rain near Thomas/Davis this afternoon. Given the nature of the slow moving drenchers and the fact Tucker Landfill had 2.3, Davis USGS gauge at 1″, Canaan Heights at 0.0″, 3″ amounts were highly possible.

 

 

Satellite

Flow

Lightning pics this evening from just east of Mchenry, overlooking Garrett College and west with the storms near Preston/Garrett line. Also Sunset pic from Rt 40.

 

July 2                     min.         max.       avg

Bitt 2nw valley     59.6       84.8        72.2

Garrett College   64.2        86.0        75.1

Can-Heights        65.8        82.0        73.9

CRN-Canaan       63.0        80.3        71.7

Cabin Mt              65.3       80.4        72.9

Cabin Mt north

Spruce Knob       62.8        77.7       70.2

Snowshoe           65.1        76.8        70.9

4711′                                    77.0

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank       63.9           88.3      76.1

7Springs            68.7          85.9       77.3

Mostly sunny to start, little valley fog. Temps warming rapidly and storms forming midday, early afternoon and running through nightfall. Lots n lots of lightning associated with them.

Temp profile this afternoon2018-07-03-07-54-14

 

2018-07-04-08-28-29Radar this afternoon + precip estimates that look overdone in areas

Screenshot_20180702-223014

Screenshot_20180702-234300Satellite this afternoon

Flow

 

 

 

Screenshot_20180703-080921

Few storm reports, mainly consisted of wind, although there were a few flash flooding reports.

 

July 1.                         min.      max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley         56.0       83.8       69.9

Garrett College        61.1        86.7      73.9

Can-Heights             60.7        81.7      71.2

CRN-Canaan            56.7       81.4       69.0

Cabin Mt                  61.2       77.9       69.6

Cabin Mt north

Spruce Knob          60.1         76.5     68.3

Snowshoe             62.1          82.9      72.5

4711′                                        81.5

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank          59.9        89.6        74.8

7Springs              68.1         89.7        78.8

Clear, some valley fog early. Some building clouds midday. That allowed for a brief temp fall. Then clouds dissipated mid afternoon on.

Temp profile this afternoon2018-07-02-22-50-02

 

 

2018-07-01-21-15-49Satellite this afternoon

Flow at the surface

500mb and anomalies

 

 

June 30.                   min.        max.       avg

Bitt 2nw valley      51.6         83.0       67.3

Garrett College     55.8         87.8       71.8

Can-Heights          58.7         82.4       70.6

CRN-Canaan         54.0         81.9       68.4

Cabin Mt               61.5         79.9       70.7

Cabin Mt north   62.9          80.2       71.5

Spruce Knob       60.8          77.2       69.0

Snowshoe            61.9          79.0       70.4

Can-Valley Floor 48.0

Green Bank         57.6         90.0      73.8

7Springs              66.4          88.9      77.7

Clear start, valley fog. That burned off relatively quickly and it turned into a hot day. Few clouds built in areas during the afternoon

Temp profile this afternoon(reconfigured logger at 6:30pm thats been continous since August 28,2017 to begin a new period)2018-06-30-21-33-352018-07-01-20-58-09

 

 

Satellite this afternoon

Flow

500mb flow and image showing the big heat ridge dominating the east.

 

 

JUNE SUMMARY

TEMP DATA

2018-06-30-21-31-27

2018-07-11-16-29-53

2018-07-01-07-41-02PRECIP DATA:Screenshot_20180705-221859

 

 

 

 

 

Screenshot_20180701-074852

June 29.                    min.       max.     avg

Bitt 2nw valley      52.9        79.2      66.0

Garrett College     57.2         82.9     70.1

Can-Heights          55.4        79.4       67.4

CRN-Canaan         54.6        77.4      66.0

Cabin Mt               57.4        75.9      66.7

Cabin Mt north   59.0        75.5      67.2

Spruce Knob       55.0         72.0     63.5

Snowshoe            56.1         77.7     66.9

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank         56.7        91.0      73.8

7Springs              61.3        86.0       73.5

Clear, valley fog to start, subshine with a few pop up clouds during the afternoon and evening.

Temp profile this afternoon2018-06-30-21-10-08

2018-06-30-21-18-02Satellite this afternoon

Flow

500mb anomaly today

 

Resulting temp anomalyecmwf_t2m_anom_conus2_3

With building heights, high pressure, it should still allow for nighttime lows to drop into the comfortable range in the valleys. Warmest nights typically come at the end of the warm spell.

6 year anniversary of the deracho event

https://www.weather.gov/rlx/SVR062912

June 28.                min.          max.      avg

Bitt 2nw valley   58.3         72.1       65.2

Garrett College  63.1         74.4       68.8

Can-Heights        58.0        71.0       64.5

CRN-Canaan       56.8        70.6       63.7

Cabin Mt             58.3        69.8       64.1

Cabin Mt north 59.1        69.4       64.2

Spruce Knob     57.6         68.9       63.2

Snowshoe             57.7      68.2      62.8

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank         59.7        84.0      71.8

7Springs              64.0        74.3       69.2

Brief patches of blue at daybreak to light showers, drizzle on and off through early afternoon…then skies began to break

Temp profile this afternoon2018-06-29-07-57-51

2018-06-29-07-56-57Radar(I picked up .25 since 6pm last night) Some areas around Canaan Heights, Davis picked up over 2″ last night. Some areas in western Tucker in lowlands had flooding. Amounts in these areas are greater than depicted by the estimate in the photo.

 

 

 

Satellite this afternoon

Flow

500mb anomalyecmwf_z500a_globe_3

Current SST and 7 day change

Upcoming Heat Wave

Earlier in the week, I posted a list of expected temps based off model data. That still looks to hold on par for Sat-Mon, those days being the hottest but holding up beyond that. Here is the list
Johnstown Pa 88-93
Somerset Pa 87-92
Mt. Davis Pa 81-86
Grantsville Md 87-92
Bittinger Md 82-87
Accident Md 88-93
Friendsville Md 89-94
Mchenry Md 85-90
Oakland Md 89-94
Morgantown Wv 93-98
Cumberland Md 97-102
Keyser Wv 95-100
Parsons 91-96
Davis 83-88
Canaan Heights 81-86
Canaan Valley 82-87
Cabin Mt 78-83
Dolly Sods 80-85
Harman 85-90
Seneca Rocks 91-96
Spruce Knob 76-81
Elkins 90-95
Green Bank 88-93
Snowshoe 76-81
Marlinton 88-93
Cranberry Glades 82-87

** Car thermometers, bank/store thermometers will likely read higher than reality during this period. Lots of heat, radation reflecting back off artificial surfaces, objects.

Some numbers off todays 12z Euro Sat-Mon for Snowshoe area, Canaan area, Deep Creek area. Keep in mind, highest locations will run touch under these numbers, lower, town areas will top there numbers.

 

 

Pics posted by Tucker County 911 on Facebook

June 27.                  min.         max.     avg

Bitt 2nw valley     56.3         71.6      63.9

Garrett College     60.2         74.3      67.2

Can-Heights         58.3          72.1      65.2

CRN-Canaan        58.6          71.5      65.1

Cabin Mt               56.5         68.7      62.6

Cabin Mt north     56.8.       71.0      63.9

Spruce Knob          55.4       68.7      62.0

Snowshoe              55.8       67.8      61.8

Can-Valley Floor

Green Bank          61.7        77.9      69.8

7Springs               60.8        76.3      68.5

Cloudy, rain early. Steady for a period. More clouds than sun afternoon, but some sun appeared..more rain just before nightfall.

Temp profile this afternoon2018-06-28-07-29-13

2018-06-28-07-27-25Radar/estimated amounts. I picked up .4 at Bittinger 2nw Valley through 6pm with nearly all of that in the morning hours after dawn.

2018-06-27-20-41-26Satellite this afternoon

Flow